I mentioned in another thread people won't even buy ready-made poker solutions for a grand..
This is what's going to happen: You're going to get 10-30 regular users at best betting pennies an hour(which you rake <=1% of each of the ~13 rounds of) and get a lot of offers to buy the full-source for a couple hundred bucks mostly from middle-eastern business types. That's -----IF----- someone doesn't make a sloppy solution and market better than you. In reality people don't care about quality or even security they care about stats and features; who pays the most the fastest. Most of the BTC community doesn't even touch gambling.
You seem to know what you are saying, so i have a question to you. On the fiat poker, there are many poker networks that offer their service to poker companies, and they share poker players on their network. Wouldn't that work for btc poker?
There are probably around 1,000 players total for every bitcoin poker system combined, and I'm being modest with that figure(I've only seen around half that across all of them). You'd get laughed at by big-capital investors and registered companies because there is no money there.
Fiat is different people can go on a site, deposit with a CC over a HTTPS connection to a industry-audited server, and just be playing and not have a confusing tax, technical, or legal situation. The convenience is key though. A lot of boomers who don't know the tech are the ones sitting at those tables all day and all night. Buying BTC is both shady and annoying. Who wants to put bank-wire and photocopy-ID data on startup servers that were probably configured and coded by the lowest bidder, or ran by someone who is going to run off with their money and the community around bitcoin act like it's just business within a week like with all the exchange and market hacks?
The whole 'you need more games' theory has little if not no bases. Betcoin.ag had almost every poker game there was that you didn't need to read a "poker bible" to know about and averaged a few dozen plays all doing low-ball stakes(like 50,000 satoshi tops for an hour of action). Investing more money without data that suggests you should is a sucker move..