Topic: What to expect this bull run? - page 2. (Read 762 times)

Yes unfortunately the subsequent dump is usually not avoidable, because it's a common and natural process in economy and finance called a correction. It's generally triggered by profit takings from investors. But when the asset is volatile and speculative without strong economic fundamentals, the dip can be very deep, especially if many leverage long positions have been placed. It's called a long squeeze.

Last bull run bitcoin price was $69k. I think now we are in real bull run. After long time we are entire bull session. I think after bitcoin sport ETF approval gradually we are entire bull session. Now bitcoin and total cryptocurrency market looking good. It is sign of bull session.

Last bull session was in 2021 and after 3 years sameb position we are seeing. Now bitcoin price is near about $52k and it is gradually increasing. I think after bitcoin halving it’s price will touch new ATH. And it will hit NEW ATH and will touch minimum $100k i strongly believe it.

Predicting 100% right is not something we can do, however we could just speculate, which is what we all do here anyway. Doesn't mean that we are going to be right, it just means that if we want to invest then we need to try to guess what will happen. This usually means that we are going to try to see if we could see it go up or down.

I believe that the future looks bright, and the price will go up even more, I know that it has risen a lot already but I also think that it will rise even more. This is why we should try to invest into it as much as we possibly could. I believe that the best thing to do in this situation would be just making sure that we are investing at the right time, so that we do not lose our money, don't get in at peak, get in now.

The most realistic hope is for a significant increase over the next 18 months or more. Everyone who keeps Bitcoin certainly wants something that can provide more value than expected, but who can predict what will happen in the future. The plan you draw up must be adjusted to the situation that occurs in the market, you can hold the asset longer if the price continues to increase, but if a correction occurs, selling it makes more sense than losing what you should get.

The mid-bull run crash in 2021 was not normal. But also we've only got a few data point to go off of, so we can't truly say what is normal. But that mid-bull run crash basically happened because two things happened around the same time.

1. Elon Musk said they would no longer accept Bitcoin payments for Tesla cars (a complete non-event, but millions of crypto people were hanging on Musk's every word that year so him saying anything about Bitcoin had a huge effect on price)
2. China announced their total ban on bitcoin mining and bitcoin trading

Those two things brought about that 50% drop.


It is normal to get 20%-40%+ corrections that last a few weeks during a bull market. But that 50%+ drop was more serious and longer than normal corrections. Again, it was because of the two events mentioned above. It was serious enough that many people were claiming the bull market had already ended at that point, even though it was only mid-year of the bull run year. I wouldn't expect that sort of drop again unless there is some major event that spooks the market.


Things to look for this bull run:

1. The time schedule may very well be sped up compared to normal. The ETFs have brought a whole new market into Bitcoin - TradFi investors. They are dumping many billions of dollars into Bitcoin and it is pushing the price already up to a level we normally wouldn't expect until months after the halving. I expect we may very well enter the main part of the bull run (passing the old all time high of $69k) by this summer, rather than towards the end of the year or next year. This could also mean the bull market will end during the first half of next year rather than go to the end of next year.

2. Since we have access to the flows in the ETF market, watch those flows during the bull market. We don't know how those investors will react. TradFi isn't used to the sort of gains bitcoiners see. They may sell very early in the bull market because they simply can't believe an investment of theirs can go up so quickly. Then again, if they actually understand what they got into with Bitcoin, they may act like everyone else and keep FOMOing into the market as it rises to a peak. But watching the daily net flow of the ETF market will tell the story once we get full on into the bull run.

3. I'd say a good guess at the top of the bull run is $150k. Maybe it'll be a small bull run and peak at like $120k. Or maybe thanks to ETFs opening up a whole new market for Bitcoin perhaps it goes to like $180k or higher. Impossible to know, and we'll only know after the fact. If you are planning to sell during the bull run I'd guess the best strategy is to sell a little bit at a time, starting at $120k, and just sell a little like once a week or something from that point onward, to make sure you don't miss the top entirely. Just as its better to DCA the bottom rather than trying to guess and possibly missing the bottom entirely, it's better to DCA-sell the top if you are selling during the bull run, rather that risk missing the top entirely.

4. Expect plenty of volatility. Any time you are thinking "wow its shooting up there's no way we'll go back down to the price it was last week", be assured it probably will correct back down there before proceeding higher. But also don't freak out on big corrections. Lots of people sell early in bull markets on the first big correction they see, especially if its their first bull market. I got one of my brother's to buy half a bitcoin in 2017 at like $2500, but he freaked out the first correction he saw when the price went from like $4800 down to $3000. Also our cousin who is a banker told him Bitcoin was going to end in a bad way and he needed to get out (years later that banker cousin actually trades Bitcoin lol, even bankers can eventually learn!). But point is he sold with like $1000 gain on a correction, when just a few months later the price peaked at like 6x the price he sold at. So don't fear corrections, but also try to have a sense of when the bull market might be ending so you know the difference between a correction and the start of the bear market. Not that that is an easy thing to know haha.

5. IF there is a big crash during the bull market like in 2021, you should reset your expectations. Most people expected Bitcoin to pass $100k in 2021, but that mid-run crash took a lot of steam out of the market. It took the rest of the momentum of the bull run just to get back up to the $60,000s and pass the earlier ATH by a few thousand. So if something does cause a major crash during the bull market, expect that the peak will be less than what people expect. Though hopefully that sort of bull run crash was a unique event as it really did cause the bull run to be quite small.

Another day another dime every day we are staying above 50k is solid progress to higher prices rather then the top it could have been.  If we keep this high into the end of the week its very bullish so keep expecting more gains is quite fair.   58k is the target I think reasonable with this current action, I expect that now but not sure of success afterwards.
   The negative we have to escape in volume and time is marked out at the start of this year, that was a higher volume then now but its possible we have traded enough to leave its orbit or gravity.   So the peak price there was 48.8k and if we can maintain above that early high tide mark I believe it counts as support towards larger price objectives.

A new ATH is not what I expect this move.   Just this year would be more bullish then I expect but I could be wrong in my reckoning of the momentum possible that pushes us upwards.    Dollar index has only gained since the start of the year, if we wanted a fairly clear signal as big as an oil tanker for its size and weight then you have it there; markets overall large and small are not in fully speculative fervor mode & its still sideways mostly at best.

Everyone expects the same thing, namely a new ATH and that it can last quite a long time. Waiting for the ATH which may be near, you have to be prepared with the coins you hold. Bitcoin is of course the main one for that and the top altcoins are the support to increase profits. But is it strong enough to continue holding back and doing DCA? that will be a challenge for any investor holding long term

Only noobs that you would really be having those kind of impressions that whenever the market would be having 5-10% increase in a short span of time or simply within hours or minutes then they would usually
freak out and telling that this is already start of the bull run on which if we do really just that talk realistically  then we do know that this is something that has been that a normal movement here on crypto space
or simply that we can call it as an ordinary day and not something could be considered to be bull run already. Put up in mind that we arent still with the halving event on which that event alone would
be the solid indicative sign that we are already near.

Expecting about this bull run? Some rumors been saying that it would be something considered to be the biggest one or something can we called golden bull run.
I dont know on what are those factors that they've seen on why they have called it those kind of terms but lets see on what would be happening.
On investors standpoint then its always been better that you should really be wise on taking up decisions.

What are we also having in preparation towards the bullrun, do we sit and keep up with the talks about the market or we are making moves towards having it the best experience of our life with investment on digital assets, there's nothing to doubt any longer about bitcoin going to the all time high, all we can do is to take the very opportunity of making investment while taking our time to hold patiently, the market is going to be more volatile and profit.az

Currently, some people think that market conditions are in a bullrun because there are continuous price increases in most cryptocurrencies. Especially with Bitcoin, which so far looks quite significant and good enough at increasing its price so that others continue to follow and cause the market to no longer look red. However, for the hope that you said, it seems that it still takes a lot of time for everyone to see it because now Bitcoin is still below $55K.

I hope that later in the bull run the price of Bitcoin can jump even higher than the previous ATH price, at least it can reach above $80k. But anything can happen in the crypto market because prices are very volatile. Therefore, Bull run is approaching and we should not miss the opportunity to reap satisfying profits.

Nothing is impossible but we should at least be realistic into those numbers that we do have in mind. Dont be someone who are making those delusional numbers that others been trying to project about.
It would really be just that bringing out that huge disappointment i should say. Expect the unexpected and this is something that you should really be having on mind since no one really knows on what are  the
numbers that would be ahead. The important thing is that you should be setting out those expectation into minimal level so that if ever the price wont really be able to hit up on the number that you have been
expecting then it wont really be giving out that much that extreme disappointment. Be versatile and be adaptive then you wont really be having no issues with this one.

When bull run do happens then this is something that prices would really be going up to the moon. The only thing that we dont know about on what would
really be its peak into that particular moment. This is why taking profits is something that you should really be trying out to secure on.

Well, nothing is impossible because we have seen the impossible happening in this industry. However, one should always have realistic expectations, expectations that have a higher chance of becoming true, and your predictions, in my opinion, are good for the next cycle because it will be enough even if Bitcoin hits $100k, that should be enough for this cycle and we can happily wait for the next cycle so that this new all-time high record is broken.

The best time for accumulation was when Bitcoin was around $30k, altcoins were on great discounts back then but people were too confused about whether they should buy or not, and then the market started going up and people started accumulating at a higher price, the same is the situation for now.

No one knows whether it will be around 22 months before the price will increase or whether it will come sooner after the halving. We can only start from now on by buying bitcoin and actually, we should have started last year.
However, many of them are still not sure about Bitcoin, so they have put it off in the past and only want to start investing in Bitcoin now. That's okay because they can start any time, but if the price increases, they must be ready because that will make the price even more volatile.
We also saw the price at $31k and now the price is at $47k-$48k. But they still have time to buy more bitcoins.

Well that's good, if you understand if it's true to what you said for the next 18 months, then wait until 18 months and then you sell, you will get the highest price.
If you don't need much then you can save more.

Expect profits, that's the gist of it and other than that expect the unexpected because that's almost always the case, your plan to sell bitcoin at X price and then you sleep and the next thing you know, bitcoin just passed your goal much even higher which would lead you to a path where you either take the profit now or ride it a little longer hoping to get more out of the bitcoin that you've hodl. There's many other things that are unexpected that I can't say right now but one thing that can be useful to know the unexpected things that can happen is just to think of the opposite of what scenarios, events or happenings you're expecting to happen and you're probably good to go on that one.

I think we still have around 22 months before the highest increase occurs.
so now is the right time to start paying in installments and buying.
Currently I am also looking at which projects have the most potential for the next bullrun.
I see in all sectors that are being favored.

Nothing is certain in Halving and up to the bull run .

Most chances that price will drop badly before the spike comes and that is what Halving season comes.

you have good observations mate then just follow your thoughts and follow your instincts  , but always remember that you must only invest the amount you can afford to lose.

It means that the bull run ended at that time already, and we are starting a huge reversal after a huge price increase.
Pretty normal I would say since there is this famous phrase that says "What goes up, goes down eventually." but getting ready for that would be better.

I reviewed the market movement during the halving applying a different pattern, the market almost recovered approaching the ATH before even though before the halving period came, it was a positive sign that the ATH record would soon be reached earlier than the previous movement pattern, I predicted the ATH had a chance of being reached before the halving or around 2 months after the halving, we hope that the $100k price hope can be achieved within this year and we have seen many positive signals that the predicted price will come true soon.