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Topic: When will the bull run start? (Read 697 times)

legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1252
September 11, 2018, 10:40:36 PM
#42
History shows us that the most influential thing to the price of bitcoin is the adrupt halving schedule when the block reward is cut in half, it has a huge effect on the supply/demand of bitcoin.

If you look back in 2016 the thing that kept the late rally of 2015 going was the halving that happened in July 2016, see below how the halving led to 2 subsequent rallies.


https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-halving-2016-will-price-rise-fall/

It's extremely important to realize the scarcity built into bitcoin and how it reflects digital gold, once you understand this you can hold with confidence even at huge losses because you know that alot later, years later, the price will be much higher.

Keep an eye on when the next halving will be (2020):
https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/

But also keep in mind that good news could come out too that could really make the price go parabolic.

Ah, another newbie asking a question that nobody can't answer. I understand your frustrations your disappointed, and who wouldn't be? we put lots of money in the market and then suddenly it went on bearish trend. Question though, did you invest want you can afford to lose? If your answer is Yes, then no need to wait for a bull run because you are not losing your money if you are not selling.

But if you invest and hoping to get rich quick, then sorry to burst the bubble, your are in the wrong market. No one can tell you when will Bull runs starts because if you just look at the current sentiments, we are struggling. So it might be next month or next year. I suggest you just stay with the market and wait till the bull run happens.

OP just asked in general when do people think the next bull run in bitcoin will start, not your opinion on whether or not you think he is a newb and if he invested more than he is willing to lose, how about next time you actually give an educated response to his post instead of just rambling about stuff he/she already knows and make them feel worse about their loss.


The thing with the halving is, it is always a very hyped event and naturally one that will raise the price as it is a guaranteed decrease in inflation of the supply, and since it is something that we can guesstimate, people may try to take a move before the next guy because of how market psychology works.

This can lead into a chain reaction which would make this pump start and potentially peak up to a month or more ahead of the actual event, which could lead to a crash by and by the time actual event happens (so a typical sell the news situation), that could mark the end of the crash and the start of the next bull run. Just have that on mind because you may need to plan ahead if you want to risk trading. Personally I may not even bother and just keep holding. Just thinking about going to fiat will lead to having to get ready endless paperwork for taxes and so on which I have no idea how to manage so I would need to pay an accountant... I don't have time for that.
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 753
September 11, 2018, 06:09:28 PM
#41
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?

I think that the most likely outcome would probably be that we'll see a resurgence of bitcoin prices in 2020-2021.

A full recovery does seem unlikely at the moment considering that the markets are showing no signs of a trend reversal yet due to the fact that we don't even know whether or not we've bottomed out yet.

Thus, don't expect to see any gains in the short term at any time soon. I believe that the best strategy in terms of investment in bitcoin right now is accumulate moderately, and not expecting short term profits. If you do invest, expect to have to hold for a long time before your profits are realised. I still think that we'll probably dip a bit further from this price level currently.
hero member
Activity: 3164
Merit: 675
www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
September 11, 2018, 03:03:00 PM
#40
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?
I think November is more realistic.
Right now people are getting back from their vacations, kids are starting school soon, the work is getting busy again and all that.

As soon as people get back to work decently and start that rush times once again and the important deals are getting closer the reality of summer ending and work calendar starting will come to mind and I think more people will start going back to bitcoin and focusing on that like a hobby.

I believe we should definitely not throw away the idea that last year November was the time bull run started but I am definitely sure autumn will be the season that bitcoin gets back on its feet.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
September 09, 2018, 02:41:27 AM
#39
Im guessing sometime in November or if we dont get our end of year pump, probably sometimes shortly after.
member
Activity: 218
Merit: 11
September 08, 2018, 06:43:36 PM
#38
Maybe the bull run gets initiated from the falling month as the fourth quarter of the year begins. Another thing the etf approval has got postponed to the end of September. This too could make a difference over the market scenario prevailing around. Expect good growth same as the previous year.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
September 08, 2018, 06:20:52 PM
#37
Market bottomed in January 2015. Then it went sideways until October when bull run started.

Sort of. Another way of looking at it is a double bottom. Bitfinex had much higher volume than other exchanges and hit bottom in August ($162). A lot of people cite Bitstamp's January lows, but it was (and is) a much less liquid exchange than Bitfinex.

2014 bear market was longer then wil be now from simple fact that bull market of 2013 was stronger then 2017. You had sort of 2 bull runs in 2013. in April and November.

That's possible. I'm just trying to keep an open mind and not make any major assumptions. My belief is that every cycle will look different (in terms of both time and volatility). For now, I'm just waiting for the market to establish a new mid-term trend. Then I'll ride it.
hero member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 505
September 08, 2018, 03:09:45 PM
#36
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?
As soon as there is a chance of making a decent amount of money with a huge run, right now there are so many people who would like to sell their coins at say 8-10 thousand dollar levels that if you want to go thru those prices you will be required to have a lot of money and if you want to reach to $20k once again you will have to buy a lot of bitcoin and require a capital at a size of a small nations GDP.

Hence, if that goes away and we can chip at it small by small than there is a chance but in order to get the whales on our side we need to make sure they know they will make more money if the price goes up.
member
Activity: 148
Merit: 11
September 08, 2018, 01:19:50 PM
#35
In the past, the price starts to go up during November and continues until early period of the next year. I hope the same thing happens this year, I am looking forward for the bull run in November.
member
Activity: 350
Merit: 10
September 08, 2018, 12:52:12 PM
#34
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?

The market right now is currently bullish, and it was volatile so the best thing to do is to wait for the price to pump up before selling your coins.
Pab
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1012
September 08, 2018, 11:21:31 AM
#33
I think from New Year it will be big expectation that SEC will approve ETF so that will cause
bull run
Meanwhile in September we will have important EU meeting about ICO regulation
IF all 28 EU countries will agree we will have quality licensed ico
If world will follow than it could be really big change less ico but licensed ones
newbie
Activity: 129
Merit: 0
September 08, 2018, 11:14:53 AM
#32
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?
I am not sure that bullrun will happen in the current year, this market is still in a non-conducive atmosphere, indeed recovery has occurred even though it was not large but in a matter of hours the decline occurred again, this situation was very fast and often happened.
I really hope that this kind of situation will be over soon, even with a short period of time but I will wait for it
newbie
Activity: 111
Merit: 0
September 08, 2018, 10:52:53 AM
#31
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?
You had loose a lot of money and will loose a lot more if you dont know how to play your csrds in cryptocurrency. If the price is down i usually hold and wait for the moment. Some will easily sell and some will complain and some waits for the greenier days thats how it goes here in the crypto world.
member
Activity: 106
Merit: 10
September 08, 2018, 10:00:48 AM
#30
we need a catalyst, maybe ETF getting accepted or bakkt launching in november? doesn't seem like ETf will be approved this year so probably around 2020
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1548
Get loan in just five minutes goo.gl/8WMW6n
September 08, 2018, 09:45:51 AM
#29
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?

Be patient and wait, nobody can't tell when Bull market starts, because no one knows it. If peoples could know how market will move, everybody would have been a millionaire for a long time. Like i said before, all you can do now is just be patient.
sr. member
Activity: 1330
Merit: 291
September 08, 2018, 09:21:37 AM
#28
Op, you can only lose your money when you sell at the current market value of Bitcoin, but if you continue holding, i believe some day to come the market value of Bitcoin and other altcoins will bounce back from the downward movement at the moment.
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
September 08, 2018, 09:02:30 AM
#27
The main difference between the current and 2014/2015 bear market is that right now we don't have MtGox to worry about. I'm certain that if MtGox didn't collapse back then, the low in 2015 would be far above $150.

why?

people drastically overestimate the importance of mt gox. i was part of multiple trading communities, and pretty much everyone had aready moved to bitfinex, bitstamp, btc-e/mt4, chinese exchanges (okcoin, huobi, btcc). most traders left because gox had already been having fiat withdrawal delays for many months.

they had far less share of world trading volume than people say. the scope of the BTC losses were due more to gox being used as a massive online wallet. and remember, the gox collapse locked up lots of available supply. everyone who lost coins had to buy back whatever they could.

MtGox gave the bear market extra fuel to keep thriving, which looking back, was the best ever "recent" buying opportunity. I don't think think we have to wait another year to fully bottom out.

i dunno. gox collapsed in february 2014. the market bottomed in august 2015. i really don't think it fueled the bear market for 1.5 years. that was just post-bubble supply and distribution. the same thing is possible now.

Market bottomed in January 2015. Then it went sideways until October when bull run started.

2014 bear market was longer then wil be now from simple fact that bull market of 2013 was stronger then 2017. You had sort of 2 bull runs in 2013. in April and November.
hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 517
cloverdex.io
September 08, 2018, 05:13:22 AM
#26
Expecting the bull run to start this month. Really waited and waited for almost 8 to 9 months for the price to go high. The circulation has completely stopped. Frozen now. One or the other has to leave their coins out. The circulation of coins should soon start up with high values. We really require the situation to take place very soon.  This month has to be a turning month for crypto this year. The value has to come back on track. Expect this to happen very soon.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
September 08, 2018, 05:00:41 AM
#25
I don't think think we have to wait another year to fully bottom out.

My read on overall sentiment is that people are still too hopeful for a bull market to emerge yet. I'm also worried the bear market could take quite a bit longer based on the historical BETI. Based on the 2011 and 2014-2015 corrections, we could drop a lot further:

And this will be the historical BETI chart using absolutely all the BTC/USD entries in bitcoincharts.com since Sunday, 25 April 2010 16:37:04 till today:


Of course, the BETI is comprised of a very small data set, so we should take it with a grain of salt. Cycle analysis is tough when we only have a few bubble cycles to study.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
September 08, 2018, 04:14:08 AM
#24
The main difference between the current and 2014/2015 bear market is that right now we don't have MtGox to worry about. I'm certain that if MtGox didn't collapse back then, the low in 2015 would be far above $150.

why?

people drastically overestimate the importance of mt gox. i was part of multiple trading communities, and pretty much everyone had aready moved to bitfinex, bitstamp, btc-e/mt4, chinese exchanges (okcoin, huobi, btcc). most traders left because gox had already been having fiat withdrawal delays for many months.

they had far less share of world trading volume than people say. the scope of the BTC losses were due more to gox being used as a massive online wallet. and remember, the gox collapse locked up lots of available supply. everyone who lost coins had to buy back whatever they could.

MtGox gave the bear market extra fuel to keep thriving, which looking back, was the best ever "recent" buying opportunity. I don't think think we have to wait another year to fully bottom out.

i dunno. gox collapsed in february 2014. the market bottomed in august 2015. i really don't think it fueled the bear market for 1.5 years. that was just post-bubble supply and distribution. the same thing is possible now.
member
Activity: 294
Merit: 12
September 07, 2018, 09:14:38 PM
#23
When will the bull run start? Huh in 2018? i've lose a lot of money through bitcoin. because price went down. when will the bull run start and i regain my money?
My prediction will occur at the end of the year between November and December, it will not go up too far but this will make our assets come back. Almost the beginning of the year to mid in 2018 the prices are so fariative, the increase and decrease are so fast and we can only wait for the results later in the year.
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