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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 20393. (Read 26609469 times)

newbie
Activity: 43
Merit: 0
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

I could dig out a Gox orderbook. Give me a date and approximate time.

a day like nov 20th 2013 when it was up +20%
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019

its a very calming thought that karpeles hasnt got his fingers anywhere in this anymore
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

2013 was an entirely different world... but I am getting very distinct flashbacks. China leading this hard is new. And that bucketshop being run off mark's laptop is gone now.

The ease and legitimacy of "getting in" is about 10x greater... To be honest, I'm a little scared by the way things are going.

Yes me to what do we have to do with all that money?

(srs..)
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1186
I am officially happy, as the bears have been fucked for the first time in nearly two years.



Look at the huge uptick on the 29th where bears(or a bear whale) shorted at $320. A very similar move in the opposite direction happened earlier today. Looks to me like a certain bear whale just got pwned by the mega bull rally.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

2013 was an entirely different world... but I am getting very distinct flashbacks. China leading this hard is new. And that bucketshop being run off mark's laptop is gone now.

The ease and legitimacy of "getting in" is about 10x greater... To be honest, I'm a little scared by the way things are going.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Well, I did learn *a lot* of interesting and useful things from the bitcoin project, much of it from this thread.  I don't know whether it was worth the investment; but one never knows, even afterwards, what will pay out and what will turn out to have been wasted...
Given that you are a professor in the computing field, I think this falls within your remit.

Yeah, I could say that if someone wanted me to account for the time I spend on it.

Quote
Though you are a bit more hands-on than one might expect Smiley

Actually, most of what I learned by watching bitcoin was not about computing, but about other things.  Two years ago I did not know about order books, spreads, arbitrage, TA, ETF.  I had only a vague idea of what libertarianism was about, and never heard the terms "ancap", "fiat", "gold bug", "day trader".  I learned about the money velocity equation and why a good currency must be inflationary.  And much more.

One important thing I learned is the rule "past prices do not affect future prices".  Actually I first had to read tons of posts that claimed 1000% growth per year guaranteed, backed by straight red lines on exponential price charts. (Remember those?  I haven't seen many of them in the last year...).  Only to learn, by reading and by experiment, that they were basically all bogus.  Trends in ordinary stocks may be meaningful, if they are tied to slow-varying physical phenomena liek consumer demand and overall economic activity.  For purely speculative assets, like gold and bitcoin, trends are at best useful only for describing the past, but mostly useless for predicting the future.  The only model that seems to work is the "log-Brownian" model, that says that the price at any date in the future is the price today, plus or minus a random (unpredictable) relative change.

hero member
Activity: 625
Merit: 501
x
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

This feels very similar. High volume, thin order book. Main difference is that the exchanges are keeping up this time around, and I won't be watching for DDOSes as warning signs of flash crashes.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1029
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

I could dig out a Gox orderbook. Give me a date and approximate time.

please do, start a thread i'd be interested in comparing Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000


Please tell me you've already capitulated. We need you to reopen shorts when it actually does roll over.


Unfortunately i'm stuck with an altcoin that keeps devaluing because of this bulltard run and i cannot enjoy profiting from this. Bitcoin doubled from the point where i bought, but my altcoin went down 50 percent. If i sell my altcoin so i can dump Bitcoin, then there's a big possibility of seeing 220$ per BTC in the future (of course, after the ponzi collapses), but my altcoin doubling in price (regaining its former value) in the meantime.

Can't do much Smiley

yay you are moronero...

your impotent dev, love to troll and terror other coin ann instead of developing your coin. ha... cant even launch proper gui-wallet after 1 year.

i hope you enjoy your coin now...  moronero  Tongue
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 531
Crypto is King.
Yeah my leveraged 20x long is making crazy profit right now. I cashed out 20% of it to keep me well in the green even if the other 80% gets eaten up on some out-of-the-woodwork selloff. This run up is sparking old memories Smiley

I have to go take care of some business for a few hours, but try to hit $480 before I return, okay guys?  Grin
Where are you able to leverage 20x?
legendary
Activity: 1159
Merit: 1001
are we rich yet??   Huh

legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1029
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

it feels exactly like it did in february 2013. what happened afterwards seemed batshit insane, then it fell back majorly. people blame gox's engine for that, but it was way overbought anyway. if it hadn't been gox, it would have been something else. bubbles pop very easily.

main lesson in 2013 was, if you sold you got hurt bad unless you were one lucky mofo.

sorry it's hard to be of much help, but this is new territory for all of us. no one knows what's going to happen apart from the guy with enough money to bend the market to his will.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Please tell me you've already capitulated. We need you to reopen shorts when it actually does roll over.


Unfortunately i'm stuck with an altcoin that keeps devaluing because of this bulltard run and i cannot enjoy profiting from this. Bitcoin doubled from the point where i bought, but my altcoin went down 50 percent. If i sell my altcoin so i can dump Bitcoin, then there's a big possibility of seeing 220$ per BTC in the future (of course, after the ponzi collapses), but my altcoin doubling in price (regaining its former value) in the meantime.

Can't do much Smiley

You just call it "my altcoin"?  
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
this may turn into the fomo of the century..   Shocked

Too many ways to get cash into the market compared to 2013..... watch greed take over 3....2....1........ everyone expects return to 1200 very quickly.....everyone
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
Just realized this could be a lot of work if I kept up.   Ain't gonna doit.


legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
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Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?

I could dig out a Gox orderbook. Give me a date and approximate time.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
World Class Cryptonaire
Yeah my leveraged 20x long is making crazy profit right now. I cashed out 20% of it to keep me well in the green even if the other 80% gets eaten up on some out-of-the-woodwork selloff. This run up is sparking old memories Smiley

I have to go take care of some business for a few hours, but try to hit $480 before I return, okay guys?  Grin
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 531
Crypto is King.
newbie
Activity: 43
Merit: 0
Orderbooks everywhere look so thin.


Can anyone who traded in 2013 talk to us about how they looked during the run-up?


I'm sure there are hidden sell and buy orders, but is the velocity of volume comparable to 2013?
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1186
this may turn into the fomo of the century..   Shocked

With the greater awareness there is about bitcoin this go around I think you could be very right. I thought we were going to go sideways in the mid 300's... wasn't expecting such a huge breakout.
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