Ok, I want you to SPECULATE.
I know that no one knows the truth until the date, but I am interested in your honest opinion.
And also Why makes you think that?
Like you say we cannot know for sure but I believe when the halving date hits us we will be either mid 2's or where we are now after a pump in the couple of months leading to the halving.
Why do I think that?
Because most newbie and oldtimer here thinks they know what whales are going to do and it is assured to get a massive pump lol.
I don't believe that or follow sheep I think we may have already had the halving priced in on the recent jump so then we will get the dump on the news/date.
If I am wrong we still have a pump to come but there will always be a dump after as always and that will be a little before the halving so we will be around this same price is my guess.
What do you think?
I think that, as always, bitcoin will do exactly the opposite to what people think.
Yes, the halving is mostly priced in, but whales will make another huge prehalving pump ( the first was in october-november, remember that we doubled the price and we still there). But before july the whales may dump a lot of bitcoins with a good profit rate. And newbies that think also. So I would say that the price will be around 300$ at the moment of halving. But before or after that, in 2016, we will see 4 digits.