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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 27209. (Read 26709775 times)

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500


The shape is similar but the magnitude, volume, and position within the trend are not.

I think it is almost exactly the same position in the trend. It's only up from here.

It's not the same position because we were in the progress of doing the initial breakdown correction rather than break upwards. The weekly MACD wasn't even green, whereas in 2013 the weekly MACD had already been green for two candles. Also, we have yet to even test the major resistance at $850. Yes, there are two resistances in 2014 vs one in 2013.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
So this was the silk road event october 2013:




And this the current event unfolding:


Striking similarities.

Who is painting these charts? Is it really "us"?



The shape is similar but the magnitude, volume, and position within the trend are not. The silk road crash was an unnatural even that occured as a bullish penant was in progress of breaking out to the upside.  Today's dip happened as a natural overdue market correction was occuring and we are not in a well established bull trend.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 587
Space Lord
You're all spreading FUD.

Now you're gonna say that Bitstamp is gonna die like MtGox Cheesy
copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!


The bitcoin info network was just 'digesting' the snack the Fed's offered in seized coin

(heh not sure how to tell but i'd bet China took more then 1 piece of the pizza (damn it!)

Searing
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
The trend for the past 9 hours is quite unusual. Usually, we see either of 3 scenarios: (1) Sharp spike (represented by long green candles) (2) Sharp drop (represented by long red candles) or (3) Sideways (Represented by short candles). For the past few hours, we saw short green candles. It is as though someone (or some bots) are snapping up BTC gradually and systematically.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Quiet Please ....600 passing ...choo choo Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Regarding silk road coins, if you had around $1.809.000 and bough BTC for it, would you sell them straight away? I don't think so. Anyone buying those coins will be longterm holders.
I have this notion (please correct me) that government auctions of other kinds of property, such as cars and houses, generally are closed well below the respective market prices.

It seems that the people who bid at government auctions usually include "professionals" who buy only to resell.  Those people place bids significantly below market price; if there are no higher bidders, they have made their day; otherwise they just retrieve their deposit and move on to the next auction.  People who are not "professionals" tend to be scared away by the bureaucratic requirements and the large deposit.

Since there will be some delay between sending the payment and receiving the coins, the bidders will also have to factor into their bids the likelihood of the market price falling in that interval and then taking months to recover. 

In summary, it is by no means assured that the auction will close above market. I rather expect the opposite.


sr. member
Activity: 269
Merit: 250

I thought that the problem with the 51% is the allowing transaction confirmations rather than whether your pool receives a block award... but it has to do with being able to transact with money that you do NOT have to then steal and then to undermine confidence in the network b/c you control the approvals of the transactions.

The problem with an entity having more than 50% of the hashing power is that it basically can decide the winning chain.
Below 50% it can't go off and do its own thing as it needs others to contribute. With more than 50% it will always eventually make a chain that is longer than a competing one
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 587
Space Lord
legendary
Activity: 1133
Merit: 1163
Imposition of ORder = Escalation of Chaos
I'm happy to hear that the US government has decided to sell 0.1% of all coins which will ever be mined for a couple of million of their own currency. Way less than they keep creating in one day, actually.

Now Uncle Sam, please hurry up with the DPR trial (free him btw!) and sell off the rest of your coins Wink

EDIT: actually looking at the terms of the auction...these coins might just be going from bad to worse hands

Oh, well...it's just 30K BTC  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
Woke up to find my $550 order got filled on Stamp. Looks like I somehow got lucky as the bottom of the candle seems to be around $560.
Any thoughts on volume? Was that our bottom?

500.00 was the bottom I saw. That was the second drop, the first one bottomed at 500.3 or something. Consider yourself lucky, my order didn't get filled  Sad
This is how we know we problaby wont go that deep again.
Regarding silk road coins, if you had around $1.809.000 and bough BTC for it, would you sell them straight away? I don't think so. Anyone buying those coins will be longterm holders.
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000
Woke up to find my $550 order got filled on Stamp. Looks like I somehow got lucky as the bottom of the candle seems to be around $560.
Any thoughts on volume? Was that our bottom?

500.00 was the bottom I saw. That was the second drop, the first one bottomed at 500.3 or something. Consider yourself lucky, my order didn't get filled  Sad

Lolz

Bottom at stamp: 550.61

sr. member
Activity: 441
Merit: 250
Woke up to find my $550 order got filled on Stamp. Looks like I somehow got lucky as the bottom of the candle seems to be around $560.
Any thoughts on volume? Was that our bottom?

550.0 was the bottom I saw. That was the second drop, the first one bottomed at 550.6 or something. Consider yourself lucky, my order didn't get filled  Sad

edit: fat fingers! 550, not 500...
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Dear god!

https://i.imgur.com/UsTkUQ0.png

I'm scared. I'm really scared.

Are you gonna sell your coins?


No. No way. Let's just hope Ghash.IO stops doing this and possibly returns to 49%.

Guys, 50% is not a magical number. A pool at 49% is almost as dangerous as a pool at 51%.

The probability of a pool solving another 5 blocks in a row after solving the first one is 2.8% at 49% of total hashrate and 3.45% at 51% of total hashrate. Sure there is a difference, but you can't say a pool at 49% isn't something to worry about.

Still it gives a fake sense of safety... I realize we're fucked if GHash.io doesn't do something about this.

I thought that the problem with the 51% is the allowing transaction confirmations rather than whether your pool receives a block award... but it has to do with being able to transact with money that you do NOT have to then steal and then to undermine confidence in the network b/c you control the approvals of the transactions.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Woke up to find my $550 order got filled on Stamp. Looks like I somehow got lucky as the bottom of the candle seems to be around $560.
Any thoughts on volume? Was that our bottom?

Fonzie et al need not reply; I already know what you're going to say.


Even the bitcoin wisdom 30 minute candles show that the price on Stamp got down to $550 for three candles in a row.  I was watching the price fluctuations as the candles were forming, and I surely saw a lot of orders filled at $550.
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000
Dear god!

https://i.imgur.com/UsTkUQ0.png

I'm scared. I'm really scared.

Are you gonna sell your coins?


No. No way. Let's just hope Ghash.IO stops doing this and possibly returns to 49%.

Guys, 50% is not a magical number. A pool at 49% is almost as dangerous as a pool at 51%.

The probability of a pool solving another 5 blocks in a row after solving the first one is 2.8% at 49% of total hashrate and 3.45% at 51% of total hashrate. Sure there is a difference, but you can't say a pool at 49% isn't something to worry about.

Its a psychological number, the main strength of bitcoin is to be a decentralized system, is now more and more concentrated by a single entity. It shall make headlines!
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
Dear god!

https://i.imgur.com/UsTkUQ0.png

I'm scared. I'm really scared.

Are you gonna sell your coins?


No. No way. Let's just hope Ghash.IO stops doing this and possibly returns to 49%.

Guys, 50% is not a magical number. A pool at 49% is almost as dangerous as a pool at 51%.

The probability of a pool solving another 5 blocks in a row after solving the first one is 2.8% at 49% of total hashrate and 3.45% at 51% of total hashrate. Sure there is a difference, but you can't say a pool at 49% isn't something to worry about.

Could some miners change their pool?? Like immediately. What's so special about Ghash.IO that they get so many miners connected???
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 587
Space Lord
Dear god!

https://i.imgur.com/UsTkUQ0.png

I'm scared. I'm really scared.

Are you gonna sell your coins?


No. No way. Let's just hope Ghash.IO stops doing this and possibly returns to 49%.

Guys, 50% is not a magical number. A pool at 49% is almost as dangerous as a pool at 51%.

The probability of a pool solving another 5 blocks in a row after solving the first one is 2.8% at 49% of total hashrate and 3.45% at 51% of total hashrate. Sure there is a difference, but you can't say a pool at 49% isn't something to worry about.

Still it gives a fake sense of safety... I realize we're fucked if GHash.io doesn't do something about this.
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