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Topic: When will bitcoin go to 400? - page 2. (Read 4105 times)

full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 101
June 09, 2011, 04:51:14 PM
#10
October or November. Historically Bitcoins have doubled in value every 30-32 days, if my math is correct.

That was before the government caught wind of it. Now that they have and now that more people know about it, prices will go up faster but also cause more heat from the government.

There was always anticipation of government action, and yet the prices still managed to climb this quickly. In fact this latest 3x spike happened after government officials started talking to reporters about it negatively.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
June 09, 2011, 04:45:23 PM
#9
October or November. Historically Bitcoins have doubled in value every 30-32 days, if my math is correct.

That was before the government caught wind of it. Now that they have and now that more people know about it, prices will go up faster but also cause more heat from the government.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 101
June 09, 2011, 04:38:06 PM
#8
October or November. Historically Bitcoins have doubled in value every 30-32 days, if my math is correct.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
June 09, 2011, 04:31:44 PM
#7
If the exchange markets stay open then the price will likely continue to grow, but if they get shut down (which is likely to happen in this world we live in), then the prices will plummet.

They will plummet at least momentarily due to decrease in fungibility, but BTCs will continue to be traded irrespective of whether there are bitcoin exchanges around or not. So, lack of exchanges won't be the end of bitcoin, or necessarily place any fundamental cap on the value of BTC.

Lack of exchanges would make it a lot harder to determine the exchange value of bitcoins against fiat currencies, however.

Joe's Web Shack accepts Bitcoins for hosting services. He wants 3 BTC for a service comparable to $100 USD. Given the current value of the BTC, it's a good deal.

2 days later, exchanges are shutdown and people have very few options of converting BTC into USD. Joe's Web Shack no longer accepts BTC since their value is lost and there's no way to pay the bills with BTCs.

Govt shuts down some BTC exchanges -> BTC value plummets -> Companies accepting them either overprice their goods for BTC or stop taking them -> BTCs are now worthless. It won't be a momentary collapse, it's naive to think so.

It's a new currency, it will have to fight to survive.

Of course it does, however, Bitcoins (currently) have no one in power that is supporting it. A few hundred people will do nothing to stop Congress from passing a bill to make accepting Bitcoins as a payment illegal. If Bitcoins were backed by Bank of America or some other ungodly conglomerate, then we'd have a fighting chance.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
June 09, 2011, 02:51:45 PM
#6
If the exchange markets stay open then the price will likely continue to grow, but if they get shut down (which is likely to happen in this world we live in), then the prices will plummet.

They will plummet at least momentarily due to decrease in fungibility, but BTCs will continue to be traded irrespective of whether there are bitcoin exchanges around or not. So, lack of exchanges won't be the end of bitcoin, or necessarily place any fundamental cap on the value of BTC.

Lack of exchanges would make it a lot harder to determine the exchange value of bitcoins against fiat currencies, however.

Joe's Web Shack accepts Bitcoins for hosting services. He wants 3 BTC for a service comparable to $100 USD. Given the current value of the BTC, it's a good deal.

2 days later, exchanges are shutdown and people have very few options of converting BTC into USD. Joe's Web Shack no longer accepts BTC since their value is lost and there's no way to pay the bills with BTCs.

Govt shuts down some BTC exchanges -> BTC value plummets -> Companies accepting them either overprice their goods for BTC or stop taking them -> BTCs are now worthless. It won't be a momentary collapse, it's naive to think so.

It's a new currency, it will have to fight to survive.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
June 09, 2011, 12:31:36 PM
#5
If the exchange markets stay open then the price will likely continue to grow, but if they get shut down (which is likely to happen in this world we live in), then the prices will plummet.

They will plummet at least momentarily due to decrease in fungibility, but BTCs will continue to be traded irrespective of whether there are bitcoin exchanges around or not. So, lack of exchanges won't be the end of bitcoin, or necessarily place any fundamental cap on the value of BTC.

Lack of exchanges would make it a lot harder to determine the exchange value of bitcoins against fiat currencies, however.

Joe's Web Shack accepts Bitcoins for hosting services. He wants 3 BTC for a service comparable to $100 USD. Given the current value of the BTC, it's a good deal.

2 days later, exchanges are shutdown and people have very few options of converting BTC into USD. Joe's Web Shack no longer accepts BTC since their value is lost and there's no way to pay the bills with BTCs.

Govt shuts down some BTC exchanges -> BTC value plummets -> Companies accepting them either overprice their goods for BTC or stop taking them -> BTCs are now worthless. It won't be a momentary collapse, it's naive to think so.
hero member
Activity: 501
Merit: 500
June 09, 2011, 11:05:55 AM
#4
If the exchange markets stay open then the price will likely continue to grow, but if they get shut down (which is likely to happen in this world we live in), then the prices will plummet.

They will plummet at least momentarily due to decrease in fungibility, but BTCs will continue to be traded irrespective of whether there are bitcoin exchanges around or not. So, lack of exchanges won't be the end of bitcoin, or necessarily place any fundamental cap on the value of BTC.

Lack of exchanges would make it a lot harder to determine the exchange value of bitcoins against fiat currencies, however.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
June 09, 2011, 10:50:26 AM
#3
If the exchange markets stay open then the price will likely continue to grow, but if they get shut down (which is likely to happen in this world we live in), then the prices will plummet.
member
Activity: 266
Merit: 10
June 09, 2011, 10:03:44 AM
#2
I doubt it will even reach $100. But then again, people said the same thing about it reaching dollar parity.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
June 09, 2011, 09:43:20 AM
#1
It would be just a 13fold increase from the previous level, but it seems quite unlikely to me.
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