I think the combination of the increasing value of bitcoin coupled with most smaller transactions moving to layer two, resulting in the base layer being used predominantly for larger transactions and channel opening/closing and therefore larger fees being acceptable, will be enough for fees alone to maintain the security of the network.
There is some very interesting discussion about this in the following forum thread and on the dev mailing list:
"Surprisingly, Tail Emission Is Not Inflationary" -- A post by Peter Todd
https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/2022-July/020665.html