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Topic: What if CEX do not have BTCs? What is being traded then? (Read 197 times)

legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1042
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
Hahaha funny but good point, so in exchanges the assets you watch are just the numbers based on the database of the centralized trading platform. All the real deposits and assets are stored in the cold storage wallets and corresponding the numbers are updated in the database. I think this is how we work most of the time on trading platforms (CEX) we trade. This is the reason we call them noncustodial wallets.

Remember Not your key, not your coins.

On the other hand, decentralized exchanges (DEX) work to a real level, each and every transaction is a real-time asset and value-based which indicates the legitimacy of the trade. Trade with decentralized exchanges if you are a big trading player because funds custody is more important.
sr. member
Activity: 938
Merit: 303
    -  Storing Bitcoin in an exchange is really high risk, it's still really good to store bitcoin in a hardware wallet, nano ledger or if you don't have it, Electrum is also possible as long as the password is saved, private its key or seed phrase.

If you save bitcoin on an exchange, maybe just make sure it's something like binance that can be trusted somehow. Because of my experience in using it for several years, so far I have not had any problems with it.
copper member
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1822
Top Crypto Casino
Usually when the CEX do not have BTC and their customers want to withdraw their coins, they will frozen the customer coins and accuse something, then they will ask a time to proceed further investigation or they will make your transaction pending and the reason is security check.

Although it's just my assumptions, but that's what high likely happen if the CEX have fake trading volume.
You are right

I think even FTX started showing signs of delayed withdrawals right before they completely shut down

Another thing I think exchanges do is to put the wallet under "maintenance" especially on the withdrawal option yet the deposits option could very well still be active. This is to avoid users from withdrawing their coins until they (the exchange) get enough funds
sr. member
Activity: 1932
Merit: 442
Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
[snip]

And projecting this thought to the crypto exchanges, what if some well known CEX do not have enough BTCs that is being traded on that exchange? All that numbers and volume could be fake. Then the CEX is becoming like a traditional bank, where unless everyone will want to withdraw their BTCs, they are ok trading non existing BTCs. 

well, what do you think?
Everything that does not appear in a blockchain per transaction, considering it is a fake or not accurate number exists on exchange because everything is on-chain. Perhaps this could possibly lead to a situation where the volume and numbers reported by the exchange are not entirely accurate, and users may unknowingly be trading non-existent BTCs because it is not recording on a blockchain.
I think the best move is to choose reputable exchanges and take steps to ensure that they have sufficient reserves to cover all trades. For example --they may periodically conduct audits of their reserves and publish the results publicly to increase transparency to the public, that is how you will a reputable exchange and already tested.
hero member
Activity: 2212
Merit: 670
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well, what do you think?
Traders only trade digits regardless of any reason that the exchange fully reserves bitcoins.
FTX has disclosed the fact that exchanges are likely to engage in high-risk practices that could potentially deprive customers of bitcoins through some third-party business schemes.
After the FTX collapse, regulation has increasingly been in the midst of clamping down on the transparency of CEXes with multiple audit policies, though some argue that's not enough and discourage traders from putting too much faith in the results.
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1394
Usually when the CEX do not have BTC and their customers want to withdraw their coins, they will frozen the customer coins and accuse something, then they will ask a time to proceed further investigation or they will make your transaction pending and the reason is security check.
(...)
This is very common especially when you withdraw a large amount in just a single transaction, especially those exchanges who got low trading volume and are really scamming their users.
There are already a lot of cases just like this especially when an exchange uses their customers' balance for their own benefits.

Always think that once you deposit your funds to an exchange, it's not yours already, you are now just holding numbers from your account.
legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 1207
Usually when the CEX do not have BTC and their customers want to withdraw their coins, they will frozen the customer coins and accuse something, then they will ask a time to proceed further investigation or they will make your transaction pending and the reason is security check.

Although it's just my assumptions, but that's what high likely happen if the CEX have fake trading volume.
mk4
legendary
Activity: 2870
Merit: 3873
Paldo.io 🤖
I don't think exchanges can fake that. They know anyone would want to withdraw the BTC so everything that is traded in the exchange is available for withdrawal. They'd be labeled scam if they are not allowing withdrawals.

Exchange have faked it in the past (most recently, FTX). These exchanges can operate as normal not unless their users attempt a massive bank run. This is the reason why the "proof of keys" movement was created, to check the solvencies of centralized exchanges.
hero member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 623
The other day I was thinking about trading and trading platforms. Because I am new to the field, I might not understand certain things you guys might already know.

For example, when you buy a stock, say AAPL, how do you get out your AAPL from the exchange?

Buying stocks means you have a contract stating that you are partially an owner of a corporation. Typically broker is the one creating those contract when you buy and sell. This contracts will give you ownership to your stocks and there’s a huge difference between stocks and cryptocurrency so you should not compared them as similar thing.

Bitcoin can be compared to Gold and Fiat because it’s currency in crypto.


And projecting this thought to the crypto exchanges, what if some well known CEX do not have enough BTCs that is being traded on that exchange? All that numbers and volume could be fake. Then the CEX is becoming like a traditional bank, where unless everyone will want to withdraw their BTCs, they are ok trading non existing BTCs. 

well, what do you think?

This is actually what’s happening on CEX for example FTX, FTX liability is greater than their assets that makes them collapse after their customers pull out their balance. Some CEX is using their customer money on different investment just like banks doing on our money but crypto is worst because there’s no transparency on the proof of reserves that will show customer balance is 100% backed by exchange reserve.
sr. member
Activity: 2366
Merit: 332

For example, when you buy a stock, say AAPL, how do you get out your AAPL from the exchange?

To this question you can withdraw altcoins just like you can withdraw your bitcoin and that is how you will get it out. There are some wallet that enable some altcoins to be stored in them like erc20. So if you have a coin in eth blockchain you can use erc20 wallets to safe your altcoins. Remember if you don't have direct access to your coin alone, it is still available to everyone including the exchange.
member
Activity: 756
Merit: 16
We All Can Make It
Here is where CEX and DEX differs, unlike DEX there are no realtime transfer of assets during trading in CEX, instead txs are recorded on a database. So you should know that CEX is much more like your stockbroker and there is a chance that they don't have your coins. To be on the safe side, it is advisable to always withdraw your funds from CEX after trading.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1288
The simple idea for all central platforms is that you deposit money to them, and in return they update their database, and so you do not need that money unless you decide to withdraw here. The platform must have enough currencies to meet the withdrawal.
Just like banks, the platforms invest that money to make more resources available to them, but on the condition that when any customer wants to withdraw his money, there must be sufficient funds for that.

Problems occur when:

  • There is not enough deposit.
  • There are a lot of withdrawals without keeping the funds in the platform.
  • Money is not invested so that its return is good.
  • Clients' money is exploited and squandered for personal interests.

They are the main reasons that lead to bankruptcy of platforms.
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1024
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
I don't think exchanges can fake that. They know anyone would want to withdraw the BTC so everything that is traded in the exchange is available for withdrawal. They'd be labeled scam if they are not allowing withdrawals.

If there is less BTC volume then there are just a few people in the exchange buying and selling. Most probably the price of BTC in this particular exchange will be much higher or lower compare to the market price.

FTX is the most recent example, they don't have enough liquidity as people rush to withdraw assets. It doesn't just happen with centralized exchanges, but even the banks you are depositing with have the same problem. They use our deposits to invest in other areas, so when something goes wrong, they can't fill their budget, and if everyone rushes to withdraw money, it will lead to lack of liquidity. What you get for depositing money in an exchange or bank are just virtual numbers, and they can give you as much as you want. Bitcoin will only be yours if it is in your personal wallet.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1789
I don't think exchanges can fake that. They know anyone would want to withdraw the BTC so everything that is traded in the exchange is available for withdrawal. They'd be labeled scam if they are not allowing withdrawals.
Judging from how many exchanges went insolvent, I think it is fair to say that at the very least they need to provide proof of their sustainability. If they do that, users can see whether they have the ability to sustain their business if all users withdraw their BTC or coins at the same time. Even if they do that though, they can still lie or deliberately be misleading to avoid further questioning. I mean, even the latest FTX case can be solid proof that 'reputable' exchanges need more than just name and marketing to survive the market. You should not underestimate how scammy exchanges can be regardless if they are popular or not.

If there is less BTC volume then there are just a few people in the exchange buying and selling. Most probably the price of BTC in this particular exchange will be much higher or lower compare to the market price.
AFAIK, trading volume should not be a metric for reserves anyway. Exchanges can fake them anytime, or at least manipulate them to some extent to hide their insider trading or something similar.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
When you buy a stock it’s basically electronic so you don’t see it but if you pay you can get a stock certificate and put that in your deposit box in the bank.

Keep in mind with stocks there are times when there can be more people holding shares than shares outstanding. It happens when people borrow to short. Basically the same share held by 2 people at least. With a physical stock certificate this obviously wouldn’t be possible.
hero member
Activity: 3038
Merit: 617
I don't think exchanges can fake that. They know anyone would want to withdraw the BTC so everything that is traded in the exchange is available for withdrawal. They'd be labeled scam if they are not allowing withdrawals.

If there is less BTC volume then there are just a few people in the exchange buying and selling. Most probably the price of BTC in this particular exchange will be much higher or lower compare to the market price.
mk4
legendary
Activity: 2870
Merit: 3873
Paldo.io 🤖
This is the exact reason why it's always recommended to withdraw your long-term holdings onto your cold storage. If an exchange gets hacked, you'll end up safe; if an exchange is insolvent and a bank run happens, you get out earlier than your peers.

As for trading on CEXs — well, that's the risk you have to take. That's why I use futures DEXs for my trading(e.g. GMX, Gains, dYdX) as they're non-custodial.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1161
We can only be sure that when we deposit/withdraw funds to CEX, real bitcoins are used. What bitcoins are traded on the exchange itself - we cannot know for sure. Also, keep in mind that there may be bots involved in trading, which may not use real bitcoins at certain times
hero member
Activity: 3066
Merit: 629
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
That can really happen and I think PayPal did that when they've just recently announced that they've added crypto into their platform and said that it's tradable ONLY there.
You guess it right that they're all numbers but they follow the price in the market and that's why it's truly possible that all of those numbers projecting in the spot market and balances were all just numbers until you request to withdraw it then that's how they're going to release the actual coins. But because of the ruckus that the earlier exchanges did, this gave the notice to the regulators that there should be some transparency that they can show to them and to their customers, obviously. I think the first one to do the proof of reserve thing is CZ for his company, Binance.
copper member
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1822
Top Crypto Casino
And projecting this thought to the crypto exchanges, what if some well known CEX do not have enough BTCs that is being traded on that exchange? All that numbers and volume could be fake. Then the CEX is becoming like a traditional bank, where unless everyone will want to withdraw their BTCs, they are ok trading non existing BTCs. 

well, what do you think?
But we had very perfect examples not so long ago. FTX became insolvent, and they had no funds/Bitcoins to issue to people who made withdrawals because they had misused customer funds, making the exchange to collapse and file for bankruptcy.

So many other services also experienced the same thing such as Celsius network, BlockFi etc
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