It'd not have happened if it weren't for Sam, though. But... whatever.
For sure, there was something weird about Sam and his whole situation
(including going to supposed Billionaire status in a matter of months), and it is showing itself a lot more now..
funny how that works?
Who would'a thunk?Oh, which by the way, reminds me that we do need to be taking responsibilities for our own actions.. --- are we really going to say to ourselves... I was gambling.. but "It was Sam's fault?"
What was the largest dip in anything that was then recovered above the prior ATH?
Here are my recollections (sorry, some utterances will be shitcoins just for their historical record):
1. AMZN, went down 95% in 2000-2001, went way up the prior ATH, took 7-8 years.
2. GME, down 95% between 2008 and 2020, then 116X.
3. AMC, down 94% between 2015 and 2020, then 28X.
4. TLRY, first long dip 97.5%, then 17X up (did not reach the ATH), then another 96% down (total down from the ATH to ATL was 98.1%), we shall see how it goes.
2. AAPL went down 82.5% between 1991 and 1998 (that bear seemed endless), got rescued by S. Jobs, now a biggest company (or one of top three).
3. ETH (see the disclaimer above) went down 95% inside 2018, ATH in 2021, 59X from the low.
4. ADA (see the same disclaimer) went down 98.4% in 2017-2020, new ath in 2021, 150X from the low.
I have never seen something/anything that declined more then 99% (not counting oil futures going to negative value) coming back to exceed the ATH, but would be interested if such situation existed.
Apart from ADA, 95% seems to be the most "something" declined before reaching a new ATH.
What i am getting at: at $1000 (someone suggested this number as a remote possibility), it would be about 98.5% down. 95% would be $3445, a match to march 2020 "mindrust wick"
If less than that 98.5-99%, then there are no records to suggest that recovery is possible (it appears to never happen before, unless you can find such record, without counting bankruptcy cases).
So, crying would be kind of appropriate, as in crying for ALL of humanity, imho, not just bitcoin (at or below $1000).
Besides your shitcoin talk.. bitcoin is a protocol and not a company, so your comparisons are likely not quite on point.
So, even if bitcoin were to go below $1k, it would likely have decent chances to recover and proceed to have new all time highs - that is if we presume that it largely remains what it is in terms of development and code...
So for example we could have a massively coordinated state attack that comes right now and makes all exchanges in the USA illegal (and perhaps in other countries too), adn that could drive the price below $1k, but it likely will not kill bitcoin, and bitcoin could end up reaching ATHs again in 10 years or so. I am not even going to concede that it might even be feasible to attempt to coordinate such a wide-spread state attack without backlash .. but we should not rule out the possibility of such desperation attempts that truly may well cause a lot of backlash. .and even considerable division within this country and also in various places in the world.. for example, bombing El Salvador and things like that..
OK... I obviously do not mind sharing crazy opinions... so here's another.
We are standing on the threshold of the MOTHER of all short squeezes.
I just do not know how long it takes to cross that threshold. Could be longer than some of us have... could be faster than we would possibly expect.
You know what to do.
Everyone be like JJG and start a DCA today. As nike says just do it.
No fear just buy btc.
I am not sure if I say that, exactly, but I do say that DCA tends to be amongst the best ways to get started in BTC, but then when we have been in a while we might have already spent a lot of time accumulating BTC - and we might supplement DCAing with buying on dip and lump sum investing, which sure are variations of DCA.. so I doubt that I am saying that there is any one exact approach.. even though I would say that there are target ranges of BTC accumulation such as somewhere between 1% and 25% for the newbie.. but then the longer that someone has been into bitcoin, they will need to figure out their own target accumulation level. which may well depend upon how long they have been in. and then also whether the BTC that they do hold are in profits, or not... and how much in profits... of course, these days, none of us are likely feeling greatly "in profits," even if we are actually "in profits".. but being down more than 75% from the November 2021 top is not feeling that great, currently.. .. which surely could inspire some buying on dip, and maybe DCA could be a way of "dealing with" the feeling of running out of money... because so many dips have already been bought.
OK... I obviously do not mind sharing crazy opinions... so here's another.
We are standing on the threshold of the MOTHER of all short squeezes.
I just do not know how long it takes to cross that threshold. Could be longer than some of us have... could be faster than we would possibly expect.
You know what to do.
Everyone be like JJG and start a DCA today. As nike says just do it.
No fear just buy btc.
And remember this statement, it’s always true “Never invest more than you can afford to lose“.
I am
going to change my signature to:
three rules of btc.
1) be like JJG just DCA
2) Never invest more than you can afford to lose
3) Not your keys not your coins.
For the reasons stated in my above post (and probably other reasons to),
I no doesn't talk like that. DCA is one of the considerations.. and not just those other two considerations that you listed as your proposed sig, Philip.