I am curious as to what is the price level (low or high) where 70-90% of WO sell the majority of their stake.
I would be an interesting topic to ascertain if people would be truthful in their answers.
You have to include both time and price in order to get something that is even close to accurate answers.... otherwise assuming that WO folks would answer somewhat truthfully.
The most drawdown in a large cap stock I had ever seen was AMZN from intraday high $113 on Dec 6, 1999 to $5.67 on Sept 24, 2001, almost exactly 95% decline in approx 22 mo.
We already had this kind of decline after the first "bubblette" in 2011, but from a purely theoretical perspective, it would be (in the current cycle) from 20089 on Dec 17, 2017 (using yahoo historical data) to about $1010 sometime in the next 5-6mo (timing is already off).
I was presuming that you were talking about up. Down might be a different story. Some folks are not going to sell, and just will ride it to zero, if need be.
I know that these are crazy numbers, so I don't even want to give a probability of such event.
In all likelihood the modified planB "box" at the halving between 3k and 18K should hold true.
My last buy was about $7100, so above are just theoretical musings.
Below $5,000 at some point is probably 40% or so odds. Below $3k would be less than 25%. And, below $1k would probably be less than 5%... roughly speaking... Maybe our odds of breaking the local low are slightly less than 50/50 since we seem to be in a bull market... but hardly anyone believes that we are in a bull market, except me and a few rare others (and I am starting to even question our bull market status, a bit).