When do you think is the next bull run will start, and why? - page 3.

robelneo

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Quote from: Mr. Magkaisa on October 19, 2023, 09:25:54 AM

Kaya malamang ang itong pang-apat na halving ay parehas lang din nung 1 hanggang 3rd halving ang mangyayari, after ng halving ay magpapatuloy parin ang pag-angat ng Bitcoin hanggang 2025 ang bull run.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/learn/bitcoin-halving-how-does-the-halving-cycle-work-and-why-does-it-matter

Yan din ang paniniwala ko walang gaanong pagbabago kung ano ang results nung mga nakaraang halving kasi mararamdaman ang pagbabawas ng supply na nanggagaling sa mining pero mas maganda na ngayun pa lang maghanda na para sa paparating na halving perao hindi ko inaalis ang posibilidad na magkaroon ng pagkakaiba kaysa sa mga nakaraang halving.

Kasi dahil sa mabilis na rate ng adoption at mga innovation na nangyayari ngayun parang may posibilidad na bago mag halving ay mag umpisa na ang bull run masyado na mataas ang tiwala ng buong mundo sa teknolohiya ng Blockchain na pwedeng magkaroon ng pagbabago sa outlook heading sa next halving.

mirakal

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Quote from: bisdak40 on October 20, 2023, 01:15:21 AM

Itong yong na-google ko. Yong reward lang pala ng mining yon binabawasan pero paano kaya ito nakakaapekto sa market?

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Bitcoin halving is when the reward for Bitcoin mining is cut in half. Halving takes place every four years. The halving policy was written into Bitcoin's mining algorithm to counteract inflation by maintaining scarcity.

Maybe this can help kabayan.

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What is a Bitcoin halving?

A Bitcoin halving, also known as a “halvening,” refers to the predetermined reduction in the rate at which new BTC are created. It is programmed into the Bitcoin protocol and occurs every 210,000 blocks, which is roughly every four years. The halving event halves the block reward, reducing the number of newly minted Bitcoin awarded to miners.

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Supply and demand dynamics

A Bitcoin halving directly impacts the supply and demand dynamics of the cryptocurrency. By reducing the rate at which new BTC enters the market, halving effectively reduces the available supply. As the supply decreases, assuming demand remains constant or increases, basic economic principles suggest that the price of Bitcoin should rise.

Supply and demand is the basic economic principle supporting a price increase in response to Bitcoin’s halving. The law of supply and demand states that prices tend to increase when a commodity’s supply declines, and demand either stays the same or rises. The Bitcoin halving slows the rate of new Bitcoin creation and market release.

As a result, there are fewer newly created BTC available for purchase. The diminished supply produces a scarcity effect, which might push the price upward if demand for Bitcoin stays the same or rises.

Bitcoin’s controlled supply is a key factor contributing to its value proposition. The total supply of Bitcoin is limited to 21 million coins, and the halving mechanism gradually reduces the rate at which new BTC are produced until the maximum supply is reached. This scarcity aspect, coupled with the increasing recognition and adoption of Bitcoin, can create a perception of limited availability and drive up demand, thereby impacting the price.

source : https://cointelegraph.com/news/the-economics-of-bitcoin-halving-understanding-the-effects-on-price-and-market-sentiment

bisdak40

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Quote from: bhadz on October 19, 2023, 07:26:58 PM

2025.
Yan yung karamihan sa mga guess na nababasa ko at parang yan din yung nasa pattern na cycle na year of halving + 1 year para sa bull run.
Katulad noong mga nakaraang bull run halving.

2016 = halving + 1 year = 2017 bull run
2020 = halving + 1 year = 2021 bull run

Kaya baka ang mangyari ay.

2024 = halving + 1 year = 2025 bull run

Nice piece of information kabayan pero tanong ko lang, naka-ilang halving na ba ang bitcoin? Dalawa pa lang ba at pangatlo yong sa next year? Di ko rin to kabisado kabayan kaya pasensya sa tanong.

Speaking of "halving" ng bitcoin, ano ba ang ibig sabihin nito? Babawasan yong supply sa market or ano.

In layman's term lang sama kasi hirap intindihin ang explanation sa google ehh Grin

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edit:
Itong yong na-google ko. Yong reward lang pala ng mining yon binabawasan pero paano kaya ito nakakaapekto sa market?

Quote

Bitcoin halving is when the reward for Bitcoin mining is cut in half. Halving takes place every four years. The halving policy was written into Bitcoin's mining algorithm to counteract inflation by maintaining scarcity.

mirakal

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Quote from: bhadz on October 19, 2023, 07:26:58 PM

2025.
Yan yung karamihan sa mga guess na nababasa ko at parang yan din yung nasa pattern na cycle na year of halving + 1 year para sa bull run.
Katulad noong mga nakaraang bull run halving.

2016 = halving + 1 year = 2017 bull run
2020 = halving + 1 year = 2021 bull run

Kaya baka ang mangyari ay.

2024 = halving + 1 year = 2025 bull run

Nice stats and predictions! If all this plays out by 2025, it's safe to say we won't be left out, considering we've been discussing it here. Those who believe in it won't be wasting any time and will start accumulating Bitcoin.

Given the current price, which is still under $30k, if a bull run kicks in, it's highly likely that the previous all-time high (ATH) will be surpassed. We've seen it go over $60k, so I'm guessing it might hit somewhere around $100k to $150k. This means that our $30k investment now could increase by a factor of 5 by that time. Just by consistently investing in Bitcoin, it seems like we could enjoy the next bull run.

PX-Z

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I always say na every november to december ang usual bull run ng bitcoin tulad ng mga nakaraang taon, even though di mo siyang masasabing bull run pero pag ganitong mga buwan talaga mas tumataas ang price nito. Even at current price slowly itong bumabalik sa 30k at it will break sooner pag dating ng november.

bhadz

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2025.
Yan yung karamihan sa mga guess na nababasa ko at parang yan din yung nasa pattern na cycle na year of halving + 1 year para sa bull run.
Katulad noong mga nakaraang bull run halving.

2016 = halving + 1 year = 2017 bull run
2020 = halving + 1 year = 2021 bull run

Kaya baka ang mangyari ay.

2024 = halving + 1 year = 2025 bull run

benalexis12

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Quote from: Oasisman on October 19, 2023, 05:08:08 PM

Quote from: Wapfika on October 19, 2023, 09:51:06 AM

Quote from: mirakal on October 19, 2023, 04:55:17 AM

This is related to my question on the thread created by @maslate. Since there's a lot of talk about a bull run, we might as well discuss it here. I would like to hear from the community about their predictions regarding when they think the bull run will start. Since the halving is approaching, and by looking at its historical patterns, it could be more likely next year. So, what do you all think, and what are your reasons for your guesses?

Usually nagsisimula ang bullrun before or after ng Bitcoin halving since sobrang lakas lagi ng hype ng halving pagdating sa speculation ng mga trader. Yung price ngayon ng Bitcoin ay halos in preparation na ng bullarket kung titignan nyo ang long term price chart.

Mga few months after ng halving siguro bro, yan yung naalala ko at na notice ko. May mga improvements naman sa price while approaching sa price ng bitcoin habang palapit ng palapit tayo sa halving pero may mga punto parin kung saan baba ng kunti. Unlike sa post-halving ay talagang bullrun na walang babaan, yung pataas lang ng pataas yung presyo hanggang sa mag tala ito ng panibagong ATH. Ito yung napansin ko sa mga nakaraang halving noong 2016 at 2020. Next year is gonna be the 3rd halving na masasaksihan ko.
I don't call myselfa veteran din ha LOL! Yan lang yung obvious na mga bagay na ngyari sa mga nakaraang halving. Though hindi naman palagi nag rerepeat ang history malay natin baka ngayon yung presyo ng bitcoin ay mag ATH before halving, ang importante ay nakapag pundo tayo ng sapat na bitcoins.

Oo, naniniwala din ako na before magsimula ang halving ay magkakaroon na ng panimulang bungad ng bull run, baka nga pagpasok ng February ay magkaroon na ng biglang angat ng price value ni Bitcoin sa merkado ilang buwan bago talaga magsimula ang Bitcoin halving.
Ganyan ang aking nasaksihan nung mga panahon na bago magkaroon ng halving wayback 2016-2017.

Saka sa tingin ko mas madaming mga higanteng kumpanya din ang nakikita kung nagsimula narin mamuhunan at naghold ng Bitcoin ilang buwan narin ang nakakalipas itong taon na ito. Yung nga lang kamakailan lang diba, yung Honda company at Ferari na nabasa ko sa ibang thread section ay pumasok narin sa Bitcoin business, diba?

Oasisman

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Quote from: Wapfika on October 19, 2023, 09:51:06 AM

Quote from: mirakal on October 19, 2023, 04:55:17 AM

This is related to my question on the thread created by @maslate. Since there's a lot of talk about a bull run, we might as well discuss it here. I would like to hear from the community about their predictions regarding when they think the bull run will start. Since the halving is approaching, and by looking at its historical patterns, it could be more likely next year. So, what do you all think, and what are your reasons for your guesses?

Usually nagsisimula ang bullrun before or after ng Bitcoin halving since sobrang lakas lagi ng hype ng halving pagdating sa speculation ng mga trader. Yung price ngayon ng Bitcoin ay halos in preparation na ng bullarket kung titignan nyo ang long term price chart.

Mga few months after ng halving siguro bro, yan yung naalala ko at na notice ko. May mga improvements naman sa price while approaching sa price ng bitcoin habang palapit ng palapit tayo sa halving pero may mga punto parin kung saan baba ng kunti. Unlike sa post-halving ay talagang bullrun na walang babaan, yung pataas lang ng pataas yung presyo hanggang sa mag tala ito ng panibagong ATH. Ito yung napansin ko sa mga nakaraang halving noong 2016 at 2020. Next year is gonna be the 3rd halving na masasaksihan ko.
I don't call myselfa veteran din ha LOL! Yan lang yung obvious na mga bagay na ngyari sa mga nakaraang halving. Though hindi naman palagi nag rerepeat ang history malay natin baka ngayon yung presyo ng bitcoin ay mag ATH before halving, ang importante ay nakapag pundo tayo ng sapat na bitcoins.

Wapfika

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Quote from: mirakal on October 19, 2023, 04:55:17 AM

This is related to my question on the thread created by @maslate. Since there's a lot of talk about a bull run, we might as well discuss it here. I would like to hear from the community about their predictions regarding when they think the bull run will start. Since the halving is approaching, and by looking at its historical patterns, it could be more likely next year. So, what do you all think, and what are your reasons for your guesses?

Usually nagsisimula ang bullrun before or after ng Bitcoin halving since sobrang lakas lagi ng hype ng halving pagdating sa speculation ng mga trader. Yung price ngayon ng Bitcoin ay halos in preparation na ng bullarket kung titignan nyo ang long term price chart.

Kaya ako ngayon ay nagsisimula na magipon ng crypto habang mababa pa ang price since sobrang lakas na ngayon ng next bullrun dahil may ibang mga institutional investors na papasok dahil may mga pioneer na naka position.

Mr. Magkaisa

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Kung titignan ko yung history ay nung period na simula ng halving hanggang sa matapos ito ang price value ni Bitcoin nun ay nasa 10$-260$ nung matapos ang halving, Pagkatapos ng halving ng mga kapanahunang ito nagpatuloy na tumaas ang presyo ni Bitcoin sa merkado hanga sa ATH nya inabot ng 1000$ 2013.

Yung pangalawang halving naman ay nagsimula nung buwan ng July na kung saan ang value ni Bitcoin nung time na ito ng period ng Halving ay nasa 700$-7000$ during halving period. Pagkatapos ng event na ito nagpatuloy parin sa pag-angat si Bitcoin hanggang sa naging ATH nya nung December ay inabot ng 20, 000$ each Bitcoin nung 2017.

Yung 3rd halving naman ay ngyari nung buwan ng May 2020 na kung saan nung mga period ng halving ng time na ito ay nagsimula 4000$-10, 000$ hanggang sa natapos ang halving. At pagkatapos nito ay nagpatuloy parin sa pag-angat ang price ni Bitcoin hanggang sa narating nya yung 69, 000$ ATH 2021 buwan ng November.

Kaya malamang ang itong pang-apat na halving ay parehas lang din nung 1 hanggang 3rd halving ang mangyayari, after ng halving ay magpapatuloy parin ang pag-angat ng Bitcoin hanggang 2025 ang bull run.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/learn/bitcoin-halving-how-does-the-halving-cycle-work-and-why-does-it-matter

mirakal

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Quote from: bisdak40 on October 19, 2023, 07:29:10 AM

Gusto ko rin makita yong mga replies ng mga beterano dito sa forum na may alam tungkol dyan sa halving kung tataas ba yong presyo or status qou lang muna.

Pero sa obserbasyon ko ay going north naman yong presyo ng bitcoin, tumaas siya ng kaunti nitong nakaaran linggo, baka nag-iipon na siguro ang mga tao para sa darating na halving at makasabay sa bull run.

I've been on this forum for a while, but I can't quite call myself a veteran just yet. So, okay, let's wait for their reply. They might provide valuable insights that could inspire those of us who haven't started investing yet.

Quote from: bisdak40 on October 19, 2023, 07:29:10 AM

Personally, may target ako kung ilang mbtc ang iipunin ko, mas mabuti siguro na instead sa banko mo iimpokin yong pera mo, convert nalang natin to bitcoin ay maghintay sa bull run.

Setting a target is the first thing we have to do, and the rest will follow. Saving money in the bank is different from investing it in Bitcoin, as you rightly call it an investment, not savings. I know you are a gambler, so I understand that you're a risk-taker. I believe you've had success in gambling, so why not continue to gamble with your Bitcoin, letting it grow through trading and let the bull run take care of increasing its value.

bisdak40

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Gusto ko rin makita yong mga replies ng mga beterano dito sa forum na may alam tungkol dyan sa halving kung tataas ba yong presyo or status qou lang muna.

Pero sa obserbasyon ko ay going north naman yong presyo ng bitcoin, tumaas siya ng kaunti nitong nakaaran linggo, baka nag-iipon na siguro ang mga tao para sa darating na halving at makasabay sa bull run.

Personally, may target ako kung ilang mbtc ang iipunin ko, mas mabuti siguro na instead sa banko mo iimpokin yong pera mo, convert nalang natin to bitcoin ay maghintay sa bull run.

mirakal

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This is related to my question on the thread created by @maslate. Since there's a lot of talk about a bull run, we might as well discuss it here. I would like to hear from the community about their predictions regarding when they think the bull run will start. Since the halving is approaching, and by looking at its historical patterns, it could be more likely next year. So, what do you all think, and what are your reasons for your guesses?

Topic: When do you think is the next bull run will start, and why? - page 3. (Read 431 times)