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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29965. (Read 26619992 times)

sr. member
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legendary
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strong support in 900, bitcoin is getting pretty stable Smiley




fascinating... and here I was, thinking gox price was largely irrelevant by now. silly me.
legendary
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 532
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­バカ
strong support in 900, bitcoin is getting pretty stable Smiley

full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
Nice moon animations Grin
legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 984
Merit: 1000

PLEASE MAKE THIS A MEME  IT MADE MY DAY Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I posted this at FB:

What participants in financial markets can "worry" about is extremely diverse. Most participants are worried about too much volatility of their reference asset (mostly mandatory with "value indexes" like EUR or USD because that`s ultimately what you need to pay your taxes with at gunpoint), other worry about the lack of volatility of their preferred and voluntarily chosen asset and unit of account. Just seen this priceless expression of "worry" in a bitcointalk thread:

"OK now we are as stable as fiat. Huh"

It is no coincidence that his signature reads:

"Peace cannot be kept by force. ~ Albert Einstein"

THX!

hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Moon is a moving target

Cool graphic. Reminds me of Spirograph.
sr. member
Activity: 560
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"Trading Platform of The Future!"
legendary
Activity: 1078
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Moon is a moving target

We need to catch it and lock it up in the basement

sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
"Trading Platform of The Future!"
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
"Trading Platform of The Future!"
Suppose that the price of a BTC fell to 100 USD while its transaction volume kept increasing.  Would mining still be profitable?


it depends how you look at this situation, basically if we look at the USD value and the cost of the hardware and energy, internet, cooling... small miners are barely making any profit at today's prices, now if you look to profit in terms of BTC then small miners are not making any profits at all and this is due to the fast difficulty rises since April...

So most of miners will have to hold their bitcoins and wait for a higher price to break even in USD, and most of miners that were aiming for BTC profits has realized that the BTC ROI is getting harder and harder to achieve but this will settle down when the ASIC era is over, it was the same case when mining switched from CPU to GPU...
tell me more...

what do you want to know ?   Cheesy
about the end of the ASIC era  Cheesy

if you want me to tell you to not worry it will come to and end then no but I can tell you that once the ASIC prototypes are available in a large scale and once the network diff. growth will surpass the price growth which is happening now the ASIC era will slow down...
an estimate on when we will have 3d-printable ASICs?
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
The 2011 bubble was ~3000%  (from $1 to $32), the early 2013 bubble was ~1500% (from $13 to $260), and only the last rally was 600% (from $200 to $1200).  

For a while this ballpark scenario seemed plausible but now I don't think a continuation of it accounts for S-curve adoption, should that happen. Would be interesting if the U.S. kept DPR's coins instead of auctioning so they could bootstrap U.S. gov exchanges: http://www.bloomberg.com/video/can-bitcoin-save-the-post-office-iQx5kWnzQI~iWL2ZmNNm0A.html
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
things you own end up owning you
Suppose that the price of a BTC fell to 100 USD while its transaction volume kept increasing.  Would mining still be profitable?


it depends how you look at this situation, basically if we look at the USD value and the cost of the hardware and energy, internet, cooling... small miners are barely making any profit at today's prices, now if you look to profit in terms of BTC then small miners are not making any profits at all and this is due to the fast difficulty rises since April...

So most of miners will have to hold their bitcoins and wait for a higher price to break even in USD, and most of miners that were aiming for BTC profits has realized that the BTC ROI is getting harder and harder to achieve but this will settle down when the ASIC era is over, it was the same case when mining switched from CPU to GPU...
tell me more...

what do you want to know ?   Cheesy
about the end of the ASIC era  Cheesy

if you want me to tell you to not worry it will come to and end then no but I can tell you that once the ASIC prototypes are available in a large scale and once the network diff. growth will surpass the price growth which is happening now the ASIC era will slow down...
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
"Trading Platform of The Future!"
Suppose that the price of a BTC fell to 100 USD while its transaction volume kept increasing.  Would mining still be profitable?


it depends how you look at this situation, basically if we look at the USD value and the cost of the hardware and energy, internet, cooling... small miners are barely making any profit at today's prices, now if you look to profit in terms of BTC then small miners are not making any profits at all and this is due to the fast difficulty rises since April...

So most of miners will have to hold their bitcoins and wait for a higher price to break even in USD, and most of miners that were aiming for BTC profits has realized that the BTC ROI is getting harder and harder to achieve but this will settle down when the ASIC era is over, it was the same case when mining switched from CPU to GPU...
tell me more...

what do you want to know ?   Cheesy
about the end of the ASIC era  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
things you own end up owning you
Suppose that the price of a BTC fell to 100 USD while its transaction volume kept increasing.  Would mining still be profitable?


it depends how you look at this situation, basically if we look at the USD value and the cost of the hardware and energy, internet, cooling... small miners are barely making any profit at today's prices, now if you look to profit in terms of BTC then small miners are not making any profits at all and this is due to the fast difficulty rises since April...

So most of miners will have to hold their bitcoins and wait for a higher price to break even in USD, and most of miners that were aiming for BTC profits has realized that the BTC ROI is getting harder and harder to achieve but this will settle down when the ASIC era is over, it was the same case when mining switched from CPU to GPU...
tell me more...

what do you want to know ?   Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Try getting fiat onto one of the Chinese exchanges- or indeed, getting it out.

One of those times when your 'academic' approach falls foul of reality.

As I said, you need a substantial position at both exchanges (or you find an associate with accounts at the other exchange and agree to split the profits). It is not a game for small investors.  

Suppose that the effective exchange rate is 5 CNY = 1 USD.

You buy 1 BTC for 900 USD at Bitstamp when its price is too low. You send the BTC to your associate, who sells it for 5000 CNY = 1000 USD.   Now you have temporarily lost 900 USD and he has cashed in 5000 CNY = 1000 USD, so your society has made 100 USD net profit.

Later if conditions reverse he buys 1 BTC for 4500 CNY = 900 USD at Huobi, sends it to you. You sell at Bitstamp for 1000 USD.  Counting both operations, you made a 100 USD profit, he made a 500 CNY profit, and you are settled.

What if things do not even out? Suppose you were only able to do arbitrages of the first type above, and at some point you have accumulated a 10000 USD loss while he got a 70000 CNY gain.  Supose that at that moment the price is even, 1000 USD = 5000 CNY.  Then he buys 12 BTC at 60000 CNY, sends them to you. You sell them at Bitstamp for 12000 USD.  Now your net profit is 2000 USD, his is 10000 CNY = 2000 USD, and both are even.  

In ny case, each side can easily withdraw his profits in his own currency, without any currency conversion or international money transfers.

 
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
"Trading Platform of The Future!"
Suppose that the price of a BTC fell to 100 USD while its transaction volume kept increasing.  Would mining still be profitable?


it depends how you look at this situation, basically if we look at the USD value and the cost of the hardware and energy, internet, cooling... small miners are barely making any profit at today's prices, now if you look to profit in terms of BTC then small miners are not making any profits at all and this is due to the fast difficulty rises since April...

So most of miners will have to hold their bitcoins and wait for a higher price to break even in USD, and most of miners that were aiming for BTC profits has realized that the BTC ROI is getting harder and harder to achieve but this will settle down when the ASIC era is over, it was the same case when mining switched from CPU to GPU...
tell me more...
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
btc-e now in sync with bearstamp?
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