I think crypto winter is already upon us, no matter how BTC proofs to be stronger it always goes lower since last month, it's getting more harder to retrace old ATH even while institutions are adopting the coin, I believe that massive sell off will happen soon which will unlock the door for the bears
I don't think everyone will make a sale even though the bitcoin situation is not good, there are still many who believe that there will always be changes to achieve renewable ATH that will be carried out by bitcoin, it just takes patience and not panic in responding to the situation, because things like this often happen to bitcoin . for new players it may be true as you say, may make a sale but not for old ones with bitcoin, there is always optimism.
it's hard to say, I think it's not worth comparing the experience of previous years and I would pay attention to the significant events in the new 2022, which may possibly bring positive dynamics to the market as a whole, not only for the cue ball, but also for altcoins.For example, ETH will switch to POS and how the coin will react is not clear.
we can't let go of the past situation when we talk about bitcoin because bitcoin has its own criteria which always repeats what has been done even though it's currently a bit off, but it's still in a good corridor.
Yes, there must be a sense of optimism for next year that there will be improvements although it is a bit difficult because usually after the increase there will be corrections throughout the year, but there is always optimism for that change to occur. hopefully what you say about ethereum can be realized well and we are waiting for it.