-snip-
Well, why didn't I get reckt? Yet? Consider that.
Actually, there are likely quite a few of WO regulars who did not get reckt.. but there may well be some portfolios that are doing better than other portfolios, but also depending on how they are being measured.. and sometimes it can be misleading to measure at specific snapshot times too... Nonetheless, we can still have our ways of making various arguments with one another and to say that "you should do this" or "you should have done that." It's up to each of us, if we consider whether to make any adjustments at this point or at some time in the future in order to perhaps have better feelings about our investment portfolios. .and hopefully, BTC's ongoing role within that.
I submit getting reckt is subjective.
Am I reckt? my mining income is no longer 32k/4 per month it is more like 4k/4 per month.
So 8000 a month is now 1000 a month Is that reckt?
For some that would be reckt for me it is not why is that? $0 debt.
Yeah it was nice making 8k a month for some months in 2021 and for some months in 2022. It is not so nice making 1k per month.
But $0 debt and a good power deal means I am ready for uppity.
A rebound for BTC means my mining rebounds.
flatline for BTC means I can expand my btc gear and my btc holdings.
So this year 2023 at 14-18k means I dca I buy some dips. I grow my mine.
or this year at 28-38k means I dca I keep mine size stable.
We all have plans one way or the other.
I am set in the 14-18k range
I am set in the 28-38k range
I am set in the 56-100k range
I am set in the 101-200k range
I am selling and stopping all mining or dca in the 200k+ range.
on the downside I am good till around 6k at 6k I am not sure what mining will be for me as my power may not be cheap enough at that price.
i think that all hodlers got rekt in a sense (if you had most before 2022) by losing 70% of the nominal value (measured in less ability to pay for typical things), although it is different in comparison to the situation when your coins were stolen either by a hack or by some unscrupulous, possibly criminal, and definitely negligible entity such as FTX, Blockfi, Celsius, etc, etc.
As far as breakeven for mining, people can tolerate negative return for a short time (I assume maybe half a year or a bit less).