Author

Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - page 222. (Read 1811564 times)

legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
The volume of BTC China is reset everyday at midnight of China (16:00 UTC)

China is dumping

 Welcome to BTCChina!
Bitcoin Price Ticker (BTCChina, Realtime)
    CNY
Last BTC Price:    ¥1,225.50
High:    ¥1,329.01
Low:    ¥1,205.00
Last Bid:    ¥1,210.00
Last Ask:    ¥1,227.10
Volume:    320.478

Bitcoin Price Ticker (Mtgox, Updated every 5 min)
    USD   CNY
Last BTC Price:    $185.49   ¥1152.52
High:    $194.9   ¥1210.99
Low:    $155   ¥963.08
Last Bid:    $183.65   ¥1141.09
Last Ask:    $185.49   ¥1152.52
Volume:    99923


....bit of a difference in volume
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
China is dumping

 Welcome to BTCChina!
Bitcoin Price Ticker (BTCChina, Realtime)
    CNY
Last BTC Price:    ¥1,225.50
High:    ¥1,329.01
Low:    ¥1,205.00
Last Bid:    ¥1,210.00
Last Ask:    ¥1,227.10
Volume:    320.478

Bitcoin Price Ticker (Mtgox, Updated every 5 min)
    USD   CNY
Last BTC Price:    $185.49   ¥1152.52
High:    $194.9   ¥1210.99
Low:    $155   ¥963.08
Last Bid:    $183.65   ¥1141.09
Last Ask:    $185.49   ¥1152.52
Volume:    99923


....bit of a difference in volume
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
Ok, europe is now officially considering the Cyprus template for all bank failures in the future.  Bitcoin about to get even crazier !
Anyone know when this was announced?
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
Just bought some more. Let's head on up!
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 502
China is dumping

Most likely arbitrage.
There was a difference of $45 earlier. Made me wish I had setup an account there. Then I gotta deal with LR though, which I do not have.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
crap, missed the dip.  Stupid work    Roll Eyes

We're still in the dip, so not too late

Yeah, but I first need to sell to pick them back up later, wasn't online when the coins were $190-195.  Right now I am not sure which way it ll go, so I do nothing.
full member
Activity: 198
Merit: 100
China is dumping
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
"Don't go in the trollbox, trollbox, trollbox"
This dip was not nearly as much as I expected. Is it that A ) People are getting smarter and not messing around when Gox starts lagging, or B) We could see a double dip later today or tomorrow before jumping back on the BTC rocket to $300 next week?

Could it be that it's stabilising on its mad rush upwards?
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
DigiByte Founder
crap, missed the dip.  Stupid work    Roll Eyes

EDIT: double crap, I had $240 sell orders at bitcoin24, none went through.  Should have put it a dollar lower  Smiley .
My sell order on gox was $195.00..... should have put it 10 cents lower. lol Just 1 BTC for fun, no way I would risk losing anymore.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
DigiByte Founder
This dip was not nearly as much as I expected. Is it that A ) People are getting smarter and not messing around when Gox starts lagging, or B) We could see a double dip later today or tomorrow before jumping back on the BTC rocket to $300 next week?
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
crap, missed the dip.  Stupid work    Roll Eyes

We're still in the dip, so not too late
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
crap, missed the dip.  Stupid work    Roll Eyes

EDIT: double crap, I had $240 sell orders at bitcoin24, none went through.  Should have put it a dollar lower  Smiley .
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
yes, for all you newbies looking at this and the "crash" the media reported last week, think about trying to trade this.  For example, you could sell at the ATH, and keep the money in USD with a bid trailing the ATH by (say) 10%.  But if you do that, you miss the normal weekly runup, in this case from $140.  So this catch-the-dip strategy nets you half the profit as buy-and-hold.  But the risk profile of fiat-on-exchange is pretty similar to btc-on-exchange so the risk reduction is not worth the profitability loss.  And traders can't reliably react to a dump (sell then buy) due to the lag.

This should be printed on cards and issued to all newbies. Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
Hey, I have a naive question about this whole DDOS thing. Would it help if Mt. Gox doubled (or x10) the number of servers they have? Even an extra 100 machines can't be that expensive (probably ~$200 K).

Won't work. The trades must be executed sequentially, that can't be parallelized much. The lag is not about the DDOS, it's mostly about the trading.

Their trading engine is implemented poorly. They have enough hardware but their engine just doesn't cut it. They should hire a team of $300k+/year programmers with extensive experience about these kinds of high performance financial systems and get them to rewrite their trading engine.

Maybe they should hire the guy who won the 'quantcup' matching engine competition.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1010
Damn. We crashed all the way down to 85% above the price a week ago today  Grin
LOL! +1 !  Grin

yes, for all you newbies looking at this and the "crash" the media reported last week, think about trying to trade this.  For example, you could sell at the ATH, and keep the money in USD with a bid trailing the ATH by (say) 10%.  But if you do that, you miss the normal weekly runup, in this case from $140.  So this catch-the-dip strategy nets you half the profit as buy-and-hold.  But the risk profile of fiat-on-exchange is pretty similar to btc-on-exchange so the risk reduction is not worth the profitability loss.  And traders can't reliably react to a dump (sell then buy) due to the lag.

Of course, people can use their intuition and knowledge of fiat bank transfers to make informed guesses and narrowing this profitability gap.  But that is hard and ultimately devolves into guesswork rather then a strategy.

tl;dr; these dips happen because its more profitable to buy-and-hold then to sell-early-to-fiat-and-catch-the-dip.

full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
DigiByte Founder
Hey, I have a naive question about this whole DDOS thing. Would it help if Mt. Gox doubled (or x10) the number of servers they have? Even an extra 100 machines can't be that expensive (probably ~$200 K).

Won't work. The trades must be executed sequentially, that can't be parallelized much. The lag is not about the DDOS, it's mostly about the trading.

Their trading engine is implemented poorly. They have enough hardware but their engine just doesn't cut it. They should hire a team of $300k+/year programmers with extensive experience about these kinds of high performance financial systems and get them to rewrite their trading engine.
Perhaps adding Solid State server drives might help though.
hero member
Activity: 501
Merit: 500
Hey, I have a naive question about this whole DDOS thing. Would it help if Mt. Gox doubled (or x10) the number of servers they have? Even an extra 100 machines can't be that expensive (probably ~$200 K).

Won't work. The trades must be executed sequentially, that can't be parallelized much. The lag is not about the DDOS, it's mostly about the trading.

Their trading engine is implemented poorly. They have enough hardware but their engine just doesn't cut it. They should hire a team of $300k+/year programmers with extensive experience about these kinds of high performance financial systems and get them to rewrite their trading engine.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
What? Bitcoin-24 at $240 ?!


...1 coin

btce  $166
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Hey, I have a naive question about this whole DDOS thing. Would it help if Mt. Gox doubled (or x10) the number of servers they have? Even an extra 100 machines can't be that expensive (probably ~$200 K).

Well, I don't think adding any X number of machines would help with a DDOS as the line would still just be as clogged.

But it doesn't matter as the DDoS excuse is just MtGox trying to cover for it's failure to have a decent database.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 502
Hey, I have a naive question about this whole DDOS thing. Would it help if Mt. Gox doubled (or x10) the number of servers they have? Even an extra 100 machines can't be that expensive (probably ~$200 K).

My understanding is that the engine is written with the competency of an undergraduate CS student.
No amount of hardware improvements can fix errors associated with bad coding practices. The gain would be measly.
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