it does not apply to private hodlers sending bitcoin to each other. only when it touches a companies wallet. which means that every US btc owner will transfer his/her coins to self custody in the next 14 days. less coins available on exchanges = bullish for bitcoin.
I have some difficulities figuring out what to make of these proposed practices that seem to have decent chances of going into effect. Yeah, of course, they create greater obligations and pretty much deter HODLers from moving their coins to a private wallet, and we still need to know how the fuck the exchanges are going to verify this beyond a mere statement from the HODLer that the wallet that they are transferring to is their own wallet. Yeah.. burdens.. and perhaps will create some incentives for the creation of more underground kind of transactions..
I am not really going to change too much of what I am doing currently, and will see how it goes. My personal bitcoin exposure on exchanges is way smaller than it was in 2015/2016, which might have been around xx% or more of my holdings were on exchanges. Then in about mid 2017 I downgraded to somewhere between about xx% .. and currently, I just looked at it, and it appears to be around xx%-ish... (
edited my disclosed percentages for reasons.. hahahaha... you fucks!!!). I am just going to ride it out, and see what it does. I have already been KYC'd on those on exchange coins anyhow, and I was not even considering transferring those coins out, even within a variety of scenarios, including having to report them.. those are merely coins that could be liquidated on a BTC run, if I were to so choose.. and yeah, sometimes moving coins around and changing your system based on fucktwats.. whether governments or otherwise, can cause issues too, but I understand the motivation and rationale that comes from what seems to be proposed currently.. and there are likely BTC HODLers who are way too overexposed in terms of NOT even having coins under their own control, and these kinds of proposed practices should cause some reflection upon risks that they are taking in that direction.. and whether that risk is sufficiently balanced.
This is another example of unanticipated risks of Bitcoin, especially of the
Big Rhino variety. My worry (for years) has been that while the Bitcoin Ecosystem is essentially unbreakable itself (managed properly by HODLers), it is the Entrance and Exit Ramps that are vulnerable to strict controls. It is clear enough to me that Bitcoin will come under further scrutiny and regulation as
.gov loses more and more control (and their financial need/greed rises exponentially...).
Any doubts that .gov will likely grow ever more authoritarian? Look at England locking down London right now...
Since no one can predict the future (and major technology changes), prudence suggests not holding
too much of net assets in BTC. I understand (and accept to a degree) the arguments of "betting on the fastest horse" (etc.), but there are ample precedents showing danger of being too concentrated. Just now I read above about Elwar's Satoshi project not working out due to, in essence, a Big Rhino problem.
The NICE BUMP up in BTC price has been useful for me. I very recently sold a smidge, continuing my strategy of taking some profits. BTC rose to well over 1% of my net, yet my sales were not enough to drag that down to the ~1%.
One should not be afraid of diversification and taking some profits along the way in an asset that really does look to be world-changing. Taking some profits along the way, however, does not lessen my enthusiasm for this wonderful new asset class that Satoshi (et al) have invented for us all.