Bitstamp
Upside breakout scenario.
Bitstamp
Starting point was $820/5 February 01, 2014 at around 02:55:31 PMI have laid out my upside possible resistance/pivots/supports from my original post for easier viewing.
If we break out from now or over the next few weeks or at least the next month
then from $820-$825 I see the following possible resistance/pivots/supports.
$840-$858
$858-$880
$880-900 ($900 psychological for USD)
$900-$910/5 (could be a psychological resistance level as also $908/10 = CNY5500)
$910-$928
$928-$945
$945-$970
$991 - (could be a psychological resistance level as also $990/1 ish = CNY6000)
$Onwards past $1000 and retacements end at $1176 not really looked
$Cape Canaveral
Downside scenario from this current $820 - $825 channel I can see the possible supports/pivots/resistance
$825 (this price could also be a psychological support because $825= CNY4999.99)
$817 - We dipped down to here for quite some time a good few hours February 01, 2014, 09:32:01 PM now hovering on or around $817 within plus or minus $2ish- or CNY 50 short of CNY5000 $817 first acting as support then switching to resistance - within $2-3 but $817 is quite a specific number we have been pivoting on off for quite a few hours… not $833 or $823 or $807 - but quite strongly pivoting around $817 (+- $2-3ish) ….quite interesting to see what happens…. next…., if there is consolidation at this level then there should be a movement one way or other…
$800 psychological
$800 - $775 ish
$775- $757 ish
$757- $749 ($740 = CNY4500)
$725? (edit)$710/11 (edit added 03/02/2014)
$700 psychological
$682 (edit added 03/02/2014)
$642 (edit added 03/02/2014)
$604 (edit added 06/02/2014)
$550 (edit added 06/02/2014)
$519 (edit added 06/02/2014)
ssshhh
Update February 02, 2014, 05:18:05 AM (?)
$817 Still bouncing along this resistance line
Update: February 03, 2014, 13:51 1st RS $825
Pivot $817
1st SP $800
In past 48 hours we have touched the support at bottom of 1st channel at $800 (actual low in past 48 hours =$800.05)
Bounced either side of $817 for a fair 24 hours, and before dipping down to test $800 SP)
and on the upside we touched 1st resistance level above pivot at $825 (actual high in past 48hrs = $825.21)
Looks like we
may get
possible retest of $800 and pos lower soon, though I still think we are going up
Update: February 04, 2014, 11:58:37 PMnxt $858
nxt $840
1st RS $825
Pivot $817
1st SP $800 Been trading in-between
$817 and $800 , with a tiny flashes a little lower on the test of $800 nothing to write home about, currently testing $800 again
nxt $775 ish
nxt $757 ishAs a side note- things are pretty stable at the present second, barring a catastrophic break of $800 I am wondering if we
may trade sideways for a few more days/while longer. Still waiting for a breakout of this sideways channel but starting to think that if we do not see movement soon, or at the very least in the week after the end of the Chinese hol's then I would not be surprised barring any oh noes newses if we trade sideways in slightly larger channel until mid may ish before pushing up up...
In this ever changing world in which we live in - just a my 2 satoshi worth , live and let live.
Update February 06, 2014, 02:13:45 AM nxt $825
1st RS
$817 (actual high in last 48hrs ish $814 ish)
Pivot- Psych SP/RS level -
$800 Psychological support level turned pivot
1st SP
$775 ish (actual low in last 48 hours ish $775 : )
nxt $757 ishSo we spent almost 24 hours bouncing along $800 give or take a few dollars each side for quite some time testing and retesting, before bouncing on its underside for a short while and then came a sell off
slightly lower dip down to $784.83 it was not a catastrophic break of $800 this time around at least, and we did not quite sell off all the way down to the next potential support level I indicated of $775 (ish) before bouncing straight back up to $800 level again to bounce along its underside for an hour or so before another sell off selling right down to next support level going down to $775 on the nose before a bounce up to midway point to $800 and back down to $775 again, as I write this we have bounced back up to almost $800 ... $797.5 lets see what is next..if we bounce off $800 and down more or if we can break back up through, $800 is a psyc level, which in this "game scenario" I posit has weight but not as much weight at Fib levels , not unless they intersect.
...at this point I would
not be surprised to see a retest of both $813/817
and a retest of $775(ish) in next 48 hours, making $800 the current pivot with $817 1st RS level and $770-$775/8ish being 1 SP level. Be interesting to see if we do
I still think we are still biding time for
upwards push same time frame as before ie within now to
end of 1st week after Chinese New year or if not I can imagine slightly wider sideways channel until mid may with some bouncing around… and then up up up.
That being said, as I have been writing this Gox seems to be having a dither… and waking up , so this scenario is barring of course major newses or catastrophes in the market..eitherway
looks like things may stir from this channel a little more... one can hope... this is FUN
Quite interested to note that of points I noted from my starting point
$825$817
$800
$775 Have all had a
good visit, and indeed
in this instance have made good buy and sell signals to trade from
Mini update February 06, 2014, 10:55:53 AM$757(ish) been paid a visits too ($752 actual low so far past 24 hrs)
Notes mainly the same as yesterday- nothing changed tbh....will update again in 12-36 hours.
Happy days... so glad I had a sleep... methinks there will be more fun to be had today.
Looks like I may need a new graph soon...
which was nice, it did not stay for long though, then fell through that support and bounced just over
So far not had a bounce up far enough to see if we get a pivot and a bounce back up through the resistance levels ... not thinking we will see $725 play a role as level for very long...
so if we break it then I have already laid out next sticky point downards.. despite that I would not be surprised to see a
here $730- $757/63 at all either, that is what the chart is telling me ....or at least one part of it
Of course any potential meltdown of Gox etc then the charts are toilet paper... still though... those levels been working out jus fine so far.