Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 7039. (Read 26710358 times)

legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
like, who gives a f--k..it is not 2017 anymore...that is done..and what's done is done.

While true, it may be the mirror image of 2016 again.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
You would think an MIT grad and subsequent computer simulations modeler would've understood Bitcoin back in 2013.

I'm no MIT grad and I got it almost immediately back then.

Hell within a few days of research, I completely understood how groundbreaking a breakthrough it was, and how it would fundamentally change the financial world.

While that all makes sense, one must first actually stick their head in the rabbit hole before one can start to understand.

edit: 'tis one of my regrets that I did not give the rabbit hole more than a cursory glance at first sight. Oh well. C'est la guerre.

Huh, jbreher?

What's your rabbit hole story?  You may have said.  I cannot remember specifics.

You did not start buying BTC right away?  At least small amounts?  You may have sold too many too soon.  I think that i heard you reveal something like that, previously.

I've said a little. Perhaps not a lot. I was made aware in 2010. I already had a huge revulsion for the tenets of partial reserve banking, so I was primed. But I was A Busy Guy. No time to look into a neckbeard curiosity that had 'little chance of panning out' (i.e., I walked past the rabbit hole and noticed it's presence, but did not stick my head in).

Even at that, I was buying well before I registered hereupon.  Ponderate upon that if you must.

No, I've not sold a whole lot. 'Divestment phase' != 'Liquidating out for stinky fiat'. At least not in my reading.

I did ...lose a whole lot. In a boating accident couple of scammy scams. As said earlier, C'est la guerre.

Some of us are well into the divestment phase.  

Probably one of the first times that you mentioned that mostly "divestment phase" perspective of yourself.   Shocked Shocked

Again, not at all. From the same time frame as above: I have already stated that I have retired. Which means I need to fund my Lavish Lambo Lifestyletm* off my accumulated holdings. Hence, Divestment phase.

I mean, if you can't connect 'retired from wage slave status' (even at a job I loved - and one upon which Bitcoin, computer networking, and pretty much any tech-touching field is utterly dependent upon my contributions to such) with 'divestment phase'? Well, then that's on you.

*(Rhetorical question - if it is well within your means, is the Lavish Lambo Lifestyletm actually ... lavish?)

The confirmed science and math that Satoshi didn't understand has to do with how poorly this system functions as a currency. We tried it for a few years. It doesn't work. It's only a bad speculative vehicle, which now people realize and have been dumping for 4 years. The project failed. Neat idea, but fractional reserve banking is clearly better based on all proven and confirmed science and math. I'm glad Satoshi tried this out, but now we know it doesn't work and we can go back to the way things are proven to work best.

Too bad Satoshi wasn't a smart guy like Craig Wright.

To be fair, for the entire interval of satoshi's public involvement, transaction volume never came anywhere near the (relatively very high level for the time) blocksize cap that he enacted under prodding from his most significant collaborator.

Plus, he explicitly explained exactly how trivial it would be to increase said blocksize cap such that transaction volume was never artificially throttled. Extending to exemplary code. To the eventual exasperation of those of us who would like the system to exceed such exceedingly tiny limits. As reliance on such economicallly braindead external exigencies is extreme folly.

In other words, pretty much long settled that BIG blocks are not the way to go,

'Settled'? Au contraire mon frere.

I mean, if you think that the wise decision is to outsource your strategy to the 100 IQ masses, knock yourself out.

No - at the point that we've not even started up the S-Curve inflection point of adoption, it is waaaaay too early to be calling any sort of eventual winner.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 335
https://t.me/CRYPTOVlKING


I would merit you for this photo if I had any merit left, I will use that as my wallpaper from now on.

I see most of the people, according to the poll, expect a little rise in price today same as me.Next week we should attack 12-13k, Uni was a good boost, traded it and bought more BTC Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 2540
<>
sr. member
Activity: 1190
Merit: 305
Pro financial, medical liberty

Almost all bitcoin transactions in the future will be done on exchanges,

No.
Could you not afford proper Bitcoin schoolery and had to attend shitcoin classes.
I and only I deceit who i pay and not some exchange dealing with all kinds of garbage and losing or misappropriating my coins.
Kraken or other such junkyards want see my precious Bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
Quote from: jbreher (personal text)
lose: unfind ... loose: untight

Its so good two C you’re hi regard for proper use of the English language!  I like it alot.

I'm gratified to learn of your pleasure thereof. That's there for those who don't know any better.*

Just cause I ain't talk good mostish should not be construed to imply that I am incapable of employing formal grammatical constructs.

*Given the pervasivity of that particular misuse, I sometimes worry that the entire innerwebs is trolling me.


...

You skipped over the most salient point. You have no fckin clue.
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
copper member
Activity: 630
Merit: 2614
If you don’t do PGP, you don’t do crypto!
how do you determine on-chain transations to cost so much?

He can’t.  His post is just a roundabout way of saying, “Bitcoin cannot scale, and will thus become a banker’s toy as bone-crushing transaction fees force everybody into the next generation of Paypal.”  Baloney.

Almost all bitcoin transactions in the future will be done on exchanges, between bank accounts, or through digital warehouses without any bitcoin moving on chain. I'm not holding mine like that but you know most people and companies will, out of fear or because they don't know any other way.

Nice list.  You are basically describing a centralized shitcoin that’s like meta-Paypal 2.0 with magic “blockchain” pixie dust sprinkled on top.  Who needs it?  (Not the banks, who do not like transparent blockchains for their own use!  There is a reason why JPMorgan Chase (!) paid the erstwhile Zcash Company to adapt zk-SNARKs to their own bigbank confidentiality requirements.  See also Greg Maxwell’s discussions of bigcorp interest in Confidential Transactions—which are accordingly implemented in Blockstream’s Liquid.  Only idiots make their own finances publicly transparent; bigcorps are not so stupid.)

Notably, you omitted Lightning Network, and other off-chain things not under the control of banks and other regulated corporations.

The end game is bitcoin becomes the settlement layer for the world. Transaction costs are going way up in the future, you're not going to want to do on-chain transactions when it costs $1000+ to do so, but if you're settling a billions dollars, that's a tiny price to pay.

I could see perhaps something on the order of magnitude of $100 (in today’s current value) on-chain transaction costs, but $1000+?  Smells like FUD.

Bitcoin needs to be accessible to even relatively poor individuals for long-lived channel management on a future L2:  Scrape together, say, $100 to open a channel that runs for years.  N.b., I am not saying it will cost that much!  Just taking that as a figure that will seem high to most people, it would be less expensive overall, amortized over the channel lifetime, than the ripoff fees that regulated money transmitters charge to the “unbanked” in many regions.  Proportionately, the poor always get ripped off the worst!  Speaking from experience—if I had back all of the money that I have ever paid to move small amounts of money without a bank account...

That is not some bleeding-heart egalitarian hogwash.  It is simply a functional description of what is necessary to be something other than just another bankers’ tool.

$1000+ tx fees would mean that Bitcoin is destined to fail—or worse, to become an abomination against financial freedom—and that I should dump it and get out right now.

Fortunately, I do not believe you.  On-chain scalability improvements, combined with off-chain layering, must and will keep “Be Your Own Bank” financial independence within the reach of ordinary individuals—including those who are not early-entrant “Bitcoin rich”.  Just look at the excellent work in Segwit v1, soon nascent, and then consider what the same types of continuing incremental improvements will bring to the baselayer—and what types of new protocols they will support.

The fact is, whether we like it or not, very few individuals (other than those of us here) will hold private keys in 10 years. The transaction costs alone will ensure it.

That would turn Bitcoin into a bankers’ wet dream:  The totally controlled, centralized, regulated basis for a cashless dystopia in which everybody can be tracked, traced, and forced to ask permission to use money.

That is not a new allegation, and it’s not true.

The fact is, whether you the bankers like it or not, cryptographic cleverness will continue to enable technologies that put the individual in direct control of his own money.
member
Activity: 232
Merit: 29

Everything at an exchange is "off-chain".

Almost all bitcoin transactions in the future will be done on exchanges, between bank accounts, or through digital warehouses without any bitcoin moving on chain. I'm not holding mine like that but you know most people and companies will, out of fear or because they don't know any other way.

The end game is bitcoin becomes the settlement layer for the world. Transaction costs are going way up in the future, you're not going to want to do on-chain transactions when it costs $1000+ to do so, but if you're settling a billions dollars, that's a tiny price to pay.

The fact is, whether we like it or not, very few individuals (other than those of us here) will hold private keys in 10 years. The transaction costs alone will ensure it.
how do you determine on-chain transations to cost so much?
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
legendary
Activity: 1869
Merit: 5781
Neighborhood Shenanigans Dispenser
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
evening charts

4h



D


D w/ doubled cloud



#stronghands
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
https://twitter.com/michael_saylor/status/1306636046948610049

Quote
We acquired 21,454 BTC via 78,388 off-chain transactions, then secured it in cold storage with 18 on-chain transactions.  #Bitcoin scales just fine as a store of value.

TBH, I'm not sure why the Bitcoin community is high-fiving each other over this revelation.

I mean sure, it's exciting that a corporation has figured out how to take a large long position in BTC without rocking the boat. I'm sure that other corporations will begin to follow suit in the coming 3-6 months or within the year. The more institutional corporate hodlers, the better. This is overall good news.

But look, if the straight-laced corps with good intentions have figured out how do this, then so can the nefarious Wall Street whale traders as well as other country's seedy deep pocket whale traders (China, Russia, Germany, England, etc). These guys have hundreds of millions $$$, if not billions $$$, at their disposal too. And the difference is that they don't have to make any public announcements, or get their respective legal teams and corp shareholders involved to fight through a bunch of red tape and months of wrangling before they do it. They can and will take up such positions covertly. These types will be the first to dump all their btc at the top of the next bubble, for sure. This is not so great news.

You have a tendency to figure out some negative angle for good newses.

If you heard Saylor in a couple of interviews, you should figure out that he seems to have a pretty BIG grasp on bitcoin, even though he had ONLY been studying bitcoin for about one year, and maybe a bit more cram studying in the past 6 months or so.

You should listen to his interviews on the Pompliano podcast from a couple of days ago and on the Guy Swann podcast from today, and maybe your opinion on the subject might change.... and maybe not too, you do tend to be a bit of a stubborn one from what I recall.   Tongue Tongue Tongue    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Each of the interviews are a bit over an hour, but you could listen to them at speeded up, such as 1.5x or 2x, perhaps.

Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey Might Allocate Some Corporate $10 Bln into Bitcoin: Willy Woo.

Quote
Prominent trader and entrepreneur Willy Woo has hinted that the head of Twitter, Jack Dorsey—who has $10 bln in corporate funds under his control—just might allocate part of that mammoth-sized amount to acquire Bitcoin in the near future to prevent this money from losing value.

Yes,... Microstrategy has provided a bit of a roadmap for the feasibility of such actions by institutional players.

Whether companies decide to take a 10% or 50% of their cash reserves, the amounts at their disposal surely start to add up to a lot of value in the event that some of the more aware, alert and even flexible companies start to see a path forward for accomplishing such bitcoin allocation measures (hedging).

Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey Might Allocate Some Corporate $10 Bln into Bitcoin: Willy Woo.

Quote
Prominent trader and entrepreneur Willy Woo has hinted that the head of Twitter, Jack Dorsey—who has $10 bln in corporate funds under his control—just might allocate part of that mammoth-sized amount to acquire Bitcoin in the near future to prevent this money from losing value.

Go on @jack, you know it makes sense big man!

Yeah I have been waiting for some big companies buying 100,000,000 or more in coin

No need to wait any longer.  The time is upon us (imminently, soon tm)
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
Dont like that scenario much tbh, we have a decentralized blockchain but the little people arent allowed to use it and thats progress apparently.   Cant say I agree, capitalism is capital from and by the people with the means of production with the people not the government or the corporate elite.   Your scenario doesnt resemble capitalism then presuming the future stays true with what has served free people in the past.    

Over all the markets we are tending towards your scenario but I hope Bitcoin is something a bit different to that, its a big question for our times I dont know how it will turn out.    Just going to read Ray Dalio a min
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/billionaire-investor-ray-dalio-on-capitalisms-crisis-the-world-is-going-to-change-in-shocking-ways-in-the-next-five-years-2020-09-17?mod=hedge-fund-moves-and-insider-trades
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
there is trillions and trillions of analog monetary value. there are only 21 million digitally scarce bitcoin. this will be fun to watch unfold as a hodler of bitcoin.

In other words, if you want to have fun, become a holder of bitcoin.

It's not too late, but it will likely NOT be as much fun to be watching others have fun, if you don't gots ur lil selfie any coyns.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



The dude is slurping on the pipe

What happened to the good ole days of pee pics?   Cry Cry
hero member
Activity: 824
Merit: 712
https://twitter.com/michael_saylor/status/1306636046948610049

Quote
We acquired 21,454 BTC via 78,388 off-chain transactions, then secured it in cold storage with 18 on-chain transactions.  #Bitcoin scales just fine as a store of value.

Fine, paid a lot of fees to miners (good boy)...honestly, I don't see a need to make 78K tx to get "just" 21K btc.
That's just being a bit severely paranoid. Why not buy some otc in chunks?

Did you not notice the “off-chain” part?  Ridiculous...

He paid fees for 18 on-chain transactions to miners.  Smart man.  He made ≈4355 Bitcoin transactions per tx that actually paid miner fees!

Off-chain transacting is the way of the future—the global public ledger is for secure synchronization of off-chain protocols.

Admittedly, I may be mixing issues and making too many assumptions there.  “Off-chain” could mean on a centralized exchange.  It could also mean Lightning Network, which is what I meant by “the way of the future”.  Or it could mean any number of other things.  (Just thinking aloud, perhaps he scooped up a bunch of WBTC, then redeemed it—LOL, that would also be “off-chain” in this context.)

Yes, what he calls off-chain looks like simple buying on exchange, and not even otc.
Pretty bizarre, actually:
https://twitter.com/michael_saylor/status/1306940165160656897



Everything at an exchange is "off-chain".

Almost all bitcoin transactions in the future will be done on exchanges, between bank accounts, or through digital warehouses without any bitcoin moving on chain. I'm not holding mine like that but you know most people and companies will, out of fear or because they don't know any other way.

The end game is bitcoin becomes the settlement layer for the world. Transaction costs are going way up in the future, you're not going to want to do on-chain transactions when it costs $1000+ to do so, but if you're settling a billions dollars, that's a tiny price to pay.

The fact is, whether we like it or not, very few individuals (other than those of us here) will hold private keys in 10 years. The transaction costs alone will ensure it.

copper member
Activity: 630
Merit: 2614
If you don’t do PGP, you don’t do crypto!
Piss flaps?

It is a recursive semiotic which signals that your interpretation of my interpretation of your pic-post is that you want to measure people’s interpretations using pseudoscientific incantations that evoke the measurer’s interpretation of others’ interpretations.

I have been wanting to toss that at jojo69.  You got it instead—lucky you!  It is on my part a general statement, not only directed at any particular post.  Indeed, it is even a meta-statement on some of my own prior posts.

Not that I would expect for anybody to get it:  Abnormality is the new normal.  The more maladapted you are to life in this world, the more you are “the future”!  For example, autists are unable to grasp subtle humour.

But as a practical matter, the “high-functioning” autists would probably make suitable overseers in a world of technocratic mass-enslavement managed by robots.  Perhaps that may be why this stuff is being promoted:  A dystopia of socially-distanced, isolated individual units who have none of the normal human connections that characterized all of prior history—who interact with each other only by chatting through machines...  Why, it is almost as if autists were designed and engineered for such a world!


I struggled to interpret the interposition of the Bitcoin symbol.  It can be read a few different ways.

P.S., for the benefit of the Wall Observer, of course I posted the card which most frequently evokes sex.  You caught the nonexistent vulva, but missed the nonexistent erect penis at the top—among innumerable other things that may be seen in a blot of ink smeared onto cardstock a century ago by an insane psychiatrist, who then proceeded to use it to diagnose schizophrenia, homosexuality, and whatever else he decided to see in your perceptions of his little mind-game.
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 2736
Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o
Jump to: