What's your take on the "seasons" topic?

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

There are often cycles in the market that have been clearly following each other for years. A bear trend is followed by a market recovery, and a recovery is always followed by a bull run, a bull run is always followed by a bear trend, etc. There are market trends and there are altcoin trend hypes, but that's something else. Altcoin trend hypes can start at any time of a market trend, be it bearish or bullish, but you can never predict or predict the beginning of such trends.

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Quote from: GreatArkansas on April 20, 2023, 08:15:27 PM

For me, this is very common especially with now a lot of social media platforms where people can interact and these people will start to make new trends based on what is really trending right then that will birth a lot of content like jokes, memes, theories, and many more.
Let's take for example the bear season and bull season, which there's no official basis of these seasons.

Yeah right. Even now that bitcoin has plummeted people saying its the start of another bear again well in fact we have just experiencing such set back from market gains for the last few weeks which I think is healthy too to have a good market conditions. Its not like a straight movement is always on the path sometimes some pull back can help to recognize a good set up for all crypto market.

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Quote from: blockman on April 20, 2023, 06:59:24 PM

Quote from: Iyeman on April 20, 2023, 06:33:03 PM

It's simply based on what trend that is happening right now. So many people become so crazy due to the arb shit token. That means if we are in the meme season but it doesn't mean meme coin is the only trend right now. The fact that if there was also another trend that is running at the same time. Some trends can happen in one time. That's why people may be overused with it. People may call meme season, altcoin season and many more.

Meme season is under the altcoin season but it's more likely called a trend. Every altcoin season has different trends and one of them we saw is the meme craze or trends.
There will be more in the future and that's for sure and this is what's happening in the market every time we get to see the bull run approaching.
And right now, we're on the trend of AI.

While it is true that roughly each year a new type of coin will get hyped, unfortunately this has not brought the development we would have liked, and what better example of this than NFTs, the NFT hype was huge and suddenly many people wanted a piece of the cake and they released a bunch of NFTs too.

But nothing came out of it, scammers became rich or they simply found a way to justify some of the money they earned thought their previous scams, while those which were dumb enough to invest in that market got completely burned, and now it is the turn of AI coins and most likely we will watch the same pattern emerge once again.

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Quote from: cryptoaddictchie on April 20, 2023, 12:21:32 PM

Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

(....)
When altcoin comes back then altcoin season and when bitcoin pumped it will be its season.

For me, this is very common especially with now a lot of social media platforms where people can interact and these people will start to make new trends based on what is really trending right then that will birth a lot of content like jokes, memes, theories, and many more.
Let's take for example the bear season and bull season, which there's no official basis of these seasons.

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Quote from: Iyeman on April 20, 2023, 06:33:03 PM

It's simply based on what trend that is happening right now. So many people become so crazy due to the arb shit token. That means if we are in the meme season but it doesn't mean meme coin is the only trend right now. The fact that if there was also another trend that is running at the same time. Some trends can happen in one time. That's why people may be overused with it. People may call meme season, altcoin season and many more.

Meme season is under the altcoin season but it's more likely called a trend. Every altcoin season has different trends and one of them we saw is the meme craze or trends.
There will be more in the future and that's for sure and this is what's happening in the market every time we get to see the bull run approaching.
And right now, we're on the trend of AI.

Iyeman

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It's simply based on what trend that is happening right now. So many people become so crazy due to the arb shit token. That means if we are in the meme season but it doesn't mean meme coin is the only trend right now. The fact that if there was also another trend that is running at the same time. Some trends can happen in one time. That's why people may be overused with it. People may call meme season, altcoin season and many more.

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

I am interested into the crypto space and following it since around the end of 2017 and since then most market movements could definitely be clustered in seasons. Usually when a bullrun is happening, then Bitcoin is the first coin that is pumping. This usually is going on for a few weeks or so, of course with short periods of time in between with small corrections. Then after Bitcoin the big altcoins are starting to pump this also goes on for a few weeks or so and then at last basically every project that is listed is pumping. When this is happening we always were on the height of the bullrun and the big dump was already nearing.

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

No, termed season are referring to which hype now are being implicated. Like right now, most of the shitcoin are pumping and some already coined it "shitcoin season" which is due to pumping tokens that are came from airdrops and even past shitcoin which has been revive or due to hype.

When altcoin comes back then altcoin season and when bitcoin pumped it will be its season.

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Quote from: uneng on April 18, 2023, 10:34:16 AM

Quote from: o48o on April 14, 2023, 03:41:05 PM

And there are only 2 "seasons": Summer (Bull) and Winter (Bear).

Someone might disagree with me as there are no real definitions to my knowledge to these terms. They are just memes from long time ago

True, as far as I know there are only the bull and the bear markets, which are the only seasons available on this environment. They are always ignited by a major movement in Bitcoin's price. If BTC goes up, we enter a bullish season and if Bitcoin goes down we enter a bearish season.

Altcoins don't have any influence on this process. It's quite the opposite, they are heavily influenced by the process.

I think what OP says about altcoin, memecoin, NFT seasons could be replaced by altcoin, memecoin, NFT hypes, what is also a consequence of the seasons, but not the seasons themselves.

I would say that it is a combined effort and not just bitcoin. I know everyone thinks that bitcoin going up means alts going up as well, but sometimes alts do matter in the process as well.

Luna crashing made bitcoin fall too, or FTX crashing made bitcoin fall too (albeit there was btc in that case too) so I would say that if there is alts that go down, we saw bitcoin go down as well and I am sure the opposite is true. I am not saying alts make bitcoin move, I am just saying that it is an overall thing and I believe that it should be a bit worrisome to never look at alts when you are looking for seasons. If it is alt season that means bitcoin had something to do with it, but if btc went up, then alts had something to do with that too.

uneng

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Quote from: o48o on April 14, 2023, 03:41:05 PM

And there are only 2 "seasons": Summer (Bull) and Winter (Bear).

Someone might disagree with me as there are no real definitions to my knowledge to these terms. They are just memes from long time ago

True, as far as I know there are only the bull and the bear markets, which are the only seasons available on this environment. They are always ignited by a major movement in Bitcoin's price. If BTC goes up, we enter a bullish season and if Bitcoin goes down we enter a bearish season.

Altcoins don't have any influence on this process. It's quite the opposite, they are heavily influenced by the process.

I think what OP says about altcoin, memecoin, NFT seasons could be replaced by altcoin, memecoin, NFT hypes, what is also a consequence of the seasons, but not the seasons themselves.

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Everything is just mere speculation that's why you really need to understand that they are just giving their own opinions regarding certain coins, so you need to consider doing your own personal research as well as the term they are using to lure people into investing in their project. Because when it comes to altcoins, you will find lots of theories and speculations, especially from those who are investing in some coins, they often say good things about those coins. Also, they talk wrong about some coins to lure other investors to get on to invest in their project, so you better be careful because it doesn't mean when it is altcoin season, all the altcoin's prices will rise.

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

IMO, the "altcoin season" in the crypto market is when cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin start to appreciate sharply, creating great interest and liquidity in the investment community. Often altcoin season occurs after Bitcoin has experienced a steady uptrend or a slight decline in price. I think altcoin season can be a good opportunity for investors to diversify their crypto investments. However, it should be noted that altcoins are more volatile than Bitcoin, which means higher risk for investors. Therefore, investors should have a careful investment strategy and not invest too much in a particular coin.
Investing in cryptocurrencies is a process that requires knowledge and experience in the financial markets. Before investing any amount, investors need to carefully study the market and constantly update new information to make a reasonable investment decision.

CryptoCrookz

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Thanks for all the responses, interesting stuff, food for thought...

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

Yes, some variable is predictable and follow the same path, for example about spending, people spend more in Q4 and spend less in Q1, that's because "holiday season" when people want to enjoy their one-year-long work at the end of the year, and nothing more to spend at the beginning of the new year. However, not every "season" is equally reproducible.

In your case, about meme-coin season and stuff, it's different than the seasonality I've been talking about. The meme coin or altcoin season is simply jargon, the more accurate term should be a trend, in it's a short-lived one. I mean meme-coin trend only last a few weeks/months without any reproducibility, thus next year there will be no meme-coin "season" IMO.

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

I do think that it is right. There is no set thing like real seasons. For example winter is not as cold as it used to be and yet spring is getting colder, we didn't start calling April winter though, we still call that spring. Which means that it is set and it won't be changing, or it requires something much bigger to change it at least, like the whole world getting together, plus its summer in south hempishere as well.

All in all I would be guessing that seasons in crypto is nothing alike, if it is a bull period it is a bull period, doesn't matter when that happens, we all know thats it. Which is why I am assuming that the seasons part is true and it is something that should continue to be used and I think it changes based on who you ask anyway.

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There are only two seasons in crypto markets. These seasons are referred to as the Bull and Bear season. These seasonal transitions can be much harsher in the crypto markets. Subjects that are temporary hype will continue to exist. Whatever the hype is, or if it has a new technology, it can be the focus of attention of investors, so demand occurs as soon as possible.

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

More precisely it is a term that many people use to describe a trend in cryptocurrencies. Like for example what happened a while ago, the bear season, it's to show that the market is in a state we don't want to see, because the market price fell from its ATH in the past. Actually something like this shouldn't be an issue because it's just an illustration, everyone may have their own term, it's just that the more popular term to describe the situation in this cryptocurrency is "season".

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

Just simplyfy it, there are two seasons which is bull when the market keeps increasing and bear the market will keep decreasing and this mainly follows a cycle which is about 4 years now but in future we may expect the cycle to be lower timeframe. You need the evidence just open CMC or any similar site and open bitcoin price chart then choose life time frame and zoom in to view the both seasons one after another and who knows we are still at the bear trend or bull so that unpredictability is the beauty.

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Quote from: CryptoCrookz on April 14, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

One rather overused term in crypto are "seasons". I admit getting sometimes a bit lost whether we have now "altcoin season", "memecoin season" or whatever else. There are also people who have theories about which season follows which. Was wondering - is their anything more than anecdotal evidence for the existence and order of said "seasons"?

This whole "seasons" thing is bullshit, and it's mostly just a hype created. Like, sure, there are times when certain types of coins seem to be doing better than others, but to call it a "season" might be a stretch. I think a lot of the time, it's just shillers and people behind those shit coins trying to drum up some excitement and FOMO. They want people to think "Oh, it's memecoin season, I better buy in now before I miss out! I will invest $1,000 now, few months later I will have a million dollar sitting on my protfolio." But really, there's no solid evidence that these "seasons" actually exist or follow any particular order. So yeah, I'd say let's take the whole "seasons" thing with a grain of salt and focus more on fundamentals and actual market trends. That's my two cents anyway.

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The term "seasons" in cryptography is commonly used to describe periodic changes in the cryptocurrency market, when certain types of cryptocurrencies become more popular and attractive to investors.
Some people may have their theories about what type of cryptocurrencies will be the next "season", but this is most likely based on their own experience and market analysis, and not on any strict rules or theories.

Topic: What's your take on the "seasons" topic? (Read 245 times)