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Topic: When do we hit $300 now? - page 2. (Read 3609 times)

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:41:49 AM
#30
I see a price rise next week due to the large amount of money that is currently on its way to exchanges after the price fall last night, people want to buy in at these low prices and that will push the price back up.

Has anyone considered that 20,000 new accounts waiting to be verified may be 20,000 people with BTC they want to sell and withdraw the fiat from?

no doubt a lot of late comers are waiting for price to rise high enough until they are breakeven....BULLTRAP
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:39:02 AM
#29
You people obviously have no idea how asset valuation works. If people believed the price would be 300 in a few days, it would be 300 now. The current price is the best reflection of its future value.

From one angle you are perfectly right. But from another, some people have been able to predict future price movements correctly.

A simple example was the bubble. As the price went above $200, some people correctly said, this is a speculative price bubble, which will burst soon, and the price will subsequently sink below $200. In the event it went down almost to $100, followed by a bull trap, and some people predict that more bull traps will follow.

This is not only an asset valuation issue. It is also a psychological issue. And it is sometimes possible to foresee other factors influencing the price.

To put it in other words, if everybody believed the price should be $300, it would be $300 now, as you say. However, if some people believe it should be $300, while others believe it should be $20, then things are getting more complicated. It may take some time before one group realizes they were wrong and come round to the other valuation.

it's easy to call things like that but without knowing their actual position and the amount at stake it is all meaningless.

Personally I wouldn't truthfully divulge when I am in and out especially if I had a significant amount at stake.

I'm not sure exactly where price should be but I have a feeling it is lower than the current price of ~ $170 and for that reason I am totally out of the market for now. Picking tops and bottoms is not something I would try ever, especially in a market like this
hero member
Activity: 632
Merit: 500
April 11, 2013, 03:37:07 AM
#28
The run isn't over.  We will hit 300 in less then 60 days.

Hear me now believe me later.

Cheers
newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:34:15 AM
#27
I see a price rise next week due to the large amount of money that is currently on its way to exchanges after the price fall last night, people want to buy in at these low prices and that will push the price back up.

these are my thoughts exactly, everyone has been holding off for this opportunity and there not about to miss out.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
You are a geek if you are too early to the party!
April 11, 2013, 03:33:30 AM
#26
This market is growing, but also maturing very quickly.

If MTGox has 20000 new accounts set up every day - there is no doubt why the price is going nuts every day recently.  However, the price rise still has to be sustainable, and 5% a day isn't!

1%-2% is manageable, but what other universe have you got value increases of that sort of magnitude, and people saying its normal? Wink
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:33:24 AM
#25
I see a price rise next week due to the large amount of money that is currently on its way to exchanges after the price fall last night, people want to buy in at these low prices and that will push the price back up.

wondering why this people didn't save us during the last crash
full member
Activity: 350
Merit: 100
April 11, 2013, 03:32:58 AM
#24
I see a price rise next week due to the large amount of money that is currently on its way to exchanges after the price fall last night, people want to buy in at these low prices and that will push the price back up.

Has anyone considered that 20,000 new accounts waiting to be verified may be 20,000 people with BTC they want to sell and withdraw the fiat from?
hero member
Activity: 695
Merit: 500
April 11, 2013, 03:32:20 AM
#23
You people obviously have no idea how asset valuation works. If people believed the price would be 300 in a few days, it would be 300 now. The current price is the best reflection of its future value.

From one angle you are perfectly right. But from another, some people have been able to predict future price movements correctly.

A simple example was the bubble. As the price went above $200, some people correctly said, this is a speculative price bubble, which will burst soon, and the price will subsequently sink below $200. In the event it went down almost to $100, followed by a bull trap, and some people predict that more bull traps will follow.

This is not only an asset valuation issue. It is also a psychological issue. And it is sometimes possible to foresee other factors influencing the price.

To put it in other words, if everybody believed the price should be $300, it would be $300 now, as you say. However, if some people believe it should be $300, while others believe it should be $20, then things are getting more complicated. It may take some time before one group realizes they were wrong and come round to the other valuation.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:31:46 AM
#22
These discussion forums are strange. Each discussion consists of 30% sensible and thoughtful postings, interleaved with 70% idiot postings. I am getting used to this, but I still have to waste a few seconds on each idiot posting to recognize and ignore it.

Have the idiots still not lost all their money and disappeared? Many have, but new ones are always streaming in.

I would say 40% of it is deceptive, e.g. I'll tell everyone I'm holding BTC so they won't panic sell and I can get a better price for mine

however I also suspect that the vast majorty know very little about trading apart from what they might have read in an afternoon at babypips
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:29:28 AM
#21
These discussion forums are strange. Each discussion consists of 30% sensible and thoughtful postings, interleaved with 70% idiot postings. I am getting used to this, but I still have to waste a few seconds on each idiot posting to recognize and ignore it.

Have the idiots still not lost all their money and disappeared? Many have, but new ones are always streaming in.

I would say 40% of it is deceptive, e.g. I'll tell everyone I'm holding BTC so they won't panic sell and I can get a better price for mine
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 03:27:04 AM
#20
I see a price rise next week due to the large amount of money that is currently on its way to exchanges after the price fall last night, people want to buy in at these low prices and that will push the price back up.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
April 11, 2013, 03:21:28 AM
#19
end of the month two weeks if not sooner.  Grin

I still say we will be above $250 by the end of the month.

My call was $440 by the end of the month so we will see how I do on that call.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
April 11, 2013, 03:19:54 AM
#18
You people obviously have no idea how asset valuation works. If people believed the price would be 300 in a few days, it would be 300 now. The current price is the best reflection of its future value.
+2 Obviously the big bulls on here who say $300 in T+2 have had little or no experience in real trading or valuation, all they see is (the rose-tinted view of) the bitcoin story. Dudes, listen up y'all, there is a fair price for all assets no matter how revolutionary, and absent further information and a crystal ball, that is usually the current market price.

Cheers
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
April 11, 2013, 03:18:53 AM
#17
You people obviously have no idea how asset valuation works. If people believed the price would be 300 in a few days, it would be 300 now. The current price is the best reflection of its future value.

+1

+$5000/BTC
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
April 11, 2013, 03:12:10 AM
#16
You people obviously have no idea how asset valuation works. If people believed the price would be 300 in a few days, it would be 300 now. The current price is the best reflection of its future value.

+1
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 02:55:47 AM
#15
You people obviously have no idea how asset valuation works. If people believed the price would be 300 in a few days, it would be 300 now. The current price is the best reflection of its future value.
newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
April 11, 2013, 02:53:00 AM
#14
I'm thinking there will be a fair bit of activity tonight , and most likely positive since the mt.gox announcement...  perhaps 300 tonight Grin
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
a wolf in sheeps clothing. suckerfish
April 11, 2013, 02:21:59 AM
#13
end of the month two weeks if not sooner.  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
a wolf in sheeps clothing. suckerfish
April 11, 2013, 02:20:03 AM
#12
These discussion forums are strange. Each discussion consists of 30% sensible and thoughtful postings, interleaved with 70% idiot postings. I am getting used to this, but I still have to waste a few seconds on each idiot posting to recognize and ignore it.

Have the idiots still not lost all their money and disappeared? Many have, but new ones are always streaming in.


I agree with you completely!  these idiots are wasting my time and have the worst profile pics........................ congratulations!!! you earn your self the ignore button!!!! hooorayy I never have to look at that f&#$ picture anymore or hear you say slbnosnosa nxckvnosa oeisj bla bla bla
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
April 11, 2013, 02:17:44 AM
#11
Yeah, rich wouldn't get rich if it were not for the mass being stupid. So be kind to stupid people, they are the reason you have chance to get rich!
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