Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 8275. (Read 26711027 times)

That’s really good, we can’t get anything from one particular area where our main Chinese factory is. Our fucking sales are 50% down in the last 2 months due to having to advertise alternative stuff.

Twenty-one years old,
her scent is of mixed flowers,
who's your daddy?

#haiku

Absolutely. Whenever i read his writings i have to think of Patrick Bateman in "American Psycho".


Mine
I had a similar setup 11 years ago. The double bed was standard, but i mounted my screen behind a wooden board with black velvet lining, with the three front 5.1 speakers mounted around the display. The board was tilted off a horizontal platform, using hinges and a metal chain to adjust the angle, very simple but effective. The platform was hung from the ceiling, on two rails from sliding doors, mounted in the direction of the bed's axis, over the center of the bed. I was able to play in almost any position, from sitting upright to lying flat, after adjusting the angle and height. Watching movies also was great. The display was only 26" diameter, but considering the resolution of the screen and the human eye, it was more than sufficient at the lower distance. I hit my head occasionally when getting out of bed in the dark, nothing too serious, though. I still have the rails in the basement, so maybe i will build something like this again. Of course, i had a wireless keyboard, and this was the only annoying thing about it: Typing while lying flat.

I got the idea from a movie, where a games programmer like was living in an automated chair with screens hung above and in front of him, split keyboard in the armrests (iirc). Funny, as i just googled for it, i found the title "Grandma's Boy", from 2006, directed by Nicholaus Goossen (*).

EDIT:
(*) That name was rising some memories about someone you might know...

There's some very weird stocking up going on in Malmö, all the canned meatballs in brown sauce and all the canned chili con carne is gone, but the canned ravioli is untouched. And basically everything else is also in normal stock.
I asked when it will be back in stock and they said tomorrow, there is no shortage, deliveries come as usual.
And if you go to Trelleborg instead there is no stocking going on at all.

Jean-Michel Jarre - Fourth Rendez-Vous

Nice

Isn't China/Asia the region behind the most bitcoin volume? I think we already saw the impact, i suggest a substantial drop in the stock market is yet to come, at latest when half of the US and EU will have to stay at home for collective self-quarantine. The halvening will most likely unfold it's rising potential a while after it has taken place,as it was before. Probably there will also be some additional action in advance, because of anticipation.

But that's uhm... just my opinion, man 

Just for fun I ordered two solar powered lights , you know, the kind you put next to the door, whatever they are called in English, from Wish on the 18th of February.
Last time i ordered from wish was in October and it took two to three months to get the stuff delivered.
Now it seems like it's gonna take 15 days.
It's in Halmstad today, so most likely in my mailbox by tomorrow.
Fastest delivery ever from Wish.
(the delivery time given was May 4)


2020-03-02 14:00
HALMSTAD - SWEDEN, delivery to local courier

2020-03-01 13:40
AMSTERDAM - NETHERLANDS, Shipment in transit by truck

2020-02-27 14:40
AMSTERDAM - NETHERLANDS, Custom clearance completed

2020-02-25 06:22
AMSTERDAM - NETHERLANDS, Arrived at AIRPORT of Destination,Custom clearance in processing.

2020-02-24 00:46
HONG KONG - CHINA, Departure from airport to destination country

2020-02-22 11:30
SHENZHEN, Departed Facility In processing center

2020-02-22 04:26
SHENZHEN, Shipment has been processed in operational center

2020-02-21 18:56
SHENZHEN, Arrived at Sort Facility SHENZHEN

2020-02-19 16:36
Shipment information received

I'll have mine sunny side up please.

If that is a bookshelf full of hand lotion then it is ideal for a good many people.

Someone with a very sore neck.

Depends on how good/bad it would be for my back.

who's jam would this be

An ideal post for gentlemand to merit 

Actually thought it would be his writing   

Now we just need a solar storm and we already have the total reset.

Nicholas William Leeson's birthday was Tuesday last week. But it's still a nice number.

See, buy some extra groceries, 2-3 weeks is all you need.

Oh and measure your neighbors and rank for caloric content. Easy peasy

Just texted with a friend, the groceries in Seattle got wiped out yesterday.  Silly normals, why pay for food when you can just split the skulls of your neighbors and feast on the tasty goo inside?

I am not talking about any moving averages. You could compute them for my example, but they're not relevant to the argument.

Your argument was that volatility is equivalent to risk, which is generally wrong. Neither contains much, if any, information about the other.

To show to you that this is not the case I've tried to give you examples of assets that directly contradict your assertion.

In the 'basket of all stocks' you have no risk in the long-term, because your expected loss (= risk) is strictly negative and hence your expected return is strictly positive, because the realized total return converges towards 10% p.a. (in the case of the US stock market) over time.
Despite that, the asset itself has been volatile. Hence, volatility does not imply anything about risk nor vice versa. The only thing that matters for risk is your strategy and nothing else.

You can have a perpetually flat asset with high risk, or you can have highly volatile assets without any risk (Bitcoin - which does not mean that you are guaranteed to make money).

You can get volatility and risk in any combination and neither implies the other.

You are probably conflating risk and actual returns. Risk is a statistical measure, e.g. the expected loss of a strategy, asset or portfolio.
Just like the expected value of a dice roll is 3.5 = 1/6 times sum of all potential results.
With risk the results are potential price trajectories in the market and the probabilities are obviously different and depend on all sorts of parameters.
Realized returns on the other hand are what you end up with in reality, and while risk can give you an idea of a region that you'll land in, it'll never tell you what will really happen for individual 'games'.


Here's another attempt to make the point clear.
Assume you have volatility but it's always the same. Basically, your price follows a 100% predictable pattern no matter how many people buy or sell. In that case you have volatility, but 100% insight and hence can generate profits without any risk whatsoever.
Obviously this isn't going to happen in real markets (though it does in many games), but it should be sufficiently illustrative to show that volatility and risk aren't related.