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Topic: What's your percent chance that Bitcoin will be the "Myspace" of cryptos? - page 3. (Read 3476 times)

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Bitcoin:

Not anonymous, not even really pseudonymous.  More centralization year over year.  I am hopeful that something better can come along, or that programmers have the wherewithal to make it better instead of leaving it at status quo.

that may be the case.. but i don't know how a new crypto is going to solve the issue of centralization. imo the only way a new cryptocurrency could supplant bitcoin is to provide it.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 506
It's not like Myspace died overnight - any early investor made bags of money off it and it was going up for practically 8 years. .
sr. member
Activity: 372
Merit: 250
Real Bets. Real People. By Anyone, on anything
a 100%  (or at least =>) BTC

secure
anon
and well distributed POS

would kill BTC as it would avoid the whole mining tax/drama which is like flying into the head wind.

Its sorta like figuring out flight, and BTC is about a 3rd generation Flyer. NXT is a prop plane ww1 but it has a tether attached to a crane, and the fuel supply is a bit suspect.



Nothing will be truly anonymous since you still need to relay a connection to someone else via your IP. Or, it will be anonymous but then it won't be a public ledger or user-friendly enough to go mainstream...
legendary
Activity: 2632
Merit: 1023
a 100%  (or at least =>) BTC

secure
anon
and well distributed POS

would kill BTC as it would avoid the whole mining tax/drama which is like flying into the head wind.

Its sorta like figuring out flight, and BTC is about a 3rd generation Flyer. NXT is a prop plane ww1 but it has a tether attached to a crane, and the fuel supply is a bit suspect.

sr. member
Activity: 337
Merit: 250
Bitcoin:

Not anonymous, not even really pseudonymous.  More centralization year over year.  I am hopeful that something better can come along, or that programmers have the wherewithal to make it better instead of leaving it at status quo.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
The "Myspace" / "Facebook" analogy breaks down because of the economic concept of opportunity cost.

There is essentially nothing preventing a person from reaping as much utility as they're going to get out of both Myspace and Facebook simultaneously. Having a Myspace account in no way inhibited you from just going and signing up for Facebook when it became available. In fact it's probably the opposite, the kind of person that even cared about Myspace would also like Facebook.

With Bitcoin versus some unspecified future altcoin, there is a serious barrier. You don't have infinite money.
In addition to this, network effects are stronger for currencies than social networks.

Content on a social network depreciates rapidly. Currency does not (absent limitless issuance of more units).
sr. member
Activity: 470
Merit: 250
... I know the Myspace analogy technically isn't that great of one. I'm speaking more in terms of Bitcoin being over-hyped and there potentially being a better successor to come along.

You have to understand the context of "better successor". Bitcoin was not an incremental improvement on prior attempts at digital cash. It was a large breakthrough in computer science (specifically solving global consensus; the "byzantine generals problem"). The problem stood unsolved for decades. The network-effect surrounding the solution to this problem as applied to digital money, as you can see with bitcoin's success, is huge.

Possible incremental improvements over the current implementation details of bitcoin are nowhere near interesting enough to unseat bitcoin's dominance. It's not proper to compare bitcoin to specific companies (FB, Myspace); a far better analogy is core internet protocols.

Bitcoin is the first viable protocol for trustless exchange of value. It's more analogous to things like SMTP or IP. Did improvements to those protocols exist? Of course... But when we're talking about things that are a large break from the past, "good enough" plus first usually wins over incompatible alternative approaches.

It's also worth noting that these protocols evolve and incorporate new ideas. Bitcoin has the same properties; if new ideas come along that are indeed very beneficial, it's likely they'll be incorporated into bitcoin.

For me to get worried about successors, I'd have to see fundamental new solutions to the problem of achieving trustless global consensus over an insecure network. No alt does that. And even if one did come along, I'm not sure quite how it would do it massively better. The fact is, bitcoin's consensus solution works, and that's all it takes to launch the virus of digital money.

Hear hear
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
bitcoin is not myspace, mainly because myspace was never as dominant as bitcoin. btc's infrastructure is way,  way more supported than myspace was.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
I don't think you will ever be able to compare MySpace to Bitcoin. I think Bitcoin will always be used the next 10-30 years. I do think that a new coin will be developed which is easier to use for the typical layman and that coin will be bigger than Bitcoin. Bitcoin is here to stay though.
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
If you look at history, you will see that currencies tend to last for hundreds of years before being replaced.  Comparing currencies to social networks makes no sense.

He was not comparing, he wanted to know whatever if bitcoin is a hype that will die soon, or not.

The OP was basically asking if Bitcoin will fall by the wayside while a better crypto currency would come in and replace it.

Personally I would doubt this as there are many alt-coins out there today and none of them bring anything that Bitcoin does not provide and their networks are all much less secure then that of Bitcoin.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
If you look at history, you will see that currencies tend to last for hundreds of years before being replaced.  Comparing currencies to social networks makes no sense.

He was not comparing, he wanted to know whatever if bitcoin is a hype that will die soon, or not.

Exactly. I know the Myspace analogy technically isn't that great of one. I'm speaking more in terms of Bitcoin being over-hyped and there potentially being a better successor to come along.

I advice you to read more and more about bitcoin.

Everyday, I'm loving this this.

It will change the world and how we are paying for your daily products and subscriptions, etc.

It won't die, what could die is the alternative coins like litecoin, doge coin, .. etc.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
... I know the Myspace analogy technically isn't that great of one. I'm speaking more in terms of Bitcoin being over-hyped and there potentially being a better successor to come along.

You have to understand the context of "better successor". Bitcoin was not an incremental improvement on prior attempts at digital cash. It was a large breakthrough in computer science (specifically solving global consensus; the "byzantine generals problem"). The problem stood unsolved for decades. The network-effect surrounding the solution to this problem as applied to digital money, as you can see with bitcoin's success, is huge.

Possible incremental improvements over the current implementation details of bitcoin are nowhere near interesting enough to unseat bitcoin's dominance. It's not proper to compare bitcoin to specific companies (FB, Myspace); a far better analogy is core internet protocols.

Bitcoin is the first viable protocol for trustless exchange of value. It's more analogous to things like SMTP or IP. Did improvements to those protocols exist? Of course... But when we're talking about things that are a large break from the past, "good enough" plus first usually wins over incompatible alternative approaches.

It's also worth noting that these protocols evolve and incorporate new ideas. Bitcoin has the same properties; if new ideas come along that are indeed very beneficial, it's likely they'll be incorporated into bitcoin.

For me to get worried about successors, I'd have to see fundamental new solutions to the problem of achieving trustless global consensus over an insecure network. No alt does that. And even if one did come along, I'm not sure quite how it would do it massively better. The fact is, bitcoin's consensus solution works, and that's all it takes to launch the virus of digital money.
newbie
Activity: 44
Merit: 0
If you look at history, you will see that currencies tend to last for hundreds of years before being replaced.  Comparing currencies to social networks makes no sense.

He was not comparing, he wanted to know whatever if bitcoin is a hype that will die soon, or not.

Exactly. I know the Myspace analogy technically isn't that great of one. I'm speaking more in terms of Bitcoin being over-hyped and there potentially being a better successor to come along.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
If you look at history, you will see that currencies tend to last for hundreds of years before being replaced.  Comparing currencies to social networks makes no sense.

He was not comparing, he wanted to know whatever if bitcoin is a hype that will die soon, or not.
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 281
If you look at history, you will see that currencies tend to last for hundreds of years before being replaced.  Comparing currencies to social networks makes no sense.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
I think you mean "Facebook" or "twitter" of cryptos.

Brother, just give time some time, to see BTC approved in every where is the world.

Apple is in the way of approving it in the store apps, PayPal is surveying about it, and so on.
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1129
maybe there will be a successor of BTC but it will only have slight differences
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 4801
Newbie here. This is my biggest concern with converting some of my fiat to BTC. I'm worried that a better/more highly evolved coin (which may not even be here yet) will ultimately become the most widely used cryptocurrency. I would hate to jump on the bandwagon only to see Bitcoin become the "Myspace" of cryptocurrencies.

Perhaps a better question is:
"What's the chance that your local fiat currency will be worth more in the future than it is today?  I'd hate to sit on the bandwagon of keeping my spare cash sitting around in a currency that is intentionally designed to be guaranteed to lose value over time.  I can move my cash out of my local currency into a much better storage of bitcoins.  Then if I notice that something better comes along, I can move from bitcoin to the new replacement.
DrG
legendary
Activity: 2086
Merit: 1035
I don't think it is very likely to be surpassed anytime in the near future. Too much worldwide support for BTC for everyone to jump on another coin. There may be one that comes out at some point that is all around better than BTC, but even then I think it will have a hard time filling the original's shoes

Yes but the infrastructure and development support for BTC is very easy to change to any blockchain-based coin... the mining may not be, but you don't NEED a lot of hash rate being thrown at a network for it to work; just helps keep it more secure (which is valuable but isn't the only thing that makes BTC valuable).

Yeah but the thing is if BTC is used a currency people only really care about it's ease of use and it's name (much less so than it's utility).  The only hindrance I can see is the block time.  Maybe by that time BTC wallets will use a backend coin to relay payments.   Hmm, backend coin.....oh that sounds wrong.  Grin
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