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We may well have a beer at the $1m party
I remember a lot of parties (at least on the books) - notable, $1k, $10k, $100k, and now the $1 million party...
Yes.. for sure.. jelly tomorrow...
Let's do it.
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Huh? I thought we were talking about the $100k party, no? Now it's the $1M party?
Actually I like the change. $100k seems so close, almost a no biggie, boring even (
$100k boring? WTF?). $1M will be so cool...until it becomes boring too, and we aim for $10M.
That's right.
$1 million.. for sure this time.
Well, no, $1M will never be boring, because of that 'M' in there. This should bring many of us to "fuck-the-universe" status!
There is a kind of funny thing in terms of some of these exponential expectations... at least for those who have been able to hang onto a decent quantity of BTC along the way up...
I frequently have been suggesting a minimum of 1 full cycle, and gosh two to three cycles brings more assurances - even for those merely contributing small amounts of value on a regular basis.
Consider the not to aggressive but
fairly persistent dollar cost averager who had been contributing $50 per week for the past two cycles (that is 8 years), and surely more than half way to spot price fuck you status.. and putting another 20x on that cat's situation is going to surely put him/her into solid FU status territory (so long as s/he is able to hang onto most of those coins along the way UPpity)....
And remember, many of us would consider that $1 million is within decently reasonable grasp for the next cycle... and surely 2x to 5x of $100k still does appear reasonably within grasp of this particular cycle, whether the spot price top of this particular cycle plays out this calendar year or if it takes us up to a few quarters into 2020 to play out...
You are not going to find me grumbling at all with current standings either with $15,500 as the 208-week moving average and $23k as the 104-week moving average - I had created another chart too and there may well be some reasonableness to consider those averages to be moving up 30% to 50% per year for the remainder of this cycle and even perhaps for the whole of the next cycle too.. based on both historical numbers but also they are conservative lagging indicators. Some claim that the CAGR (compounded annual growth rate) numbers for bitcoin have historically been close to 100 (that is 100%), and I don't really like those kinds of assessments for projecting into the future, and even looking at my own past numbers I am considering 60-80 to be more reasonable historical assessments, and even projecting 40 (CAGR) on average into the future (of maybe 5 years or so) seems reasonable, too.
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Well, no, $1M will never be boring, because of that 'M' in there. This should bring many of us to "fuck-the-universe" status!
In my case the M means "Fuck you, i can travel anywhere!"
(Without taking too much from the digital family treasue)
What's your anticipated timeline, OOM?
The next cycle? Do you have plans to just retain a certain amount of coins no matter what?
There surely can be various contingencies attempting to deal with both the projection of how long it might take to get from here to point A, point B, or point M.. but then what to do along the way because getting to point M is not guaranteed... so does anyone want to be fucked if we get to some place short of point M and then go into some kind of going to zero scenario, which is not a zero possibility way of history potentially playing out.