Its pure technical.
That formation is well known in crypto on every time frames.
How it works? And why that happened?
From the end of November bitcoin was in 3200-4200 consolidation. For four months on medium volume traders was trading without realising waste/profit waiting for move. Majority of traders that opened their long position set stoploss around 3100, all who opened short position set stoploss around 4200 (based on supports and resistance from AT). For four months amount of unrealised stoplosses was growing. It was like a
ticking bomb. Stoplosses was only tip of iceberg. There were 500 mil worth overleveraged shorts (only on bitmex -https://cryptopotato.com/500m-usd-of-liquidated-short-positions-bitmex-responds-to-the-futures-auto-deleveraging-events/) that was liquidated during this pump pumping price even further.
The fuse was fired. Price crossed 4200 resistance. Let's summarize who is on market currently:
Demand:
1- TA traders buying due to TA buy signal (breaking resistance)
2- stoplosses on shorts
That push price sharply
3- overleveraged shorts get liquidated
that push price even further
4-more and more stoplosses and liquidations fired one by one at higher and higher prices
Supply:
Almost none. The Closest resistance is around 5400. Why sell earlier? Would you do that?
what happens if there are many buyers and the lack of sellers? Price surge... and that's what happened.
Any solid facts to justify the sudden pump of market these days? Looks very unnatural with no signs of catalyst whatsoever. News said 20,000 bitcoins are ordered but around 100m to trigger a 40billion bullrun? That's really fishy considering they can profit way more than their buys, what are your insights on this? Organized whales or institutions strategy?
I think it was because of the news that China governments and regulatrary agency has shut down mining activities. Many traders and investors see this a good news and since this is going to lower supply they believe that it is time to invest because price is going to surge.
That's the stupidest thing you might say. Do you even know how bitcoin mining works? Supply is always the same. No matter if there are bunch of mining factories or 1 single PC handling whole network.