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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29043. (Read 26611052 times)

sr. member
Activity: 346
Merit: 250
Anyone remember the whale that dumped 10k BTC on stamp just before the GOX crash?
Could what we've seen today be some other insider trading in anticipation of good news??
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
So, is there a consensus about what caused todays sudden price increase (~100 USD on Bitstamp, ~90 USD on BTC-e, ~500 CNY on Huobi)?

The large buys at Bitstamp pushed the price up, the "sheep" followed, and they did not return to the previous levels just because they had no reason to?
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
No idea. Perhaps someone out there does know something

 https://twitter.com/niccary/status/440598582551674880
soo.. was today an..
...insider trading?!   Shocked  Grin
Feels like it probably was.... problem is, insider trading with bitcoin is not illegal... :S

Also... btc-e and houbi moving up even without bitstamps consent?

question is, what are they inside? the protocol itself? with bitcoin it feels more like outsider trading. i.e someone bringing something new to the table who is the first to know about it.

edit: obviously, not including all the gox crap. there has been insider info, the negative kind up until now, but I feel this is decreasing rapidly.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
You guys realize we went from $400 to $700 in a week, right? At that rate, we'll be over $6000 in month.

Extrapolation, bitchez!

Why not? I've had enough of this toe-dipping.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
You guys realize we went from $400 to $700 in a week, right? At that rate, we'll be over $6000 in month.

Extrapolation, bitchez!
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Ultranode
Just a little more patience before the next leg up. 1, 2 or maybe 3 hours?


I think the whale waits for the bid sum to increase before attempting another pennant.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
Just a little more patience before the next leg up. 1, 2 or maybe 3 hours?
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1199
Todays wall was very good @ bitcurex.pl Smiley

BTC +14%! Very good indeed!
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Just go look at the 1 day candle so sexiiiiiiiiiii
legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread

Don't hold paper he says.

That is good advice but is it much better to own the stocks that that paper is pouring into and will eventually fall over?
I think we all know by now that these people speak in code. The endgame here is NWO and one global currency, none of which is paper.
Edit: Tinfoil hat removed
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
Time to continue the rally, whales where are you?  Cool



bitcoin loves to gravitate to 666....we need it to gravitate to 777, or better yet 7777
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k

Don't hold paper he says.

That is good advice but is it much better to own the stocks that that paper is pouring into and will eventually fall over?
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
I think its fair to say a good chunk of fiat was spent today off of stamps order book. 16.9 mill even with the price increase.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
Jorge did you buy a bitcoin?


... buy a bitcoin Jorge
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
Time to continue the rally, whales where are you?  Cool

zyk
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 101
What an incredible day!

Amen and good night Undecided.....don´t forget to sell the break - out ! Cool
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Tuesday Mar/04

Since today (Mon Feb/03) was a False Slumber Point, to play by the rules I cannot use it for the preditction.  So I will use the same straight trend line used yesterday, determined by the last four True points (Feb/27--28, Mar/01--02), namely p(d) = 3521.20 - 30.30*(d - 27), where {d} is the day number since Feb/01 (which is 32 for Mar/04). Thus

Prediction valid for: Tuesday 2014-03-04, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price: 3370 CNY.
Bitstamp's predicted price: 551 USD.

The prediction is the blue rectangle almost outside the right margin in the chart below.  The orange and grey dots are the True and False Slumber Points, and the orange line is the new trendline.


NOTE: Extrapolating this trend, I predict that on February 01, 2015 anyone found in possession of bitcoins will be fined at the rate of 1097 USD per BTC owned.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Checking the Chinese Slumber Method predictions for Mar/03

It seems that the Baron pulled too hard on his bootstraps today Wink:

Prediction posted on: Monday 2014-03-03, 02:35 UTC
Prediction was valid for: Monday 2014-03-03, 19:00--19:59 UTC

Huobi's predicted price: 3400 CNY
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3825 CNY
Error: 425 CNY (~69 USD)

Bitstamp's predicted price: 556 USD
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 671 USD
Error: 115 USD

It must be said however that the trade volume Vh in the official Slumber hour (19:00--19:59 UTC) was 12.6 kBTC, whereas the total volume Vd for the day is unlikely to exceed 400 kBTC. Therefore, the prediction is not supposed to apply anyway becuse this was a False Slumber Point.

The Huobi prediction in question is the rightmost blue rectangle on the chart below.  The light blue-gray rectangles are the previous predictions.  The orange and grey dots are the True and False Slumber Points, the mean Huobi prices at 19:00 UTC every day.  The orange line is the trend that was assumed for the prediction.


The following chart shows the Bitstamp prices and predictions. The orange and grey dots are Huobi's prices at 19:00 UTC every day, divided by R = 6.12.  The orange line is the trend used in the prediction, which is Huobi's trend divided by R (6.40 for Feb/07--09, 6.12 for all other times).


The ratio of Huobi's price to Bitstamp's price was about 5.7, much lower than the usual R = 6.12.
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
What an incredible day!
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