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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 28610. (Read 26713166 times)

hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
BTC >500$ in 2014 RxIxP

I am Fonzie and i can cofirm!
It was >500 20 min ago  Cool

Today is the last day you will see BTC >500$ this year.
BTW Huobi is actually 30$ below Stamp.
I hope you all put new shorts in >500$.
full member
Activity: 227
Merit: 100
People, four months ago, this was exactly the game plan!! and some of you are letting it go by, or making a loss!

What was the gameplan? I missed it.

buy on the dip to cerca 500. this playing out as a wedge, just like five other bubbles have done, with uncanny resemblance.

So if this is the "gameplan" then surely many others would have the same belief as you - so then why are not we seeing a huge upsurge in buys?

The possible answers can only be:
a) you are so smart that your the only one that has perceived the "gameplan"
b) you are wrong.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
Unlike other corrections, we were hit with a double whammy this time: Gox and China. $450 is almost certainly going to be retested. There wasn't enough volume for that to have been likely the last of the selling. I'm a bull and I'm leveraged long, but be realistic. You guys will get another shot at cheap (oh, excuse the fuck out of me, TERA) relatively lower-priced coinz.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
BTC >500$ in 2014 RxIxP

I am Fonzie and i can cofirm!
It was >500 20 min ago  Cool
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
BTC >500$ in 2014 RxIxP

I am Fonzie and i can cofirm!
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
I hope today we make it past 520 (blaze it)

A happy April if so!
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Do people really believe that by analyzing the past prices one can tell whether the PBoC rumor is true or false?

When money flow from china/banks stop, it will cause changes in supply and demand which TA is excellent at detecting.

but that has not in fact happened yet. lets talk on the 15th April.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
Do people really believe that by analyzing the past prices one can tell whether the PBoC rumor is true or false?

When money flow from china/banks stop, it will cause changes in supply and demand which TA is excellent at detecting.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Do people really believe that by analyzing the past prices one can tell whether the PBoC rumor is true or false?


well we had some real news just yesterday to confirm third party bans. It's old news, ask Risto.

There was a lil' flash panic, and then the bulls took over.

No more noobs to sell!
legendary
Activity: 875
Merit: 1362
Fundamentals win, although I say chart is bullish.

... Just move that yellow circle a bit to the right..... and hey presto!

this is not at all how technical analysis works...

Technical analysis is not at all how bitcoin works...
People say bitcoin doesn't follow TA but bitcoin actually follows TA more than any other asset, due to the predictable fixed supply and relatively static fundamentals.

Is that an April fool's joke?
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Do people really believe that by analyzing the past prices one can tell whether the PBoC rumor is true or false?
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Fundamentals win, although I say chart is bullish.

... Just move that yellow circle a bit to the right..... and hey presto!

this is not at all how technical analysis works...

actually my point was that this analysis is highly ambiguous.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
Fundamentals win, although I say chart is bullish.

... Just move that yellow circle a bit to the right..... and hey presto!

this is not at all how technical analysis works...

Technical analysis is not at all how bitcoin works...
People say bitcoin doesn't follow TA but bitcoin actually follows TA more than any other asset, due to the predictable fixed supply and relatively static fundamentals.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
we will go down to 150$ as planned.
People need to realitycheck their positions, while its not too late.
legendary
Activity: 875
Merit: 1362
Fundamentals win, although I say chart is bullish.

... Just move that yellow circle a bit to the right..... and hey presto!

this is not at all how technical analysis works...

Technical analysis is not at all how bitcoin works...
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Idle exercise:

The Market now assigns some probability P to the bank blockade rumor being true.

If the rumor is false, the price should go up again to the pre-rumor level, ~580 USD (Bitstamp).

If the rumor is true, the price should go down to some value X, less than 480.

The current price should be the Market's expected price in the near future (even if the Market is not conscious of these computations, and plays it "by ear"). That is,

  P*X + (1-P)*580 = 480    <==>
  P*(580 - X) = 580-480 = 100   <==>
  P = 100/(580-X)   <==>

Since X < 480, we have P < 100/(580 - 480) = 1, not informative.

Since X > 0, we have P > 100/580 = 0.17.

Therefore the Market thinks that there is at least 17% probability that the bank block is true.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
confirmed going to 0$, short now and rebuy at -10$
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
Fundamentals win, although I say chart is bullish.

... Just move that yellow circle a bit to the right..... and hey presto!

this is not at all how technical analysis works...
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Bitcoin market right now is a pingpong between short and long squeeze. If there ain´t
millions of fresh money comin in we will go down to 150$ as planned.
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