If the current blocksize war continues and Core stays with 1 MB blocks and without Segwit, we will have ... two Bitcoins in 2018!
Bitcoin 1 (Core): $20-100
Bitcoin 2 (Unlimited, XT, btcfork or whatever): $20-200
That is pretty bearish, I know, although all bitcoin holders will have tokens in both chains. That's why I urge both parties to find a solution "in the middle" (let's say, 4 MB blocks for now, and an upgrade mechanism, and Segwit). In this case, I think the price can easily go over the old all-time-high to the $2000 region. But at this moment I consider it very unprobable.
what do you mean about bitcoin core : 20 - 100 dollar and bitcoin xt : 20 - 200 dollar
i think bitcoin price can incraese very high after halving again , in 2016 halving, in end year 2016 bitcoin price incraese very high
It's actually very simple what the meant with the prices. If Bitcoin remains staying in its current form where SW won't be activated, then he expects the price to plummet to $20-$100 in 2018.
If another Bitcoin fork will reach the majority of the crucial support, then he expects the price to plummet to $20-$200 in 2018. Either way, he is not really having much confidence in how things will work out.
I am not that bearish as he is. If Bitcoin Core stays as it is, then it will surely disappoint a lot people, but the price won't sink that far down. Maybe a few hundred lower at worst. But that's really it.
Real damage will become reality when an alternative fork happens to win this nonsense battle. It means that even though people supporting these alternatives know the negative outcome, they still want to push it through.