doesn't anyone else see the similarities?
The important part is post-bubble. There's no reason to think that it will behave the same as in 2011.
There is no bad news this time to crush confidence. Actually, good news is still coming in just as it did on the way up. New merchants accepting every day. New exchanges and projects being worked on. Plenty of media coverage and people coming in.
There is good news flowing everyday still we are not moving that's really some worry part.
Exactly. None of the good news did anything to the price whatsoever. Yet people expect the price to magically go up sometime soon. I sure hope this magic will happen but i just can't find a reason for it.
Try to be more patient. It's difficult to say exact day when the next major rise will happen. If you think about it, Silk Road was not so big reason for Bitcoin to rise 10x.
Most people are sheeps and they follow the people they control the market...It is simple...When big whales will want it to happen, it will happen and sheeps will follow...maybe i am wrong though, but i think patient is the key in Bitcoin investing.
I get that but why would it suddenly rise? I can see it happen slowly over time but why is there this idea that sometime soon we'll see an explosion? I don't see a reason for it.
And the problem is tons of people with tons of coins are expecting this as well. When it turns out nothing is gonna happen then guess what those people will do.
They way i see it is if we don't go up soon we might crash hard.
A lot of people will move their money to something else.
That in bold above
Honestly if you don't see how it will rise, you haven't really researched the last 2 bubbles. Whale investors suddenly appeared out of nowhere, and started seeding the market by buying up large amounts of btc. High volume suddenly appeared in the market for no real reason. With the sudden and pronounced price rise, then all the Joe Public fence sitters and panic buyers jumped in. Then the media followed. Then more panic buying. It's really that simple. Then in hindsight, the media and the community wanted to come up with valid reasons for the bubbles (Oh it was Cyprus, Oh it was China, etc.). After the bubble declined, these whale market makers completely left the scene. I haven't seen evidence of them back in the market yet.
So the more interesting question to ask is, "What in the
market conditions will make the whale investors think the
time is right to suddenly appear out of nowhere, and start seeding the market again?" My theory is that they simply look for a few key indicators that the market has reversed (like 1W MACD, etc.), extrapolate the growth of bitcoin awareness factor from the last bubble (by looking at bitcoinpulse metrics, etc.), and have some insider trading knowledge on major events that are coming up. Then they use a combination of all this information to help 'engineer' a bubble.