Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 2343. (Read 26712315 times)

Bingo!

Still...impressive considering how indirect fMRI data is.
What this tech would be able to do in 5-10 years?
A bit scary.

yeah but were these the best 5 out of 500?

Haha no no….. I actually have had a pretty lose single year atm and just found myself a new girl as very recently
 

El Duderina

Bitcoin no is not a stock.

Helrow?

Just to let you know, just in case you missed that aspect in regards to dee king daddy, aka cornz, aka my lil precious, aka honey badgener.   


The punchline is that dee cornz cannot go up forever without having some meaningful corrections along the way, even if we might have some flukes from time to time in which the UPpity does not stop no matter what.. and even those fluke UPpities do not tend to last more than a few months, at best, when they do occur... and those fluke uppities are far from guaranteed from occurring, even though sometimes the bears and the various status quo downity cheerers do end up overplaying their hands and contributing to the likelihood that we are going to continue to experience those kinds of fluke and irrational and crazy uppity periods in the future... just don't gamble upon when you think that they might happen, because then you may well end up getting fucked (or in polite terms, reckt.. and ain't no body got time for dat, right?).   

Explanation

Yeh for clarity I was a lot more bearish once Bitcoin broken below $18K to $15.5K, after initially thinking the bottom was likely in with initial capitulation to $17.5K, as well as had little to no conviction that price would hold $15.5K, as instead thought $12K or $14K was looking more likely. Took me a couple of months to be convinced that it was possible after enough consolidation, then was bullish again with the break above around $19K. I'm never been one for being accurate on bear market bottoms to be honest, as all the technicals are always screaming bearish, I'm better on trend changes as the technicals are a lot more obvious. The irony being that during those 200-ish days a DCA average would have been around $19.5K, whereas $20K dip buying and $19K break-out got me the same price, with less effort, while being completely wrong. Just saying.

Anyway, my theories of where price could next, whether back down to $20K or upto $30K shouldn't really be considered limitations just my perceived likelihoods. For sure we could double bottom at $15K (especially since we've seen a local double top), or otherwise continue onto $30K. It's purely my belief in the likelihoods/probabilities or these scenarios, which I find relatively low right now.  Probably the key point here is that I'm able to change my perception on bullish/bearish based on price change/action, unlike many others who are fixated on only one reality or the other, unable to change opinion etc.

Wow.  I am o.k. with your analysis, but you surely come off as a bit of a scared puppy.. to be wanting to compound one negative scenario after another and seemingly want to overly pee pare ur lil selfie for both downity and less likely scenarios... and I know that you are not presenting downity scenarios, but you are showing that you want to reduce your UPpity numbers in quite extreme ways because why?  Scaredy cat?  hahahahahaaha

Sure there is no problem in terms of being prepared for worser case scenarios, but still problematic to have the worser case scenarios as a kind of base case.

But whatever, you do you if you want to keep a decent amount of fiat (just in case sub $10k comes.. and I know that you are not really saying that), when you probably should be spending more time not putting so much efforts into mindpower, energies and likely finances into such negative scenarios.. and sure such downity scenarios still might happen, but still... I am just saying what is my impression.. even though I do appreciate that you are assigning somewhat realistic variables to UP.. .

And, even on a personal level, I have trouble figuring out how to assign up versus down and also putting a timeline on such assignments because I have a hard time concluding that we are out of the bear market until getting significantly above the 200-week moving average, and I am not even sure how to contemplate such variation of scenarios without us actually getting above the 200-week moving average an staying above it, which has not really happened in any kind of signifiant and meaningful way in the last 9 months... so yeah, BTC prices between the 200-week moving average and the 100-week moving average for a while would at least be helpful for me to start to think that maybe we are out of the bearmarket... so anyhow, I better stop, since the more I type, the more I am starting to consider that your numbers might be reasonable, even though my first impression is to call you a scaredy-cat who seems to want to jump negatively at any sign that UPpity might not be continuing in the short term... and then in recent times, especially the last year or so, you seem to overly assign negative long term ramifications to that.


Personally, I have always been quite fond of "self-directed" mandates.  But, hey maybe that's just me?  I get kind of stubborn sometimes, especially when I look at how self-directedly irresponsible I was during various times in that period... and some of that self-directed stubborness had gotten me into various pickles... and showing some of the various risk-loving aspects of my character that are not as pronounced (and least in terms of how to treat the corpus - meat wagon) in these days in contrast to the senses of immortality that existed during younger times, relatively speaking. #justsaying.


Oh gawd Philip.  

You might need to consider using some charts yourself.. maybe you might be able to learn a wee bit in that seemingly ongoing stubborn noggen of yours.. hahahahaha no homo.. , so that you might be better able to assign probabilities to various possible scenarios rather than to get all worked up on one angle versus another and then seeming to ongoingly misallocate resources in accordance with your getting caught up into those wrong and even foolish angles of analysis.

I am not even suggesting that I agree with dragonvslinus in a majority of cases (actually, I am not sure how much I agree with him, but I recall that I used to disagree with him a lot more when he used to be more bearish.. but either he has come around or I have come around.. I am not sure?), and sometimes, I do consider that he is putting too much weight into aspects of the predictive capabilities of his charts (and likely limitations in regards to what could happen) based on such charting techniques.

Obviously a (bear-) traB  

EDIT: I'm out for today. The skies are clear, i cleaned the correction lenses of my favourite telescope, time to go combat the nearly full moon. May post OT images soon...
#GN

Explanation

1 WOsMerit is a virtual sMerit i don't have (yet) but will send in the future, probably. (I actually did)


That's interesting.  I experience similar memorizing problems, although maybe not as intense.  

It's actually right on the edge, so that I can accept not being able to remember certain stuff at certain moments.  

I almost tend to feel that there is a reason that my brain does not dig out the stuff I want it to.  That reason being actual importance.

I wonder, maybe it just knows better than me what info I really need.  And I somewhat came to trust my brain to some extend in that regard.  (Trusting it to save the right resources)

For example, I have hard times remembering peoples names, but I came to the understanding that names are just not that important, when you are interested in a person's inside instead.  

On the contrary I rarely ever forget faces.  I can recognize individuals in the street with whom I had the last contact over 10-20 years ago.  And I can approach them and say hi.  For me that is far more important than to remember their name.

So I started to trust my brain a bit more that it put its resources where it seems appropriate.

And thanks for the Theanine info.  I guess I will drink more green tea again.  Was a big fan but got lazy having to prepare it.
Btw there are some studies about coconut oil preventing Alzheimers.  Maybe it's good for memory in general.