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Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - page 1146. (Read 1811595 times)

hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
So far it is fairly save to assum, that the 70k BTC (around 500k USD) stash that moves now and then belongs to him. The best evidence to me is the very timely correlation to his announcements on IRC and the trading followed by it, or not followed (e.g. when he said that he goes to bed and nothing happened thereafter for a day).

Around 44k BTC were involved over the past 4 dumpings on the 17th (34k BTC) and the 20st (10k BTC), when the price was brought down from around 8.8 to 7.8$ in a big dump. Those two combined bring the total USD aquired in those moves to ~450000 USD.*

Around 70k BTC were then bought 4 hours ago driving the price up from 8.81 USD to 9.70 USD, equalling an average price of 9.255 USD/BTC  for all the USD spent. That means, around 647850 USD were sold for 70k BTC.*

In combination, those 44k BTC spent from the 17th to the 20st of July have yielded around 4500 BTC today in pure profit. He also bought additional 21500 BTC today, driving his total balance to 70k BTC. There maybe more that we just dont see yet.

IF this is the only player of that caliber right now, one would expect him to move the price in the other direction, once he can gain higher average prices for his sell. As soon as a 70k BTC dump would score more then the 647850 USD spent, one can expect a huge sell to happen. Especially as this player has shown signs of megalomania and expressed affection for large swings.

*Volumes taken from clarmoody.com and bitcoincharts.com

so, if we assume the Sells and the Buys were both him. His strategy is to sell low and buy high? ;p
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
i think his influence is much overrated.
how much money is he in charge of? somebody knows?

I think he has more than 200,000 bitcoins.

Over 200,000 borrowed bitcoins. That is why the more he tries to manipulate the market with the borrowed BTC, the higher the risk of a pirate in a short squeeze.

He made a comment some days ago, that he could drive the price down to 1.80 $/BTC, that is when I looked it up in the order book at the time and saw that around 1 million USD worth of BTC would have been needed to do so.
IF his claim was right, he would have had by that time (less then a week ago) around 1M USD ( 150,000 BTC) in assets.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
So far it is fairly save to assum, that the 70k BTC (around 500k USD) stash that moves now and then belongs to him. The best evidence to me is the very timely correlation to his announcements on IRC and the trading followed by it, or not followed (e.g. when he said that he goes to bed and nothing happened thereafter for a day).

Around 44k BTC were involved over the past 4 dumpings on the 17th (34k BTC) and the 20st (10k BTC), when the price was brought down from around 8.8 to 7.8$ in a big dump -edit- on average: 8.3 USD/BTC -edit-. Those two combined bring the total USD aquired in those moves to ~365,000 USD.*

Around 70k BTC were then bought 4 hours ago driving the price up from 8.81 USD to 9.70 USD, equalling an average price of 9.255 USD/BTC  for all the USD spent. That means, around 647850 USD were sold for 70k BTC.*

In combination, those 44k BTC spent from the 17th to the 20st of July have -edit- incurred around 4500 BTC today in losses -edit-. He also bought additional 21500 BTC today, driving his total balance to 70k BTC. There maybe more that we just dont see yet.

IF this is the only player of that caliber right now, one would expect him to move the price in the other direction, once he can gain higher average prices for his sell. As soon as a 70k BTC dump would score more then the 647850 USD spent, one can expect a huge sell to happen. Especially as this player has shown signs of megalomania and expressed affection for large swings.

*Volumes taken from clarmoody.com and bitcoincharts.com
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
i think his influence is much overrated.
how much money is he in charge of? somebody knows?

I think he has more than 200,000 bitcoins.

Over 200,000 borrowed bitcoins. That is why the more he tries to manipulate the market with the borrowed BTC, the higher the risk of a pirate in a short squeeze.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
Pirate makes a few jokes and you turn him into a god.  Pathetic.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
0xFB0D8D1534241423
We know he has nearly 100K just in PPT's and the like on GLBSE. So there's your "tip of the iceburg" starting point.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
Didn't you know, pirate also control the weather, he even control when you have to shit. I thought people would know this by now..   Cool

This made me laugh  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
i think his influence is much overrated.
how much money is he in charge of? somebody knows?

I think he has more than 200,000 bitcoins.
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
i think his influence is much overrated.
how much money is he in charge of? somebody knows?
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
Didn't you know, pirate also control the weather, he even control when you have to shit. I thought people would know this by now..   Cool
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
sry, just woke up ans didnt read all todays posts Roll Eyes Is there any clue to whether pirate was responsible for the last Buy (up to 9.70)?
If so, how do we know?

Thx

I think it's always safe to assume that pirate is behind whatever the price is at any given moment.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
sry, just woke up ans didnt read all todays posts Roll Eyes Is there any clue to whether pirate was responsible for the last Buy (up to 9.70)?
If so, how do we know?

Thx
zvs
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1000
https://web.archive.org/web/*/nogleg.com
kim dotcom slush fund
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Here's an overview if the asks up to $9.30 were bought:

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1016
Strength in numbers
So I'm a bit confused about this bug. Mtgox still says $8.827 was the high, but clarkmoody keeps looping a buy all the way up to $9.30. Basically, did the asks up to $9.30 get bought? Or did did none of this really happen?

I don't think there's any way to know yet.

Thanks, what happened the last time this bug happened, does anyone know? Were the orders that were being looped completed? And was it caused by a large buy/sell?

It was a hugely epic day. Like a $3, 40% swing or something. It got caught in a pretty short loop I think, like a few minutes long.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
So I'm a bit confused about this bug. Mtgox still says $8.827 was the high, but clarkmoody keeps looping a buy all the way up to $9.30. Basically, did the asks up to $9.30 get bought? Or did did none of this really happen?

I don't think there's any way to know yet.

Thanks, what happened the last time this bug happened, does anyone know? Were the orders that were being looped completed? And was it caused by a large buy/sell?
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
The buying was so epic that Gox simply can't keep up with it, shame for them, cowards!
sr. member
Activity: 457
Merit: 250
Look for the bear necessities!!
Some millionaire started buying ungodly amounts of coins all at once, so yes this price spike really happened
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
So I'm a bit confused about this bug. Mtgox still says $8.827 was the high, but clarkmoody keeps looping a buy all the way up to $9.30. Basically, did the asks up to $9.30 get bought? Or did did none of this really happen?

I don't think there's any way to know yet.
hero member
Activity: 661
Merit: 500
So I'm a bit confused about this bug. Mtgox still says $8.827 was the high, but clarkmoody keeps looping a buy all the way up to $9.30. Basically, did the asks up to $9.30 get bought? Or did did none of this really happen?

Probably happened, then gox looped, which has happened b4 as previously stated. 
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