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Topic: what is correlation between bitcoin halving and bullrun (Read 299 times)

sr. member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 251
because the number of bitcoins being screened will continue to decrease, thus making the supply of bitcoin less and then the increasing demand is what makes the price of bitcoin and bullrun occur.
logically it should be like that when smaller quantities are obtained and more and more demand creates very high price spikes.
hero member
Activity: 2968
Merit: 687
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?
There's no correlation and since bitcoin halving cant really be stopped for it to happen which means halving those block rewards which means the harder for bitcoin to be mined as we go forward
on future years to come which means it would be more valuable if the demand for it wouldn't really change or would really be uprising.

It doesn't really signify always to be a bull run would happen after halving event but the sentiment on where people do presume out is always on the positive side.Try to look back on that last
halving where people do still get positive in spite of the market condition showing.

It didn't really make out significant move afterwards but as years passed it did really paid off to those people who had really believe for such trend to changed up.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
Shower thought. Is it possible, that Satoshi created the most predictable “asset”? I have debated that the halving after the first and second is priced in, but we know that it wasn’t. When will be the next crash? I might debate that it is priced in again, but if proven wrong, then Satoshi truly has created the most predictable asset. Cool
It is predictable now but when Satoshi created bitcoin no one had a clue on what direction we will take and we hoped that it would catch up and we will see more adoption and merchants accepting the coin but Satoshi might not have anticipated that a heap of investors will flock and start investing billions and halving would become a predictable pump and dump event  Cheesy.

Satoshi invented the best pyramid scheme ever. I'm happy with my position Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1023
Shower thought. Is it possible, that Satoshi created the most predictable “asset”? I have debated that the halving after the first and second is priced in, but we know that it wasn’t. When will be the next crash? I might debate that it is priced in again, but if proven wrong, then Satoshi truly has created the most predictable asset. Cool
It is predictable now but when Satoshi created bitcoin no one had a clue on what direction we will take and we hoped that it would catch up and we will see more adoption and merchants accepting the coin but Satoshi might not have anticipated that a heap of investors will flock and start investing billions and halving would become a predictable pump and dump event  Cheesy.
sr. member
Activity: 2380
Merit: 366
The 2020 price of Bitcoin before the halving was around 1/4th of its price months after the halving. That was several months after the halving but it all happened within 2020 only.
That is exactly what should have happened despite what people tend to expect.

of course halving is only one of many reasons why price rises.

But there are also reasons why price falls. Therefore, is there a possibility that the reasons for the price to fall end up much stronger than the supposed halving effect to the price?

What if the halving occurred in early 2018? Would we have avoided the $20,000 to $3,000 fall in Bitcoin's price? In other words, is the effect of the halving in Bitcoin's price strong enough to counter people's different expectations or the general sentiment of the market? Or would those reasons to dump not have formed because there was halving?
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
Shower thought. Is it possible, that Satoshi created the most predictable “asset”? I have debated that the halving after the first and second is priced in, but we know that it wasn’t. When will be the next crash? I might debate that it is priced in again, but if proven wrong, then Satoshi truly has created the most predictable asset. Cool
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
The 2020 price of Bitcoin before the halving was around 1/4th of its price months after the halving. That was several months after the halving but it all happened within 2020 only.
That is exactly what should have happened despite what people tend to expect. When the supply creation is cut in half it should not reflect in price right away because it is the miners who are receiving less coins every day and miners don't just dump their coins right away and even if they do those coins don't find their way into the exchanges that soon. It takes some time to see this "less supply" or more accurately less sell pressure on the market and the increasing price.

of course halving is only one of many reasons why price rises.
sr. member
Activity: 2380
Merit: 366
There is no strict rule that says the price will increase after the halving. It is all theoretical. But it has somehow created a pattern. Perhaps the basic explanation that since the regular entry of new supply is halved, the price must increase. That is assuming that there is at least the same amount of demand. So in the face of a decreasing supply and maintained or even increasing demand, the price should increase.

The 2020 price of Bitcoin before the halving was around 1/4th of its price months after the halving. That was several months after the halving but it all happened within 2020 only.
hero member
Activity: 1722
Merit: 801
The total supply of bitcoin, the block halving schedule are publicly given in the white paper and it was well known by years. They are not new specifications of bitcoin but around (before and after) every block halving, news will be more focused about it. News hype the social media, the people will know more about bitcoin. The hype of news attract new people to invest, trade, and love bitcoin.

New institutes will join the bitcoin investment. As institutes with big capital, they will move their bitcoin from exchange accounts, wallets to their cold, non-custodial wallets. It creates another hype of news and make bitcoin looks more difficult to buy.

All hypes interact mutually and create a hype on the market. Price will rise from the hypes in the community.

Google Trends shows ‘Bitcoin’ searches at 2020 high as BTC tops $19.4K
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=all&q=bitcoin (2013, 2017 and 2020). I think the all time high will appear in 2021.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
Halving is not the cause but it surely helps as it reduces the supply.   The factor always under considered is the other side to the price equation which is not just Bitcoin but dollars, we have an excess supply of dollars just as Bitcoin reduces its supply.   Because dollar is the denominator or opposing factor to pricing it also makes it easier for price to rise; if we had the reverse condition and dollars became rarer in common supply it makes for harder progress in Bitcoin price as demand sharpens  vs dollar supply.  
   The bullrun occurs mostly when people come to expect further rises, at some point always it will reset and in a healthy way this is regularly occurring and so allowing further gains after some pullback.   So far thats been the case, Bitcoin may yet rise further still.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 4282
eXch.cx - Automatic crypto Swap Exchange.
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?

You already have some perfect answer above but I just want to add some opinion, even without the halving that occurs every four years bitcoin still has a potential of raising due it it been over sold. Almost all bear market result in bitcoin been oversold therefore even without the halving hype there's every possiblity of it raising. But there's no doubt that the halving event does have its effect and it can be felt both before and after the event as explained above.

The correlation for me has to do with hype and the decrease in supply of coins circulating the market. The demand has always been there so when the supply decreasing the FOMO comes in. Everyone wants to get hold of the available coins in the market thereby pushing the price uppers as the selling aren't willing to let go of their coins cheap, the cycle just continue until fud comes in.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
There are 2 types of correlation between bitcoin block reward halving and the bitcoin bull runs:
But let me first clarify that bitcoin supply does NOT half, the number of new coins being produced per block is reduced by 50% (the production rate is halved).

1. Hyped up news
This is a rise that always happens before the halving because people get hyped up about the news of the upcoming halving and start buying bitcoin so price goes up. It usually happens about a month or two before the halving date and so far it runs out of steam and a drop follows during the halving itself (usually one day before).

2. The less sell pressure rise
But halving essentially means that every day there is less new coins entering circulation. For instance before previous halving every day 1800 new coins were created and now it is 900. Miners do have to sell to pay the bills and even if a small portion of them sell that is still 50% less coins entering circulation and putting sell pressure on the market every day. That means price has to rise (less supply + more demand => rising price).
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1117
Bitcoin halving was hardcoded and surely will happen, however bullrun on the other hand could happen when halving occurs or not. If you're asking about the correlation of halving and bullrun I think it's because that sense of scarcity you got everytime halving occurs which means block reward for the miners decreases.
Most of people also expecting the price go up due to that sense of scarcity and when all people expecting the same thing and adds demand to the market, the bullrun happens. just my 2 cents though.
There is 100% correlation between them. When there is 1800 bitcoins in the market, and when you calculate the price of it right now that means there is 81 million dollars worth of bitcoin printed every day, not that all of them are sold on the market as soon as they are printed but that is the amount we need to have buyers in order to just break even every day, even if there are no miner selling theirs there is still bitcoin there, so we need those buyers ready anyway, or increase the price if they have to because in the end we will see those miners sell one day eventually.

This is why I think when that dropped to 900 bitcoins after the halving that became 40 million dollars gone every single day, how could that have no correlation? I believe that is going to be easy choice, we are going to definitely have that 100% guaranteed to be higher thanks to that money gone.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 1028
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Bitcoin halving was hardcoded and surely will happen, however bullrun on the other hand could happen when halving occurs or not. If you're asking about the correlation of halving and bullrun I think it's because that sense of scarcity you got everytime halving occurs which means block reward for the miners decreases.
Most of people also expecting the price go up due to that sense of scarcity and when all people expecting the same thing and adds demand to the market, the bullrun happens. just my 2 cents though.
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1394


Bitcoin block halving is an event where the mining rewards will be lessened on every 210,000 blocks (approximately every 4 years). And I believe this is one of the solution for the inflation rate, limited supply.

If you will take closely at the chart below, the list of previous halvings was labeled and you see the price action on every after block halvings. I believe the block halving event on Bitcoin is really important, not only on Bitcoin itself but for sure on everyone, it kinda Bitcoin become popular on each block halving which the price is driven by the market, the demand.



Check more here: https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1338
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?
Halvings are just a reality of the bitcoin network, now why the halving is correlated to bull runs? And the answer is simple, the halving as the name implies half the rewards the miners get from mining each block and this in return reduces the supply they can put up for sale, as we know the price of an asset is dictated by the supply and the demand and if the demand remains the same but the supply available in exchanges goes down then the price goes up, it is a very simple process which is why it is relatively easy to predict, but even if the price does not go up immediately after the halving the price has a tendency to begin to do so after a few months of the event.
full member
Activity: 2128
Merit: 180
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?
Limited supply and a great hype from the market and whales, so that’s the start of the Bull run. Yes, the next halving will commence on 2024 and for sure, that will be the start of a new bull trend, this is inevitable and maybe we’re gonna hit $100k or beyond by that time, so i’ll buy every dip for now.
hero member
Activity: 2632
Merit: 833
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?

It's the catalyst to an eventual bull run, because a halving makes reduces the amount of BTC out there, so more demand with less supply. So as far as basic economic law, there is an imbalance as more investors/speculators/ wanted to have more bitcoin but the supply is less.

That's why throughout bitcoin's history, after a halving we see a dramatic rise in the price. But you have to understand that it will take months and years after a halving to fully see the massive spike. It's not happening overnight.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?

Halving halves the supply. ATH is about a year after the halving every time.
Why? NFC
hero member
Activity: 1274
Merit: 622
I need to know 2020 bitcoin havling happened then bull run commenced. so 2024 again so what is the reason behind bull run and bitcoin halving ?
That's unlikely. It may have been the case in 2017, but not this time. The most recent halving was in May 2020, when the block reward dropped to 6.25. However, if we look at the Bitcoin price chart 2020-2021, it can be seen that the price was pretty much stable from May till mid-October. Only after that, the price started to increase drastically. The possible reason for that was PayPal's announcement about launching the service, allowing users to use cryptocurrency, and then there's been a series of events, that might've influenced the price. Anyhow, the halving happened far before the bull run, so it's unlikely it had a serious impact.
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