Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 31773. (Read 26609067 times)

Thanks for sharing with me oda, I think your view's reasonable even though it's so hard to predict time. Will be interesting to see how common it is: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/market-cap-in-2016-340980

Excellent TA. Only we are talking about bitcoin here... I foresee about $700 mark on mtgox until the end of the day. If not; I'm totally with you and your predictions.

" ill just wait till the infrastructure  is all done and everything is working 100% and their no chance of failure before a invest "


where that "mmmm ya ok" meme when you need it.

Then why are you out?

I personally think there's a critical jump from ~10B to ~100B. The former is something that the regular investment types still sneer at (just read an article by some Stanford kid a few days ago, "explaining" why Bitcoin isn't really interesting for the field of economics yet), 100B is respectable, getting close to the market cap of a global company (like, say, Apple).

What to take from that I don't know exactly: it both means (in my opinion) it will be harder to cross the next order of magnitude, and it might actually require an additional step up in btc infrastructure, merchant adoption, mainstream acceptance (something that wasn't that vital up to now, IMO), but it also means that once we cross that level of 100B, a whole new array of people and institutions will take note of this little gamble we have going here.

are we not already above 600?

I was stuck in the buy and hold methodology which is what I am going to stick to, but I am gonna play with 20% of my stack by watching the volume and percentage change.

I may sell at 600-620 at cavirtex just to see if it repeats a dip into the 400s overnight.

I didn't feel seasoned or prepared enough to have taken advantage of the recent corrections.. would've equated to 1k with the proper call, if not more 650 was my gut high sell point... and my stack is small enough that I could've filled the orders nedeed there and then down in the 400-500 range

yes!

your not going to make money playing it safe.......

PLACE YOUR BETS!

Message for all the new lurkers out there: Nobody knows  






















 

With MtGox, Bitstamp, BTCe and BTC China.

stop thinking bitcoin is going XXXXX% a year

this is only happening because it new, and poeple are are still hearing about it for the first time.

we will go to 3000$ as fast as we possibly can and then start to rise much more slowly / safely.

So you're all out at a $15-$40 price?

Bitcoin is appreciating at 1140% per year. The trendline price for November is $328 and December $404. After several months of significantly behind the trend, we did a spectacular overshoot to $1100/$900/$750 across main exchanges. Immediately followed an hourly-term bear market, characterized by (mainly) lower highs and lower lows. We are now 40 hours after the pop.

Currently the price is at double the trendtarget. You can stretch a rubber band a lot, but when you release, it starts to contract with force. Force must be applied to reverse the course and stretch it back to 3, 4 or more times the trend. The natural tendency of the rubber band is to contract to the trendline and even 25%-40% below it.

Since this bubble developed so rapidly, the trend had no time to catch up or adjust. Therefore, despite my earlier predictions that the next crash bottom will be $500ish (double the pre-bubble ATH), I will have to adjust the downside target to about $300. This is 33% below December trendline, and also higher than the previous ATH, which will act as support. There are currently not many supports between that and the new high. These will be formed as we grind down.

In my observation, the forum is overextended and cannot buy the price up. "Others" will act according to time-tested statistical principles (refer to 4/2013 bubble pop for details). There will be a bear market lasting for weeks. Many in this forum will not acknowledge it even after it is over It will not be a huge event, and absolutely nothing to care about if you are a long-term holder. But traders do well to understand that sometimes even fiat has its day.

I believe that none of the exchanges surpasses yesterday's high values ($1000/$750/$640) set about 24 hours ago, today or during the remainder of the year, (except Bitstamp at max).

I believe that none of the exchanges surpasses the current values ($700/$630/$600) during the rest of the week, (except for the following hours).

I give 75% probability to the scenario.

Otherwise the common wisdom does not hold, and 2010 is back.

Mmmm, I remember the days when I was nearer the top of your distribution list, and thought I could make a quick buck, and then Bitcoin jumped 2 orders of magnitude and became my legendary big fish.

I think the panic buying starts in the $1000 range this time around.

Please just because I enjoy your contributions, never go all in on fiat always hold a little Bitcoin in reserve.

Interested to know what you guys think (preferably I would like to hear the opinion of those favoring a scenario of an immediate s-curve, economic singularity or whatever you would like to call it) Bitcoin's market cap will likely be in 2016. At MtGox prices, we peaked out at about 10.8 billion so far.

Say it goes up 1000% a year which I believe is viewed as conservative, that would be 100-fold increase and we would have a trillion dollar market cap.

Perhaps a poll?

Seeing Stamp and Gox closer together feels so much better.

Let the fiat flow.

https://www.bitstamp.net/article/banking-software-issues/

You know, I personally think you're one of the less uninformed bears :D

I remember the same YoYa (in both previous bubbles), all of those media indicators are lagging behind the price. To be honest, I'm not sure why i even bother looking at Google Trends anymore on occasion myself.

There has been an insane amount of media coverage today from the rally/crash/Senate hearing