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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 26239. (Read 26713218 times)

legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Barely back above $500, on low-ish volume, right after a sharp drop following a long period of stagnation, still no signs of fresh fiat, but the hodlers (not the same as holders, got no problem with the latter) and cultists are back in force, talking about a new ATH this year, etc. Don't know if we'll make a new low anymore, but don't see any signs for a real trend reversal yet either.

Anyway...


Um, yeah. If there is someone smarter than you with substantially more money, then he's probably going to take it from you.  Listen up, people: there are two things that we are doing here to provide value to the Bitcoin economy: We are either reducing volatility and making money, or we are contributing volatility and paying off the good traders and hopefully learning something in the process. WE are the decentral bankers of Bitcoin. We are the liquidity providers and we are also here to take away the punch bowl when things get too frothy. We are trying to do what central bankers would try to do if bitcoin had a central bank.  Now bitcoin is too volatile which means we are needed. The goal for most people here is to learn what the hell you are doing before you go broke. It's hard, but there is great opportunity for those with skill and a high risk tolerance.

Pay attention to the moving averages.  until the four hour cross, there is no real momentum at all and we can assume a bias to the down side. I missed the train on the shot up to $687 so I'm not risking all cash, but here we are back in the four hundreds, so all I really lost was three months and I still have the same money as if I rode the market up and back down. Make your money on the overshoots up and down, and have enough coin and fiat to profit if either happens.

Happy to see you posting again, billyjoe. Don't always agree with you, but your posts are always entertaining.

the lowest we've touched since the last ATH was $339.79 (stamp), if you zoom out the 3d/1w chart and take a close look, you will notice how ugly that MACD is looking like, considering the fact that MACD is a lagging indicator and cant be considered a 100% signal for trades, but with momentum it is still a good indicator for possible directions.

We went up from $480 to $510 on low volume and the chart is still looking ugly, the thing about the 1w/3d charts is that you have to be sure and confident when others are jumping around and yelling reversal and ATH, and by looking at Bitstamp's book order I can tell that this push wasn't mostly from new fresh money coming to the exchange, so my suggestion is that the group of " sell low and buy high" that is cheering and getting over excited are on action again.

billyjoeallen, see you leave for 3 months and you come back to a lower price, people should learn something from you.




Maybe reading comprehension is NOT your specialty, MMITECH?  BJA left b/c he had shorted the last run up.. in other words, he was betting against it and lost.  He came back and posted in the $490 area, and lectured that we should short... Same kind of stupid stuff that you are saying.  I guess, two peas in a pod, you and him, no?   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy    Wink
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
playing pasta and eating mandolinos
Everybody screaming buy... time to **** then.  

Shocked  Shocked   Shocked   Shocked
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
At this point there is only THE catalyst that could really put BTC is real bull mode: and that is the Winklevoss ETF.
Until then, rises might be short lived  Sad

This... this is a short-term bounce in a bear market. But it is the type of short term bounce that will go at least 30 and could go 100... so I am ok in riding on the free money give away.

Praying for 547.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Available Now!
At this point there is only THE catalyst that could really put BTC is real bull mode: and that is the Winklevoss ETF.
Until then, rises might be short lived  Sad

Gabi. 10 days.

Edit: 12  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Sellers on Finex putting up a fight.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
At this point there is only THE catalyst that could really put BTC is real bull mode: and that is the Winklevoss ETF.
Until then, rises might be short lived  Sad

This... this is a short-term bounce in a bear market. But it is the type of short term bounce that will go at least 30 and could go 100... so I am ok in riding on the free money give away.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
At this point there is only THE catalyst that could really put BTC is real bull mode: and that is the Winklevoss ETF.
Until then, rises might be short lived  Sad
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
lets see a nice short liquidation cascade!


Can anyone make an educated guess at what point the shorts could get liquidated?

I'd think it would be alot higher than this, but I have no idea how to properly calculate


It's all stop losses, it would require a lot more upside to actually trigger the majority of shorts to get margin called.

And anyone with the brain of a cockroach would close before a margin call is triggered.  A margin call means your collateral is gone.

The shorts are waiting for a correction down to minimize losses.  Another 10-20 dollars and they might give up.
legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1040
If we don't break 530 we's in trouble.
sr. member
Activity: 404
Merit: 500
i honestly think we will stop around 530-550. But yeah, this isn't too sustainable, so we'd likely see a little correction.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Ahh dammit we are heading straight up...and someone talked about breaking 510 walls a while ago.
And i fucked up with my coins...fukkk.

That would be me... for future reference, you can use a stop buy order for the reverse of it's normal purpose when you know there is a technical point that will change situation and you don't want to hover over your computer for hours on end.
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 281
PANIC BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
lets see a nice short liquidation cascade!


Can anyone make an educated guess at what point the shorts could get liquidated?

I'd think it would be alot higher than this, but I have no idea how to properly calculate



They'll throw in the towel around $525 even if they don't get liquidated I'd imagine. Unless they are cray cray.
.

So...like, NOW?  (Just hit 525.  legendary run)
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
lets see a nice short liquidation cascade!


Can anyone make an educated guess at what point the shorts could get liquidated?

I'd think it would be alot higher than this, but I have no idea how to properly calculate


It's all stop losses, it would require a lot more upside to actually trigger the majority of shorts to get margin called.

educated guess = 640+ 
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Seriously, though, do y'all believe in this run?  I mean, it's not sustainable, is it?

Keeping some powder dry, not trying to find THE bottom, still.  If I don't buy again for a while, that's OK.

We'll get a solid run... the shorts will back out... likely stops temporarily at $550. You might as well jump in on the short term free money giveaway, though.
hero member
Activity: 601
Merit: 503
is this the beginning of 2014 rally ?
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
lets see a nice short liquidation cascade!


Can anyone make an educated guess at what point the shorts could get liquidated?

I'd think it would be alot higher than this, but I have no idea how to properly calculate



They'll throw in the towel around $525 even if they don't get liquidated I'd imagine. Unless they are cray cray.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
Seriously, though, do y'all believe in this run?  I mean, it's not sustainable, is it?

Keeping some powder dry, not trying to find THE bottom, still.  If I don't buy again for a while, that's OK.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
lets see a nice short liquidation cascade!


Can anyone make an educated guess at what point the shorts could get liquidated?

I'd think it would be alot higher than this, but I have no idea how to properly calculate


It's all stop losses, it would require a lot more upside to actually trigger the majority of shorts to get margin called.
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