Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 4442. (Read 26710313 times)

legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 3514
born once atheist

Don't you think "Bitcoin" is a "Crypto"?
I believe bitcoin is crypto so we can write crypto analyst.
If not, then I can say I am not a robot but a human being. So i can do mistakes.

BTW, Is it your habit to twist every word? no offense, Just curious.

Godamn! I can almost hear Jay's ballistic keyboard tapping in the distance....
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
[edited out]

I don't usually engage bots but for the audience I will point out that I was the first person to allude to JJG's bot patterns which has spiraled since and if whoever is running this thing had bothered to do any research of this thread at all they would know that.

Oh gawd Hueristic...

Get a grip.

the first? 

Oh come on....



By the way, I will admit that you Hueristic, have a pretty long history of harping on nonsense (relatively speaking), including but not limited to that particular issue (which yeah seems to be part of the point that you are making).. as a seemingly form of goading.. but your claim to "first" status comes off as a wee bit muchie.. even for this here semblance of a peep wannabe.

I wouldn't mind if Bitcoin reaches $100k within 2022 instead of 2021.

What I would not like is another ice-cold Bitcoin winter, like 2018-2020. I'd still HoDL, but it would get pretty boring. $100k is, for me, a level when I'd slowly start spending "tiny" amounts for pleasure and dreams-come-true stuff. But not before it reaches $100k. It's just a psychological threshold for me. It used to be $50k, but I've decided to double up for safety, so that I have a 100% safety margin.

Plan B's S2F model is nice, and I hope corn price follows it, but nothing is guaranteed when it comes to King Daddy. Predicting what will happen, based on any model, is of no use to me, as I won't be buying or selling anything based on such info. So I just sit back, relax, and wait it out.

2021? 2022? It's a when, not an if, and that's what matters.

Overall I do get the various points that you are making, yet I believe that you may well be even misstating some of your own ways of learning along the way and tweaking your thinking on the king daddy topic. 

What I am trying to say is that you are someone who monitors the overall bitcoin situation, and sure there might not be BIG changes in what is happening behind the bitcoin scenes whether facts, logic or any combination of such; however, I would suggest the fact that you both UPped your "action" threshold from $50k to $100k and your ongoing determination to NOT adjust or tweak your decision has to do with a variety of factors and indictors and perhaps also based on what a variety of convincing people in the BTC space are continuing to say about bitcoin, so sure, maybe you are not triggered into making any further changes, and sure maybe what PlanB says only plays on you in less than 10% arenas, but still there are likely these kinds of ongoing discussions that could cause you to change your threshold if the information were to change.. I think so.. even if you want to deny it until the cows come home.. 
 hahahahahaha  #nohomo.

I wouldn't mind if Bitcoin reaches $100k within 2022 instead of 2021.

What I would not like is another ice-cold Bitcoin winter, like 2018-2020. I'd still HoDL, but it would get pretty boring. $100k is, for me, a level when I'd slowly start spending "tiny" amounts for pleasure and dreams-come-true stuff. But not before it reaches $100k. It's just a psychological threshold for me. It used to be $50k, but I've decided to double up for safety, so that I have a 100% safety margin.

Plan B's S2F model is nice, and I hope corn price follows it, but nothing is guaranteed when it comes to King Daddy. Predicting what will happen, based on any model, is of no use to me, as I won't be buying or selling anything based on such info. So I just sit back, relax, and wait it out.

2021? 2022? It's a when, not an if, and that's what matters.

So the Best Solution is HODL



NOT!!!!!


The best solution is to NOT be proclaiming what is best into simplistic formulas or assertions but instead to try to learn from your surroundings (including in this thread) to tailor what you are doing to your own situation. 

For example, if you don't have a sufficient quantity of BTC then the best solution may well be to be buying like a mudder... and if you don't have a lot of cashflow or resources, then the best solution may well be to tailor a reasonable and prudent plan that works for you and your financial/psychological situation.

There are a lot of other examples in which variations of other behaviors/actions may be justified and may or may not include HODL..

When that 10k daily candle?

Actually $10k or $20k from here does seem possible.. whether we have to wait further or not remains in the air...


Gonna happen?

Gonna happen?

show us king daddy.



 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13618
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
Don't you think "Bitcoin" is a "Crypto"?

Technically Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency, but that's like calling human beings animals.

Yes, technically we're animals but we like to differentiate between humans and subhuman species.

Similarly, we like to differentiate between Bitcoin and sub-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 523
Crypto analyst PlanB

Hm?  I did not know that Plan B analyses anything other than bitcoin.

Why would any of us want to use a vague-ass term, such as "crypto" when we are trying to talk about bitcoin, and someone who analyses bitcoin?

I suppose "technically" if at any point in time, PlanB had actually analyzed any shitcoin - which probably he has done that, then "technically" it would be accurate to label him as a "crypto" analyst... but the way more accurate term would be to proclaim that he is a bitcoin analyst.. bitcoin is his focus, so why not use the most accurate word instead of propagating nonsense and fuzzy thinking to suggest that PlanB is in the business of analyzing anything other than having bitcoin as his main focal point (aka point of reference).

Beginner mistake no?  Should we call that strike one, or are we further down the road in terms of strikes?  or do we just say "that one does not count?"  hahahahahaha.. you get a pass on that?  hahaha hahaha.

Don't you think "Bitcoin" is a "Crypto"?
I believe bitcoin is crypto so we can write crypto analyst.
If not, then I can say I am not a robot but a human being. So i can do mistakes.

BTW, Is it your habit to twist every word? no offense, Just curious.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Crypto analyst PlanB

Hm?  I did not know that Plan B analyses anything other than bitcoin.

Why would any of us want to use a vague-ass term, such as "crypto" when we are trying to talk about bitcoin, and someone who analyses bitcoin?

I suppose "technically" if at any point in time, PlanB had actually analyzed any shitcoin - which probably he has done that, then "technically" it would be accurate to label him as a "crypto" analyst... but the way more accurate term would be to proclaim that he is a bitcoin analyst.. bitcoin is his focus, so why not use the most accurate word instead of propagating nonsense and fuzzy thinking to suggest that PlanB is in the business of analyzing anything other than having bitcoin as his main focal point (aka point of reference).

Beginner mistake no?  Should we call that strike one, or are we further down the road in terms of strikes?  or do we just say "that one does not count?"  hahahahahaha.. you get a pass on that?  hahahahahaha  



Hm?  






contemplating the matter..





computing ...






computing....


insists that the price of bitcoin (BTC) will hit $98,000 by the end of November, even as markets fall sharply.



Source: https://news.banana-coin.org/planb-insists-bitcoin-will-hit-98000-by-end-of-november-even-as-markets-fall/

Of course, many folks appreciate that I give a lot of credence to PlanB and his model, but seems erroneous to me for anyone to be insisting that king daddy has to perform x amount in y time blah blah blah.. even if he ends up being right, we are dealing with aspects of human behavior and some other complex variables contained therein, so in that regard, even if there may well be strong forces that are acting upon bitcoin supply that thereby push BTC prices, economics remains a soft science.. so the science and maths are probabilistic rather than very high levels of certainty that even approach "have to" descriptors..... so hypothetically maybe I could be getting the prediction wrong personally if I were to be ONLY assigning 42% odds (or whatever my odds are?), but maybe at best he is able to assign 80% odds because he has better access to facts and logic, but still 80% is not 100% or even close to 100%... so it does irritate me a bit when peeps overly assign odds, unless there are likely also peeps who are goating PlanB into such assertions or spins upon his work to make them sound as if they have higher certainties than they do.  

Crypto analyst PlanB insists that the price of bitcoin (BTC) will hit $98,000 by the end of November, even as markets fall sharply.

If you've read the article, then it's pretty clear that he's not insisting on, but trying to explain that the $98k price by the end of this month is based on what he calls a "floor model.". The S2F model predicts an average price of $100k in this cycle.

I'm not sure how reliable your source is, but somehow it seems to me that bananas and crypto news don't go very well together Wink

Quote
In a tweet, however, PlanB explains that he uses three different models and the $98,000 target for November was not based on the stock-to-flow model. Instead, it is premised on what he calls the “floor model”, which relies on price and on-chain data.

“If, for example, $98K November floor model predictions fails, that does not mean stock-to-flow fails,” he insisted. PlanB clarified that the S2F for the current bitcoin cycle would be an average of $100,000, and on account of this, it may be difficult to know exactly at what price the model could be invalidated.

I'm particularly amused by the description of the floor model as relying on price and on-chain data.. err, so that would be just the same as the S2F model uses then ... sorry but the S2F model does seem to encourage constant obfuscation.

That is ridiculous tertius993.  The stock to flow model is amongst the best of the currently valid and credible BTC price prediction models, and surely it has some defects, and personally I believe that it is best coupled by 4 year fractal and exponential s-curve adoption based on network effects and Metcalfe principles - and so just proclaiming that the model is deficient in some kinds of ways (obfuscation in your words) seems as if uie-pooie are either detached from reality, in denial or just getting caught up on personalities... .. fuck PlanB to the extent that he might be bolstering in various ways, yet his data and his various models still speak volumes whether you want to account for them, negate them or not or even to spin your own nonsense (could they be described as models?  the planB is obfuscating model?).. have fun staying poor..  

I'm particularly amused by the description of the floor model as relying on price and on-chain data.. err, so that would be just the same as the S2F model uses then ... sorry but the S2F model does seem to encourage constant obfuscation.

Highlighting the logical fallacy:


A bunch of wealthy investors gathered in a room, all looking at the S2F model, then asking each other: "So when are all you other wealthy investors going to raise the bitcoin price to $98k/btc by November? The S2F chart says that you have to, so when exactly? I need to know before I buy!"   Grin

Oh gawd....

which ones of you are worse...

Option 1)
tertius993

or

Option 2)
Torquey porkey
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13618
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
For the time being, if you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue

Plagiarist!

 Tongue Tongue Tongue

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6306

Its not, we are all Satoshi!

And you can't prove hes not. Cheesy

For sure d_eddie is 99% more worth being a real Satoshi as the rest of all the F***up’s in this world Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
For the time being, if you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue

Plagiarist!

 Tongue Tongue Tongue

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6306

Its not, we are all Satoshi!

And you can't prove hes not. Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


I've always wanted to know but never asked - where does this meme come from?

Quote
On December 5th, 2011, episode 14 "Malibu Beach Party From Hell" of season two of The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills reality TV series premiered in the United States. In the episode, cast member Taylor Armstrong cries during an argument, with cast member Kyle Richards attempting to calm her down.

On June 19th, 2018, Tumblr user deadbefordeath posted a photograph of a white cat with a confused expression sitting in a chair in front of a plate with vegetables in it, titling the post "he no like vegetals." The post gained over 50,300 likes and reblogs in one year.

On May 2nd, Twitter user @lc28__ made the first known meme based on the format, gaining over 20 retweets and 180 likes. On June 2nd, 2019, Redditor PerpetualWinter made the first known object-labeling meme based on the format, gaining over 310 upvotes in one month.

You can read the full article from the link I provided. Or you can search Women yelling at a cat.
Source: https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.knowyourmeme.com/memes/woman-yelling-at-a-cat

You just earned your first
+1 WOsMerit

That is the stuff of legends. Everyone can sport a few boring merits, but WOsMerits are for the 1337est of 1337!

+111 WOsMerit  for that one d_eddie



Anyways, @JJG @cAPSLOCK Guys, I apologize if I hurt you guys.

Oh gawd....

 Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes











But now upon reflection.. that damned snowflake, aka cAPSLOCK...

















 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



#nohomo
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1009
The green dildos are back
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 523
@El duderino_ you from El Dorado city by any chance?
 Just kidding. Whenever I see your name. It remembers me of Eldorado.

The Hidden city of gold.
I believe you are Hodler of Bitcoin.

legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
Now, I fall into a camp of vaccinated but feel uneasy about how govs are going about the vaccinations, but lets not fool ourselves, comparing that to Nazism is a text book example of a slippery slope. If you're still confused, any comparison to Hitler/Nazis short of mass extermination of a certain group of people, is a slippery slope argument.

Hah, sorry, no. I grew up in Europe and the Nazis did a lot more than just kill Jews. But even if you ignore everything they did besides the camps, they were also going after political opponents, gypsies and homosexuals.

Now, personally, I'm not putting out those comparisons. I just think glib dismissal of those comparisons are just that and I'll call them out. That uneasiness you're feeling? That's valid and you need to listen to that voice.

Hopefully this will be the last I'll need to say on this since I think I've covered my points but, again, the easiest way to stop the nazi comparisons is to stop adopting their tactics.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 2846



Pet food is just human food from the parts that don't appeal as delicious/high quality to humans and is considered low quality. The manufacturers grind it all up and repackage it as "pet food". The retailers jack up prices and market it as healthier for pets. The truth is: its cheaper and healthier if you just feed them regular food that you eat too.

Just make sure you dont give them food that they shouldn't eat. (chocolate, grapes, onions, garlic, salt/seasonings...)

Pet food is a marketing scam.

My late father was a truck driver, he owned one of those really large SCANIA trucks. I remember when I was a kid, he told me a funny story. He was travelling abroad with a couple of fellow drivers. So one night they went to the local supermarket to buy some canned food to eat. The food tasted really delicious, and they commented that this country had some really tasty canned food. When they collected the empty cans and remaining stuff to throw away, one of them noticed that the food was in fact dog food. They didn't spot it when they bought it from the supermarket! Nothing happened to them. They didn't buy it again though. When he came back he spoke normally, he didn't bark or anything.

It's fine to eat. But may be less safe due to the fact that pet food does not have to follow the same regulations as human food. Our aversion to eating pet food comes from the fact that its called "pet food". That makes it seem alien and dirty in our minds.

Some of the cheapest "human food" you can get looks dodgier than the "pet food".

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 4839
Addicted to HoDLing!



Pet food is just human food from the parts that don't appeal as delicious/high quality to humans and is considered low quality. The manufacturers grind it all up and repackage it as "pet food". The retailers jack up prices and market it as healthier for pets. The truth is: its cheaper and healthier if you just feed them regular food that you eat too.

Just make sure you dont give them food that they shouldn't eat. (chocolate, grapes, onions, garlic, salt/seasonings...)

Pet food is a marketing scam.

My late father was a truck driver, he owned one of those really large SCANIA trucks. I remember when I was a kid, he told me a funny story. He was travelling abroad with a couple of fellow drivers. So one night they went to the local supermarket to buy some canned food to eat. The food tasted really delicious, and they commented that this country had some really tasty canned food. When they collected the empty cans and remaining stuff to throw away, one of them noticed that the food was in fact dog food. They didn't spot it when they bought it from the supermarket! Nothing happened to them. They didn't buy it again though. When he came back he spoke normally, he didn't bark or anything.

It's fine to eat. But may be less safe due to the fact that pet food does not have to follow the same regulations as human food. Our aversion to eating pet food comes from the fact that its called "pet food". That makes it seem alien and dirty in our minds.

Yes, that's how I think about it. I wouldn't ever eat it. But I don't think it would hurt me if I ate it.

Same with human flesh. (Most) humans would feel sick to their stomach to even attempt to eat human flesh, for psychological reasons, but it could actually taste delicious. I'd guess it would taste like pork meat.
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 3514
born once atheist
......
The top spot goes to arm pit sniffer jobs.

Quote
Yes, Armpit Sniffers actually exist – and their noble sacrifice means you don’t have to smell quite as much sweat on your way to work. They’re employed by deodorant companies, and their day-to-day usually involves sniffing armpits in a hot room.


Speaking of cleanliness products....
I wonder if there's a job for sniffing....ahhhh nevermind...
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