I made this chart on August 12th. This is the longterm chart.
On this chart we can clearly see that bitcoin likes the weekly 21 EMA line (the blue line). If bitcoin falls, It likes to bounce up on that line. Currently that line is around 8900 usd. The red line represents the long term trendline.
According to this chart the next btc cycle begins around 2nd March. The blue line is the weekly 21 EMA which very often shows you if it's the bull or the bear sentiment. I already told you about this line before and to watch the 8900 usd. Some big players are watching it and if it drops (closes candle) below the blue line they sell.