@DylanLeClair_
A #bitcoin dip down to it's realized price (average on-chain cost basis) is entirely possible and has been consistent with previous market bottoms in bear market cycles.
Realized price is $24.3k at the moment.
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https://twitter.com/dylanleclair_/status/1523579493926899712?s=21@DylanLeClair_
Here is a standardized ratio between market price and realized price (market value to realized value - MVRV).
24k would be in the green zone.
Again, dips to/below realized price have historically signaled a capitulation style bear market bottom is in (or close).
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@DylanLeClair_
Going back to December, I outlined this possibility and prefaced it with the opinion that it's unlikely to occur unless a significant liquidity crises emerged in legacy markets.
Well, it looks like we're getting one.
Stay safe out there.
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https://twitter.com/dylanleclair_/status/1523579497928617985?s=21Finger on the trigger over the next 12 months boys. Be ready to get fiat onto exchanges.
I think this scenario is highly possible... and fits the way this cycle has gone the whole time... That lets us have the large drawdown, but not as severe as past cycles, just as the top was not as high. It keeps us up above the last cycle top, which has been consistent so far.
But I think a higher bottom is possible as well.
It is hard to imagine that the world stock markets are not getting crushed right now, and if so I think Bitcoin takes shrapnel. BUT the wild card is people are also waking up to believe Bitcoin is "digital gold" So *SOME* percent of money is going to flow into it for safety, while the money that sees it as a tech stock is leaving. That's the most interesting bit, I think.