BitCoin is best understood not as a threat itself, but as the discovery of a mathematical possibility that has always existed. Given that this is the case, I believe forward-thinking policymakers should take advantage of the opportunity to support an above-board counterpart to darker possibilities. The BitCoin community as it currently exists is open-source, transparent, and intentionally accessible--not features you'd find in a criminal cartel's version, but very hopeful ones for those looking to protect society from malevolent actions. It does require a shift in mentality and approach, but the time to make that shift is now. Certain types of information, sometimes more than is available with cash, can be gained from blockchain and network analysis. But the key to stopping criminal action via BitCoin is the same approach that applies to credit card and PayPal fraud as well as any type of money laundering:
- honeypots
- social infiltration
- tracking of physical goods, especially those that defy declared income, and
- implementing strong trust mechanisms
Over a decade ago I was saying that major players in the media industry should build their own file-sharing networks: at the time I was laughed at but we now know that the branding and positioning potential of that move would have been huge. Just look at YouTube's successful play in the online video space to see how that might have gone down. The only way to have any say in the shape of our digital tomorrow is to supply a part of it yourself--the first country who embraces digital currency as not just uncontainable but an innovation-enabler will probably be the superpower of tomorrow.
Just my .02 btc on the topic--I'd be happy to explain the underlying technology of BitCoin to you in plain language, or offer you a quote if you're planning to write something.
p.s. Those of you who are filling up the thread with your personal hobby horses aren't being very helpful. These forums are getting too swamped for every thread to get hijacked like this--try to take a little time and think through a careful response to the OP.