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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 25999. (Read 26608508 times)

hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Who's there?
People learn and recognize patterns. Spending 20 minutes looking at the 30 minutes charts for the last month should convince anyone.  I wish there was a site that would also show the buy/sell action, order by order, during a specified candle, as well.

Yesterday, we had the 2k wall and only a tiny dump (600 coins?), apparently because no big guys followed his lead.  Everyone remembers what happened nearly every day since June, especially the massacre at 500.  As soon as they buy and the trend is up, 1000 coins are market dropped on the market and they are sitting at a loss.

I suspect that it would take a 5 days to a week with no major dumps before buyers get any confidence that it is safe to buy.  Until that occurs, down we go.
I want to be convinced  Smiley What specifically should I look for?
full member
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Where can I get historic data series of Bitcoin prices?
legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
People learn and recognize patterns. Spending 20 minutes looking at the 30 minutes charts for the last month should convince anyone.  I wish there was a site that would also show the buy/sell action, order by order, during a specified candle, as well.

Yesterday, we had the 2k wall and only a tiny dump (600 coins?), apparently because no big guys followed his lead.  Everyone remembers what happened nearly every day since June, especially the massacre at 500.  As soon as they buy and the trend is up, 1000 coins are market dropped on the market and they are sitting at a loss.

I suspect that it would take a 5 days to a week with no major dumps before buyers get any confidence that it is safe to buy.  Until that occurs, down we go.

+1
sr. member
Activity: 341
Merit: 250
How do I know that this isn't the bottom? Because less than 100 coins have traded on BFX in the past hour... (correction, we just got a 57 coin pump)... there is no volume, nobody is excited about this purportedly low price, and even the bag holders aren't doubling down anymore and talking about lowering their average price.

This along with the Junta periodically engaging in dumps means... lower, lower, lower!

Have you really only been here since June of 2014?   Are you one of "those people" that were just here for the "July/Aug Rally" and now it's not materialized, so fuck this place and fuck Bitcoin?

 Grin
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
How do I know that this isn't the bottom? Because less than 100 coins have traded on BFX in the past hour... (correction, we just got a 57 coin pump)... there is no volume, nobody is excited about this purportedly low price, and even the bag holders aren't doubling down anymore and talking about lowering their average price.

This along with the Junta periodically engaging in dumps means... lower, lower, lower!

People learn and recognize patterns. Spending 20 minutes looking at the 30 minutes charts for the last month should convince anyone.  I wish there was a site that would also show the buy/sell action, order by order, during a specified candle, as well.

Yesterday, we had the 2k wall and only a tiny dump (600 coins?), apparently because no big guys followed his lead.  Everyone remembers what happened nearly every day since June, especially the massacre at 500.  As soon as they buy and the trend is up, 1000 coins are market dropped on the market and they are sitting at a loss.

I suspect that it would take a 5 days to a week with no major dumps before buyers get any confidence that it is safe to buy.  Until that occurs, down we go.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
How do I know that this isn't the bottom? Because less than 100 coins have traded on BFX in the past hour... (correction, we just got a 57 coin pump)... there is no volume, nobody is excited about this purportedly low price, and even the bag holders aren't doubling down anymore and talking about lowering their average price.

This along with the Junta periodically engaging in dumps means... lower, lower, lower!

Have you really only been here since June of 2014?   Are you one of "those people" that were just here for the "July/Aug Rally" and now it's not materialized, so fuck this place and fuck Bitcoin?
sr. member
Activity: 541
Merit: 362
Rules not Rulers


This along with the Junta periodically engaging in dumps means... lower, lower, lower!



So?

You're not going to get rich overnight. Poor baby. Weigh your options, then make a decision. Being a little bitch is not only unbecoming, it means you have no real faith in yourself or your decision making. Worst case you lose some money. Big fucking deal. Best case you make some money......in your case you will still be a little bitch.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
How do I know that this isn't the bottom? Because less than 100 coins have traded on BFX in the past hour... (correction, we just got a 57 coin pump)... there is no volume, nobody is excited about this purportedly low price, and even the bag holders aren't doubling down anymore and talking about lowering their average price.

This along with the Junta periodically engaging in dumps means... lower, lower, lower!
legendary
Activity: 981
Merit: 1005
No maps for these territories
Mozilla is releasing their $30 smart phone throughout India, Africa and other parts of asia, which runs BTC quite well. BTC was never a good idea for rich westerns, credit cards are better for almost all circumstances. The un-banked is where it is for BTC, especially since those cultures know very well not to trust their governments with their money, you think Indians buy gold cause it looks pretty?

Lots of people here seem pretty depressed about BTC at the moment, but if you ask me it is only just starting to find its feet. So you are not all going to be rich enough to retire in the next 6 months. Suck it up, this is not about you.

Nice vibe <3
legendary
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legendary
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Thanks!  So GABI will be just another mysterious source of unpredictable disturbances in the fabric of spacetime...
... if that is what you take from it.. then so be it Jorge... so be it...

What I mean is that we will not know when and whether they are buying or selling what.  Perhaps they will invest the first 200 M$ into bitcoin mining farms, or ASIC manufacturing, or cod liver oil...


I think we will see something like


 Arbitrage    10.00%
 Fundamental 10.00%
 Momentum  10.00%
 Option spreads 10.00% (eventually)
 Pattern recognition 10.00%
 Spreading - hedging 10.00%
 Technical    15.00%
 Trend-following    25.00%

------------------------------------------------------------

 Bitcoin + ecosystem 70.00% (ish, maybe less, maybe more)
 Energy 10% -20%
 Precious metals    5%-10.00%
 Industrial metals 5% - 10.00%

 Maybe even a few pennies thrown at grains/livestock    

 That would be my guess
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Thanks!  So GABI will be just another mysterious source of unpredictable disturbances in the fabric of spacetime...
... if that is what you take from it.. then so be it Jorge... so be it...

What I mean is that we will not know when and whether they are buying or selling what.  Perhaps they will invest the first 200 M$ into bitcoin mining farms, or ASIC manufacturing, or cod liver oil...
sr. member
Activity: 541
Merit: 362
Rules not Rulers
Mozilla is releasing their $30 smart phone throughout India, Africa and other parts of asia, which runs BTC quite well. BTC was never a good idea for rich westerns, credit cards are better for almost all circumstances. The un-banked is where it is for BTC, especially since those cultures know very well not to trust their governments with their money, you think Indians buy gold cause it looks pretty?

Lots of people here seem pretty depressed about BTC at the moment, but if you ask me it is only just starting to find its feet. So you are not all going to be rich enough to retire in the next 6 months. Suck it up, this is not about you.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1078
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just for you creekbore  Wink

Thanks...a man dancing in a giant condom always make me think a bull market is round the corner Wink
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But on a more serious note. I am not finding any of the information you post about GABI particularly reassuring especially when viewed against the values that Bitcoin was meant to be about 'back in the day' (creekbore join date 02-08-2011).

First off -- Jersey is a tax haven for the filthy rich who have little in the way of social conscience or responsibility (as I think you are aware).

Then these guys have worked for such pillars of mammon as RD/S and JP Morgan while their claim to fame is creating financial products ie taking advantage of financial deregulation to spin markets for maximum profit, often leaving a trail of investors in penury.  I'm sure you read Private Eye now and then (I'm a subscriber) and JP Morgan in particular are no angels.  I'm sure if I went back through editions especially of the "In the City" column some of these names would pop up.

But these are now our saviours?  I don't think so... they would short BTC to oblivion if they thought they could make a buck.

The ideals of this project are long dead if we are regarding these people as valued entrants to the market.  I suspect they have as much in common with the values of Satoshi as silk has with shit.

EDIT: I see someone has already uncovered some dirt on these characters.  I'm sure they are not 'bozos' and are excellent at making money, I just suspect they don't give a shit how they do it.

do not get me wrong... I am not saying that these guys or GABI are "saviours"...  far from it.. (I did not realise Bitcoin was in need of saving) I am not even saying GABI is that important per se... but it is what it is.. I was more confirming that they more than likely DO have their ducks in a row (vis a vis the $200 million bucks they think they will be playing with in the next 6 months...) which has implications... also even if it is regulated in Jersey it is still regulated so their is some oversight... this is a world first... so it is something.. on its own not so much.. but added with others to follow, it all adds to the buying pressure, and will bring some liquidity along with it...  I as a matter of interest will be keeping a keen eye on who these players are that enter the market and continue to add tidbits of information for my own due dilligence and to satisfy my obsession...

I know all about JP Morgan, and indeed the company I worked with merged with them while I was there.. so basically I actually worked there for a period.. and I worked with a lot of decent and very straight people (more so than in the city) from Jersey too and smart people..

I just happened to be in a position to provide details.... so I thought I would let blast...

Also I actually found that much of my interactions with Jersey led me to work with and deal with a good deal of very very straight individuals...  now not to say that there is not some rotten players.. I am sure there are as there are everywhere..  but on the whole, compliance wise and technology wise, I for one am glad that places like Jersey and the Isle of Man are getting involved..

I hear what you are saying, I just think that Bitcoin is going to do what Bitcoin does ... and will continue to do .... and I think funds , this one and future ones are going to play a role, even if we like it or not..  and they will be important for as long as they are.. and not any longer... so based on that I choose to acquire information..... apart from the "not bozos" and "serious players"  "connected"  I did not offer an opinion on if I think this is overall a good thing...  truth is
I am also concerned about this crowd you speak of.. but as it goes not the GABI crowd so much.. they are peanuts ... I would be FAR more worried about Daniels ex employee JP Morgan, than Daniel and GABI.... ultimately even those guys...I do not think they will be the end of BTC... could they cause a crazy ride on the way up?and down and up and down .... yeah... do I think so... but how long they can keep their grip for... will depend on how big BTC grows... fact is many markets are manipulated, and it sucks and that coupled with the never ending fresh crispy notes, makes price discovery near meaningless.. which has all sorts of implications not just for BTC.. and yeah the world would be a better place with those guys power eroded, and I think we will get there...

for now though.. the enemy of my enemy is my friend


(the growing reality of decentralisation (not just in finance, but in other areas too which technology is impacting and disrupting) is still what excites me the most... by far... and that journey has only just begun, of that I am very sure... and of course the manipulated markets, the games, and the money printing are all part of what BTC holds the promise to address)

(Aside from the more obvious areas related to politics and society, finance/economics and liberty, which are often a red rag to a bull on this thread....  I see the "internet of things" as an interesting topic in terms of BTCs future and its potential (and also the implications of the internet of things to decentralisation in general)...another area I have been researching,  I may rattle on about that for a while at a later date)


ALSO... I do not find it insignifcant... that just from one connection I had, I see that former employees 5 or so of the legacy financial system... are making their way and spreading into various parts of the Bitcoin ecosystem...  could it be that some of them ... some of them... have seen delight? I have no problem with professionals entering the network as long as they bring something of value.... many of them are in a position to know the games played better than many others... interesting that BTC has drawn such a diverse mix of talent from so many fields.. (engineers, coders, designers, economists, cryptology experts, humanitarians, scientists etc,  and even ex-"bankers" ... it is a massive brain fund, and for once the JP Morgans and GoldmanSacks, Enrons of the world may not be "the smartest guy in the room")  
full member
Activity: 238
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I am starting to suspect that you are all dead and don't even know it, yet. That means the price will probably rise in dramatic fashion given it is the opposite of what I now think.
legendary
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legendary
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Google "Daniel Masters"  and see what his funds did the past.

Also google "Blythe Masters"  his famous wife,  the inventor of the credit default swap.   She was also the head of JP Morgan global commodities.   The one that silver investors malign for suspicion of Undecided manipulating the silver market

I bet what they is hold bitcoins for clients and hedge against these positions.   I believe thats he did at JP Morgan.   He bought physical oil and sold oil futures against it


Indeed, you can see the past three funds that have been launched by Global advisors,  2 in black, one is down.. and ?  and if you have a read...... also if you look at the timing of the other two they closed back in 2007 and the situation with the market at the time commodities were getting hammered , and they had a load of investors pull out...

Anyway the guys are not bozos... and I am not sure Daniel is so chummy anymore with some of the JP crowd... and Blythe is now his ex wife.

Also yeah I know all about Blythe, she pretty much was commodities trading at JP for a while... slippery... anyone who has ever traded silver knows all about her and her gangs supposed games..
legendary
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l.

So what I think will happen is that hopefully soon we will see $5-10k, starting in as little as 1-4 weeks, but even if it takes longer or doesn't happen in 2014, 2015 will be amazing! I honestly think $100,000 to $1million in 2015, easy!



I am only playing here...... but where did you get it? have you got a number? cos that must be some primo stuff you are smoking  Smiley

I am a bull... but holy moly batman that is bullish.... the 5-10 bit within the next year I can imagine... the $100,000 plus within a year and a half... well I have trouble allowing myself.. bejesus could you imagine it... ha ha oh my...


(now I am gonna go and read the link  Smiley )

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