Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers
BTC in all reality has an true market value of $400, it's unreasonable to appraise it any higher on practical grounds. Given that the gox matter is not finally resolved we are exremely lucky it isn't on a perpetual downward slide. The simple fact is most of btc's success is hype driven driven so hard it stuck (no one does it better than dodgecoin), if you remove the media hype and all other hype btc is worth $400.
What do you think raised the market value from avg $565 to present avg $685? Certainly not the app, it was three things:
1) the market movement,
2) the hype ABOUT something new to come
and
3) to a far less degree the app
The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic. You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.
Did you just pull $400 out of your rear or something? Why $400? Why not $380? Why not $182.25? Why not $5.75?
Here's essentially what I did, I took the organic growth (meaningful development not influenced by gratuitous hype) of btc and projected it forward. .
Last month that number was $500, now it's $400, next week it will be $380.
It dropped from $500 to $400 because two of the vehicles I counted as meaningful developments for long-term sustainable btc growth proved less effective then what should reasonable be expected. The first was the Bitcoin Foundation - a major development for btc which lost significant credibility when TWO of its founding directors resigned under clouds. And the BitcoinTalk forum - a major development for btc (and the whole cryptocurrency community). However, the community came up short in 3 ways:
1) the petition to remove Mark from the board should have gotten at least 1% of the membership within a week, it didn't
2) After Gox stopped withdrawals, organized efforts should have resulted in substantially less financial loss for the community,
3) the ongoing inability of the community to get from the blockchain what it needs to be reasonable informed, and subsequently being unable to receive adequate accountability, transparency, and security from the exchanges.
As of last week, everyone knows or should know that what occurred to Mt Gox could easily reoccur multiple times, yet there has been not meaningful upgrades to the btc infrastructure. Nor has the exchanges filled in that 'insecurity gap' with assurances, guarantees, bonding, insurance, certification, proof of solvency, etc ... as such the $400 will decrease to $380 next week. Follow that forward, without meaningful change in a month the true value of btc will be $100.
A valuation based on empirical evidence, critical thinking and logical reasoning makes sense.