Bears are idiots. It is clear we broke the downtrend - you cannot just redraw a a downtrend line to match today's price
Wow, you sir are the perfect example why old time bitcoiners don´t want to contribute to this forum anymore.
There is someone who spends time and efforts to contribute to this forum and all you have to say is that bears are idiots ? Instead of "thank you for your analysis, but I got a different view because of...." you call this person an idiot ? Actually not only this person, but all bears ?
Looking through your posts, I was not able to find any contribution from your side which was a bit valuable. In my view, you are the idiot here. Just because you have only seen Bitcoin in a three digit range, you believe there will be no other ? I would not be too sure of that. There could be a big disappointment.
I believe in Charts to some extend, and believe the guy has done a reasonable job. Can he predict the future ? Certainly not, we all don´t know where Bitcoin is going. There is more than just drawing lines.
I am a bear in this situation, but instead of calling all the bulls idiots, I will try to back it up with some reasonable points.
1. The Chartanalysis above......
2. Dell news. This is major news !!! I agree on that and should drive the price to... wherever. BUT, there is a good old saying: buy the rumour, sell the news. A lot of people knew about it before it was published and took their positions. That is the reason why the Bitcoin price has not moved since the news were published. They are now taking profits and the sheep buying on the news are paying for it. The conclusion in this case, the market is saturated. No more reasonable positive performance for quite a while.
3. Bitfinex Credit Bubble. 30 million USD on loan ? at a price of USD 600 this makes at least 50.000 bitcoins which need to be sold at some stage. There will be no CCMF before this problem is off the table. look at current volumes. This is more than 10 days of Bitstamp volume....
4. Bitcoin auction. Till today, no one knows about the price and people are estimating sky high numbers. An auction price around USD 600 would at this point a very profitable trade worthwhile to realise some profits. But it certainly caps bitcoin performance.
5. Further Bitcoin auctions. What should I say... more Bitcoin to come to the market
6. Adoption. People are very bullish about retailers adopting bitcoin. For me that is bearish news. There are people with thousands of BTC who just don´t want to pay tax. Just buying their luxury goods with bitcoins is what they are waiting for a long time. Selling them for USD, EUR or whatever would mean they would need to pay taxes. Just buying goods is a nice tax evasion scheme.
7. Wall Street will enter... yawn. I know hedgefunds which are playing bitcoin since 2012. If they do something, they are selling
8. Bitcoin is a new technology. Bitcoin is as old as the IPhone 3.... You just heard about it too late and believe you found something new....
I personally would not spend 600 USD on a bitcoin. I believe that it is highly overvalued at this price and everyone paying this amount of money is out of his mind. I still have enough to make a good living, but I will rather sell some than buy...