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Topic: We are going to be devating the scaling issue until we are old (Read 1427 times)

legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
"Devating?" Do you mean "evading?"    Cool
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 265
You can't just analyze from the perspective of a percentage fee, because the blocksize is constrained.

My comment: The blocksize is constrained but not the monetary value of bitcoin. And the % fee is not based on the blocksize (which is limited), but on the monetary value of bitcoin (which is unlimited). It's just like using gold to facilitate global commerce. Many say gold is too limited in supply for the role, but some say, well, just adjust the price of gold (upward) will just do. The same is with bitcoin.

It can become possible that transacting in morsels as small as 1 BTC is no longer possible.

My comment: If that's true, then we can throw out the 8 decimals of bitcoin as we won't be using it soon. The fact that it is well thought out to have 8 decimals is very probably because we will still be transacting in fractions of bitcoin no matter the fee.


You entirely didn't understand the math. Both of your blue comments are incorrect. Sorry but you really need to go re-read and learn 8th grade mathematics. What were you doing since age 13 that you've forgotten the math that you were taught then.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 265
Satoshi did this minimization because it is good design sense, it is sufficient security and collision resistance, it provides an extra layer of protection against any unknown cryptanalysis interaction between SHA256 (or RIPE160) alone and ECDSA, and it helps to market the product to the n00bs as scalable (even though Satoshi was deception in this regard) in Bitcoin's nascent stage. Also SHA256 before RIPE160 provides an extra layer of protection against any unknown cryptanalysis breakage on collisions for RIPE160 alone. For example, SHA256 has a Merkle-Damgard length extension weakness when not doubled with itself or another hash, which tangentially btw would provide someone with a strong hint as to where to look for inventing the AsicBoost to make SHA256 mining 30% more efficient.

Satoshi was so genius that he designed the AsicBoost into the design.

I can say that with great confidence because double-hashing defeats attacks such as AsicBoost, and Satoshi did double-hashing as a precaution every where it could be required in his design except for the proof-of-work.

He managed to think far ahead on the game theory and realized he would need a poison pill to ensure that no one could modify his evil design.

So therefor he created a design that he knew the Chinese ASIC manufacturers would figure out how to make covert AsicBoost and that if it was patented outside of China, then this would be the poison pill against any changes to the protocol (as I have recently explained at @gmaxwell's Redditard discussion).

@dinofelis STFU on your nonsense about Satoshi wasn't genius. I've strongly refuted all of your nonsense technical claims. Stop your lying nonsense.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 265
No one wants a bitcoin network where they'll have to pay more than 1% of the transaction amount as a fee

The whales do because they will be paying 0% fees, as I explained in my prior post.

And everyone who can afford it, will still want to hodl BTC, because the price is going to the moon.

So it will be a process that as the price rises, more and more riff-raff get priced out of the block chain. But those who remain will hodl because the price is rising logistically.

Really you need to think this out. It works very well economically and Satoshi was an evil genius.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 265
if your basing it on moving 1btc... the answer is naturally when it becomes costly to the point of over 1% (so 0.01btc fee) to move it people will lose preferential desire to hold bitcoin.

I disagree. People will see an incentive to hold bitcoin as long as the price keeps going to the moon. If the fee is 0.01 BTC, but the price of 1 BTC is $10,000 with prospects of going $100,000 BTC, then who is the idiot that doesn't want to hold that?

As long as the price keeps going up and the fees allow you to move your wealth when needed, it will have an incentive to be the holder's coin.

If the fee becomes higher than 99% of people's wealth and only billionaires see a point in using it, well that's a problem, everyone else will have dumped and only a few will be using it (and I don't see how it can survive in this state, since barely any transaction volume would be going on for miners to be worth mining)

You have an incomplete mathematical conceptualization.

You can't just analyze from the perspective of a percentage fee, because the blocksize is constrained.

It can become possible that transacting in morsels as small as 1 BTC is no longer possible.

So let me get this straight.

Even people holding millions of dollars worth of bitcoin, will see their bitcoins trapped because transaction fees will be worth millions of dollars? What fees are we talking about by 2030? (at supposedly around $500k price)

Well we can estimate given that BTC trades 1/100th of its market cap daily. So @ $500k per BTC thus a $10 trillion market cap, thus $100 billion transacted daily. Given 144 blocks per day, that is $600 million per block.

Let's assume that whales will put complex settlement transactions on the blockchain with many inputs and outputs so perhaps only 100 transactions per block. Presuming that whales are willing to pay 0.1% fee for security (i.e. $600,000 per block), that means a minimum transaction fee of $6000. If whales are willing to pay more for security, say 1%, then minimum transaction fee of $60,000.

However, I think whales will end up demanding a kickback from miners for their transaction fees, so that miners can jack up fees on non-whales. Whales can make this demand because they can refuse to send their transactions to miners which won't deal. Yet non-whales can't make a credible threat, because miners who generally offered lower fees would end up losing hashrate relative to those miners who didn't defect from the fee market. Thus I think you will probably see miners colluding to extract the maximum fees that gouge non-whales.

So perhaps 10% fees so $600,000 per transaction. You'll pay it because you have no choice, whereas the whales will have exempted themselves from the fee. So in other words, we will be paying the fees for the whales, eventually the millionaires paying exorbitant fees in order to transact unregulated.

You'll of course be able to avoid that exorbitant fees by going through a regulated option as I explained previously.

So the bottom line is the whales will be free from regulation and we will not. We remain slaves.
copper member
Activity: 1330
Merit: 899
🖤😏
No one wants a bitcoin network where they'll have to pay more than 1% of the transaction amount as a fee, paypal taking 2% in average and they even give you the chance of charge back, why are you fooling yourselves? thinking BTC will continue like this, no one forced to use bitcoin in the first place.
Looks like every one forgetting that? people will slowly move on like it never happened. as long as bitcoin has something interesting to say and offer community will follow otherwise they wont go for something that will cause them great loss. some of you are just kids in adult's bodies imagining a $500k per coin price and stuff like that, just wait and see a few month after fees grow higher than 2% you'll see how the support fades away.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1028



if your basing it on moving 1btc... the answer is naturally when it becomes costly to the point of over 1% (so 0.01btc fee) to move it people will lose preferential desire to hold bitcoin.


I disagree. People will see an incentive to hold bitcoin as long as the price keeps going to the moon. If the fee is 0.01 BTC, but the price of 1 BTC is $10,000 with prospects of going $100,000 BTC, then who is the idiot that doesn't want to hold that?

As long as the price keeps going up and the fees allow you to move your wealth when needed, it will have an incentive to be the holder's coin.

If the fee becomes higher than 99% of people's wealth and only billionaires see a point in using it, well that's a problem, everyone else will have dumped and only a few will be using it (and I don't see how it can survive in this state, since barely any transaction volume would be going on for miners to be worth mining)
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3015
Welt Am Draht
I think the people espousing monster fees are already stuck in the mind set that Bitcoin has already triumphed. Maybe in one's own echo chamber, but out in the big bad world that certainly isn't the case.

The longer it survives and the more expensive it becomes to use produces two things - ever increasing knowledge to come up with something better and the incentive to create it.
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
iamnotback

you set your own opinion, yep opinion.
then when people try to correct it you try to defend your opinion by quoting yourself.
same goes for your 'nashian' debates of talking to yourself.

quoting yourself does not make your opinion stronger.

but please try to learn about bitcoin, because the more you talk about FIAT prices the less interested you seem to care about bitcoins sustainability and only seem to be watching for an exit price back to the land of a fiat holder.

anyway goodluck with your life. and i hope one day you do go back holding alot of fiat.
legendary
Activity: 2954
Merit: 1153
We will be 60 years old and we will still be debating how to scale bitcoin. Franky1 and jonald will still be saying how segwit is bad, and kwukduck will still be FUDding on the price and shilling whatever alternative is being proposed (BUcoin, Classicoin, othercoin)

Meanwhile BTC price will continue going up and so will the fees. BTC will continue working.

I just hope the fee never becomes so high that people can't even move 1 BTC!!! that would be stupid.

But as long as the price goes up the fees will go up too.

The question, when does bitcoin become useless for us? when do we dump because the fee will become higher than our holdings?

I think when you can't even move 1 BTC per coin because the fee is higher than 1 BTC, the price must be super high or it will collapse.

It is logical to think that Fee will be in ever increasing state unless some code is changed and create a fixed amount for transaction fee depending not on the bytes but rather to the amount of BTC to send.  If this ever increasing fee is not fixed, then all I can see is a dead BTC in the future. Or just some expensive store of value at least.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1005
★Nitrogensports.eu★
We will be 60 years old and we will still be debating how to scale bitcoin. Franky1 and jonald will still be saying how segwit is bad, and kwukduck will still be FUDding on the price and shilling whatever alternative is being proposed (BUcoin, Classicoin, othercoin)
For now it certainly looks like we are stuck - 30% of miners don't care about any scaling solution and they are not signalling anything.
We are testing how far status quo will take us, but patience of users and business is running out.

Meanwhile BTC price will continue going up and so will the fees. BTC will continue working.
BTC might evolve to be ultimate capital investment... and nothing more.

I just hope the fee never becomes so high that people can't even move 1 BTC!!! that would be stupid.
That would be the end and ultimate fail so let's hope we will never see that happen. It defeats the purpose of cryptocurrency.
Pab
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1012
Good quote,our grand children will read about it in his daily news
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 265
Given 600 blocks per day,
..

..
 Don't stop learning.

144 blocks a day..
but dont stop learning

Thanks I am doing too much multi-tasking (have a short open on LTC at same time writing posts, its 4am and I haven't slept for 2 days, etc). I'll correct my post.

600 blocks is the delay for spending coinbase. Litecoin is closer at 576.

P.S. Readers note that @franky1 has a vendetta against me because I pointed out that he doesn't understand logic and also he makes technological blunders, and then I deleted his vile reply from the thread because I had warned him to be respectful or leave. Every time he acts like an ass, I will advertise his logic error again. Maybe eventually he'll learn to not be an asshurl. Making war against me isn't wise. I'm a sincere person who tries to help others, but I'll destroy asshurls.

Well at 20 BTC you probably be able to cash out more than a $million if you don't encounter the other pitfalls I mentioned.

We are headed into a difficult time with collapsing governments, chaos, and war.

But if you are clever, you might make it through in a good situation. Remain alert and astute. Don't stop learning.
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
Given 600 blocks per day,
..

..
 Don't stop learning.

144 blocks a day..
but dont stop learning
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 265
So let me get this straight.

Even people holding millions of dollars worth of bitcoin, will see their bitcoins trapped because transaction fees will be worth millions of dollars? What fees are we talking about by 2030? (at supposedly around $500k price)

Well we can estimate given that BTC trades 1/100th of its market cap daily. So @ $500k per BTC thus a $10 trillion market cap, thus $100 billion transacted daily. Given 144 blocks per day, that is $600 million per block.

Let's assume that whales will put complex settlement transactions on the blockchain with many inputs and outputs so perhaps only 100 transactions per block. Presuming that whales are willing to pay 0.1% fee for security (i.e. $600,000 per block), that means a minimum transaction fee of $6000. If whales are willing to pay more for security, say 1%, then minimum transaction fee of $60,000.

However, I think whales will end up demanding a kickback from miners for their transaction fees, so that miners can jack up fees on non-whales. Whales can make this demand because they can refuse to send their transactions to miners which won't deal. Yet non-whales can't make a credible threat, because miners who generally offered lower fees would end up losing hashrate relative to those miners who didn't defect from the fee market. Thus I think you will probably see miners colluding to extract the maximum fees that gouge non-whales.

So perhaps 10% fees so $600,000 per transaction. You'll pay it because you have no choice, whereas the whales will have exempted themselves from the fee. So in other words, we will be paying the fees for the whales, eventually the millionaires paying exorbitant fees in order to transact unregulated.

You'll of course be able to avoid that exorbitant fees by going through a regulated option as I explained previously.

So the bottom line is the whales will be free from regulation and we will not. We remain slaves.

And how do we know when we start losing money (aka when is the time to dump?)

Monitor the fees paid in blocks. It will gradually rise over the coming years.

You say now is too early because the price will go higher and the fees will still be affordable.

How does one calculate when you start losing money in relation to the amount of BTC you are holding, the price, and the fees so you know the ideal time to dump?

It is a function of the supply and demand for BTC. As the demand for transactions outstrips supply of block size space, the transaction fees will rise accordingly. You can project if you can project BTC transaction demand.

You paint a scary picture where there is an Illuminati elite of BTC holders.

Well they exist. MP is one of them. You can speak to him on his IRC channel. Ask him if you want. Be sincere and maybe he won't be too hard on you.

Better to ask directly while you still can access him. I provided the link to his IRC in my prior post.

Please notify us after you did.

I am just a hard working poor guy hustling for BTCs, made a decent portfolio (not even yet 21 BTC group) and you are saying these guys will make my wealth useless because the fee will be so high by 2030 that even if you are holding something decent like 10-20 BTC, your wealth will be stuck, so you are forced to eventually sell before the fee is higher than your wealth. This is just nuts man, what the fuck?

Well I think the price of Bitcoin will rise to greater than $10,000 before you have any problem about the fees, as long as you are only spending minimum increments of 1 BTC.

Fucking billionaires. Fuck all of you!! I only wanted to make a couple million dollars from my hard working and hustling and long term vision to hodl BTC and retire peacefully and now I will get fucked by insane fees. Fuck this trash, fuck their group, pussies. I was excited to see BTC at 6 figures in 10 years, but I will not be part of it even if i have 10 million worth of BTC because fees will be higher than 10 million BTC? this is insane. When the fuck do I dump this garbage? im too pissed, im going to the gym.

Well at 20 BTC you probably be able to cash out more than a $million if you don't encounter the other pitfalls I mentioned.

We are headed into a difficult time with collapsing governments, chaos, and war.

But if you are clever, you might make it through in a good situation. Remain alert and astute. Don't stop learning.



no, bitcoin will most likely not go to $500,000 in 2030

But you aren't sure.

no, you will not be tortured if you own BTC

Will you guarantee that no one will be imprisoned/tortured for "financial crimes"1 if they fail to comply with government orders to turn over their private keys?

I want you to make an asshat for yourself so we can enshrine your post later when it is proven that you were incorrect.

no, you will be able to move 1 BTC (we will never reach a point where fee is higher than 1 BTC, it would collapse before we get there, too many angry people will kill the project)

no, bitcoin will not be for billionaires only (devs allowing this will get killed by angry bitcoiners that holded for years only to find out their millions are stuck on the blockchain because the fees are millionaire in itselves)

Your nonsense has been refuted already upthread.

The devs have no control whatsoever dufus.


1 Read more about this here.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1008
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
The question, when does bitcoin become useless for us? when do we dump because the fee will become higher than our holdings?

I think when you can't even move 1 BTC per coin because the fee is higher than 1 BTC, the price must be super high or it will collapse.
I will start to think bitcoin as useless coin only When bitcoin will loss all its miners and there will be not much active nodes for bitcoin. I don't think this gonna happen in near future.

If you receive lots of small amount of bitcoin in several transactions, yes fees can be more than your holding in future. I have also seen few transactions where fees and amount in transactions almost same several times.
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
as for the fee/spam thing
here is one example - not perfect. but think about it
imagine that we decided its acceptable that people should have a way to get priority if they have a lean tx and signal that they only want to spend funds once a day. (reasonable expectation)
where if they want to spend more often costs rise, if they want bloated tx, costs rise..

which then allows those that just pay their rent once a month or buys groceries every couple days to be ok using onchain bitcoin.. and where the costs of trying to spam the network (every block) becomes expensive where by they would be better off using LN. (for things like faucet raiding/day trading every 1-10 minutes)

so lets think about a priority fee thats not about rich vs poor(like the old one was) but about reducing respend spam and bloat.

lets imagine we actually use the tx age combined with CLTV to signal the network that a user is willing to add some maturity time if their tx age is under a day, to signal they want it confirmed but allowing themselves to be locked out of spending for an average of 24 hours.(thats what CLTV does)

and where the bloat of the tx vs the blocksize has some impact too... rather than the old formulae with was more about the value of the tx


as you can see its not about tx value. its about bloat and age.
this way
those not wanting to spend more than once a day and dont bloat the blocks get preferential treatment onchain ($0.01).
if you are willing to wait a day but your taking up 1% of the blockspace. you pay more ($0.44)
if you want to be a spammer spending every block. you pay the price($1.44)
and if you want to be a total ass-hat and be both bloated and respending EVERY BLOCK you pay the ultimate price($63.72)

note this is not perfect. but think about it
sr. member
Activity: 1344
Merit: 288
Meanwhile BTC price will continue going up and so will the fees. BTC will continue working.

I just hope the fee never becomes so high that people can't even move 1 BTC!!! that would be stupid.

But as long as the price goes up the fees will go up too.

The question, when does bitcoin become useless for us? when do we dump because the fee will become higher than our holdings?

I think when you can't even move 1 BTC per coin because the fee is higher than 1 BTC, the price must be super high or it will collapse.

ignoring the first sentance (im didnt include in ur quote) you have a very level headed question

my opinion
we are already at and passed the utility point.

if your basing it on moving 1btc... the answer is naturally when it becomes costly to the point of over 1% (so 0.01btc fee) to move it people will lose preferential desire to hold bitcoin.

of course bitcoin fee's dont work as % and most people are not moving funds in 1btc amounts. usually in real life of going to an ATM and banking its $10 amounts-$100 on average 'spend'. that people withdraw/handle/carry around/spend.
so based on a 0.01-0.1 spend amount .. 0.0001-0.001fee

i have been to a few countries trying to drum up bitcoin support and the main objections is the fee.. $0.60 is about 12 hours labour in some countries so when you tell them they need to work 12 hours just to move funds.. yep you guessed you they are not interested.

bitcoin has become too american economist minded (only for the rich wall streeters) and has been shaped by those refusing to allow onchain growth to keep pushing fake naratives of 'but pools need higher fee's tonight' propaganda. which has make it unattainable to the unbanked/developing countries (unless your a rich nigerian prince/ oil baron)

though onchain transactions should not be a world history report of every doughnt bought. it should not cost hours of labour to use it either.

im sure if LN had a $0.0001 LN channel fee and an onchain $0.01 people who spend often will naturally volunteer to use LN. and then we can code a better fee priority mechanism so slowdown/stop spammers onchain.
I am impressed. This is the best, most reasonable post I have ever seen from you, franky. I am not SegWit or BU supporter, myself, but this post explains much.

High fees are a real problem – every time I talk to people about bitcoin, who are not aware of it, I try to avoid this fees thing because it surely keeps them away. 
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
Meanwhile BTC price will continue going up and so will the fees. BTC will continue working.

I just hope the fee never becomes so high that people can't even move 1 BTC!!! that would be stupid.

But as long as the price goes up the fees will go up too.

The question, when does bitcoin become useless for us? when do we dump because the fee will become higher than our holdings?

I think when you can't even move 1 BTC per coin because the fee is higher than 1 BTC, the price must be super high or it will collapse.

ignoring the first sentance (im didnt include in ur quote) you have a very level headed question

my opinion
we are already at and passed the utility point.

if your basing it on moving 1btc... the answer is naturally when it becomes costly to the point of over 1% (so 0.01btc fee) to move it people will lose preferential desire to hold bitcoin.

of course bitcoin fee's dont work as % and most people are not moving funds in 1btc amounts. usually in real life of going to an ATM and banking its $10-$100amounts on average 'spend'. that people withdraw/handle/carry around/spend.
so based on a 0.01-0.1 spend amount .. 0.0001-0.001fee

in developing countries its $0.10-$10(0.0001- 0.01) amounts so (0.000001-0.0001fee)

i have been to a few countries trying to drum up bitcoin support and the main objections is the fee.. $0.60 is about 12 hours labour in some countries so when you tell them they need to work 12 hours just to move funds.. yep you guessed it they are not interested.

bitcoin has become too american economist minded (only for the rich wall streeters) and has been shaped by those refusing to allow onchain growth to keep pushing fake narratives of 'but pools need higher fee's tonight' propaganda. which has made it unattainable to the unbanked/developing countries (unless your a rich nigerian prince/oil baron)

though onchain transactions should not be a world history report of every doughnut bought. it should not cost hours of labour to use it either.

im sure if LN had a $0.0001 LN channel fee and an onchain $0.01 people who spend often will naturally volunteer to use LN. and then we can code a better fee priority mechanism to slowdown/stop spammers onchain from spending every 10 minutes by using CODE not economics.
EG coinage under 144 confirms. fee is higher
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
The question, when does bitcoin become useless for us? when do we dump because the fee will become higher than our holdings?
I think when you can't even move 1 BTC per coin because the fee is higher than 1 BTC, the price must be super high or it will collapse.

But you're one of the core shills who wants these high fees - yet is still planning their dump?
This post just shows the stupidity of the core roadmap, and complete lack of understanding by many vocal accounts here.






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