It is interesting that even if 30,000 NEW adopters a DAY will emerge then it is only 11,000,000 per YEAR ... ( and only 110 millions per 10 YEARS ... what is less than 2% of population )
You are looking at it the wrong way, addoption is exponential not linear. Once bitcoin appears more and more in the news and starts to go mainstream the rate of adoption will accelarate greatly.
As I am sure I dont need to remind you btc is still magic internet money that a few nerds are playing with.
That's a very good point.. .so we could be conservative and predict something like this (a doubling of the number of new wallets every year):
2033 - 256 billion new wallets
Yet, even a doubling of new users every year would be a tremendous amount of growth for bitcoin, if such were to happen.
Dude, seriously, 256 billion new wallets in 2033? That'd be like 25-30 wallets for each person on Earth. To even use the words "conservative" and "diminish" in this context...well I'd love to see what your not so conservative numbers are.
Your semi-autonomous personal information devices each hold some of your coins and use them for stuff like micro-payments to news sites, the purchase of music. Your fridge automatically reorders the foods you've eaten each month.
Considering this is the absolute wet dream of any bitcoin holder, in what way is it conservative again? Not to mention that, considering not everyone in the entire world will be using bitcoin, it assumes probably closer to 100 wallets per person. How many people do you know with 90 appliances, let alone 90 appliances that could make use of this technology? Maybe your toaster will be reordering bread?
Dude... eh hehehhehehe Did you see that I already responded to your question about what I meant by conservative>>>>>>>> in the above post>>>>>> https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6502505
No I didn't, but I think the most important consideration here is will your toaster reorder bread? And no wheat! No way I'm spending my hard-earned appliance-bitcoins out of any one of my 300 wallets on that bullshit!