Secondly and the most important is the halving that is been expected by 2024/2025. That is the target of every bitcoiner. The movement may likely get bitcoin a new ATH.
Forking is one of the factors that drag bitcoin to the blood pool. But for till the next halving and more, we are not expecting any kind of hard fork. The miners are all in agreement, any type of forking that is necessary to improve the bitcoin network will be soft forked.
However, there could be hard forking after the next having, especially when the reward must have halfed again. There would be some issues in the transaction fees which could lead to some disagreements in the network.
As you said, we can't expect any fork now until it is bullish season but there's going to be BTC hard fork in the future.