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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 27058. (Read 26709834 times)

sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
With Bitcoin, the candle highs and lows are easily manipulated due to the size of the market.  The best way to represent trendlines are thus to base off the candle close.

This is the one I'm monitoring on the daily chart.  But again, I'd only declare it broken if a candle actually closed beneath it.
But the candle close changes if you use a different time interval on Bwisdom
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
With Bitcoin, the candle highs and lows are easily manipulated due to the size of the market.  The best way to represent trendlines are thus to base off the candle close.

This is the one I'm monitoring on the daily chart.  But again, I'd only declare it broken if a candle actually closed beneath it.

sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
Nice! They broke it   Grin Grin Grin
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
This is bad, we are touching the Long term trend line at Stamp at 572 and nobody is buying wtf???


Of course nobody is buying. There is a huuuge major event coming up that controls the whole market and could put us down by a massive amount.
I know about the silk road auction and I know that until the 27th we won't see huge spikes, I'm just saying that nobody seems to be defending the VERY important long term trend line. A Big dump could take us way below that trend line, which would be TERRIBLE for BTC.

I like lines!

which line were you referring to exactly?
Yes that one pretty much





If you draw the trend line with the two points at red arrows you would have predicted
1: the $340 crash bottom
2: confirmation of the trend reversal with the huge pump "out of nowhere"
3: bounce from the last 680-540 crash


that trend line

What, you thought this trend line could go on forever?

Haha.  Why, exactly? Because Bitcoin said so?



More interesting question is where a new support line would form (assuming trend is broken). "The bubble baseline" - somewhere between $100 and $200 seems way too pessimistic, imho.

Well if we, for a moment, throw arbitrary log lines out the window and just focus on common sense, we will note that the gutting of MtGox and the major desimation of the China Bitcoin markets brought us down to 360ish and then resolved into the low 400's where we literally ran out of sellers.

So, if we assume nothing worse than those two huge negative events occurs in the near future, we are not going to go below the 420s, because people will refuse to sell.

The 78% retracement is around $530ish. That's probably as low as we go. Maybe 500 on a really bad sell off.

The other option is we go UP!  However, that doesn't mean we go follow this arbitrary trend line everyone is crapping the bed about.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
apologies if this has already been asked and answered, but will we know what the coins have sold for on the 27th? I didn't think such things were reported?
This question has been asked and answered, indeed. It is on the USMS FAQ, whose link is at the top of the auction announcement.

The USMS will not release any information about the outcome; they will notify the winners that they have won and must send the payment, and tell the losers that they have not won, period.  BUT on the next line they next give instructions on how to submit a FOIA request, BUT BUT they remind readers that there are exceptions to what you can get with a FOIA.

If you still cannot read this answer, try un-ignoring me, just for this post.  Wink
full member
Activity: 336
Merit: 100
This is bad, we are touching the Long term trend line at Stamp at 572 and nobody is buying wtf???


Of course nobody is buying. There is a huuuge major event coming up that controls the whole market and could put us down by a massive amount.
I know about the silk road auction and I know that until the 27th we won't see huge spikes, I'm just saying that nobody seems to be defending the VERY important long term trend line. A Big dump could take us way below that trend line, which would be TERRIBLE for BTC.

I like lines!

which line were you referring to exactly?
Yes that one pretty much





If you draw the trend line with the two points at red arrows you would have predicted
1: the $340 crash bottom
2: confirmation of the trend reversal with the huge pump "out of nowhere"
3: bounce from the last 680-540 crash


that trend line

What, you thought this trend line could go on forever?

Haha.  Why, exactly? Because Bitcoin said so?



More interesting question is where a new support line would form (assuming trend is broken). "The bubble baseline" - somewhere between $100 and $200 seems way too pessimistic, imho.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
This is bad, we are touching the Long term trend line at Stamp at 572 and nobody is buying wtf???


Of course nobody is buying. There is a huuuge major event coming up that controls the whole market and could put us down by a massive amount.
I know about the silk road auction and I know that until the 27th we won't see huge spikes, I'm just saying that nobody seems to be defending the VERY important long term trend line. A Big dump could take us way below that trend line, which would be TERRIBLE for BTC.

I like lines!

which line were you referring to exactly?
Yes that one pretty much





If you draw the trend line with the two points at red arrows you would have predicted
1: the $340 crash bottom
2: confirmation of the trend reversal with the huge pump "out of nowhere"
3: bounce from the last 680-540 crash


that trend line

What, you thought this trend line could go on forever?

Haha.  Why, exactly? Because Bitcoin said so?

legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
I am impressed with the last 2 hours. There is still some fighting chance left if there is a good recovery over the next 8 hours.

Oh, jess. Drama much?
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
Bulls need to bid above the resistance line to invalidate this target. If we continue to breakdown, target is 550. @ibankbitcoins

http://ibankbitcoins.com/sites/default/files/resize/users/user1/2014-06-24_chart-947x661.jpg
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
1w MACD's histogram is not green anymore. Not that it matters much.
TA is extremely difficult at this moment the way trends are breaking and all kinds of indicators are conflicting. Investing in Bitcoin right now is basically an act of faith. "I believe that Bitcoin is the future of money and will eventually rise even if it's not rising right now". I'm finding myself looking to take a long term investment with money that I'm willing to lose and closing out the rest of my 'trading position'.
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
apologies if this has already been asked and answered, but will we know what the coins have sold for on the 27th? I didn't think such things were reported?

One would think that the American people would at least hold their government responsible to the point of disclosing the total revenues, or are they that brainwashed as to give them leeway for major graft?

hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Who's there?
1w MACD's histogram is not green anymore. Not that it matters much.
sr. member
Activity: 541
Merit: 362
Rules not Rulers
apologies if this has already been asked and answered, but will we know what the coins have sold for on the 27th? I didn't think such things were reported?
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
LOL  Smiley Wink Cheesy Grin Cool Roll Eyes

Price drops by a dozen dollars and the beartrolls are chirping like a tree full of chickadees.

How, er, "cheerful and carefree".



"See them gaily gad about.
They love to play and shout,
They never have any care"

LOL.

 Smiley Wink Cheesy Grin Cool Roll Eyes

hahahahahaha
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
I am impressed with the last 2 hours. There is still some fighting chance left if there is a good recovery over the next 8 hours.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
I've been here for quite some time and I agree with Shroomskit.  You can lay claim to keeping "[your] mind agile and free from cultist's poisonous thoughts" but your actions speak otherwise.
This is just untrue. Only recently have I made a bullish case based on my technical analysis here and here for instance.

I'll admit that I have a natural tendency to be more on the bearish/cautious side with Bitcoin especially with regard to my posts here, and this is attributed to three factors:

1) Humans have an aversion to losses that is psychologically greater than the reward from equal wins
2) Bitcoin has brief trending periods in which it trends strongly to the upside followed by long counter trend periods where it declines or does not do much of anything
3) There is plenty of bullish commentary at almost all times, and thus I simply do not feel the need to rehearse all that

I rarely ever defend myself and I won't continue to do so further (just send me a PM if you want to talk), but this sort of knee-jerk reaction is something I see happening not only with myself but also other mentally similar and outspoken traders like oda.krell and TERA constantly, and perhaps this will explain at least my side better.

PS: Have you ever noticed that trader almost sounds like traitor? Think on it. Cheesy

You'll never ever have any credibility after trolling/predicting Bitcoin apocalypse at 70$. You were barely better than fonzie back than.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
@theshmadz
This is bad, we are touching the Long term trend line at Stamp at 572 and nobody is buying wtf???


Of course nobody is buying. There is a huuuge major event coming up that controls the whole market and could put us down by a massive amount.
I know about the silk road auction and I know that until the 27th we won't see huge spikes, I'm just saying that nobody seems to be defending the VERY important long term trend line. A Big dump could take us way below that trend line, which would be TERRIBLE for BTC.

I like lines!

which line were you referring to exactly?
Yes that one pretty much





If you draw the trend line with the two points at red arrows you would have predicted
1: the $340 crash bottom
2: confirmation of the trend reversal with the huge pump "out of nowhere"
3: bounce from the last 680-540 crash


that trend line

What are your predictions for 2014?

not sure if your were asking me, but I'll spew out some nonsense at the slightest of opportunities Smiley

here is a zoom in of that same line - not the same line wanderer was showing, the other line I posted earlier... oh bother - I'm not sure, it might be the same line after all


my best guess is bouncy time, I'm not feeling anything being resolved until the auction is sorted out.

(edit - by bouncy time I mean a bunch of dangerous chop, not like trampoline bouncy to the moon type stuff, not yet.
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