Pages:
Author

Topic: Where do you think bitcoin will be in about 8 years? - page 2. (Read 2775 times)

full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
In 8 years, I am counting on the price to be either $100k+ or close to $0. As long as Internet is still around and no critical flaws has been found in the protocol I see that first number as highly probable.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
How will they get me to stop accepting them over their alternative? 
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
You are a geek if you are too early to the party!
In 8 years, bitcoin will have evolved into something totally different!

Bitcoin will be work about $100 as a collector item - but the blockchain will be being used by Visa in the core of their digital visa credit card - a way for anyone and everyone to move money around the internet in a method almost identical to bitcoin - except, you will need to use their wallets, and need to register to have a wallet that their coins will work with.

It might not be Visa, but in 8 years, the concept of bitcoin will have become accepted within the banking industry as workable, and being offered to the public - at a price!

However, your bitcoins and altcoins will be practically worthless!


sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
So far, if you look at the price on a (best fit removing all the bubbles) log scale (http://blockchain.info/charts/market-price?showDataPoints=false&show_header=true&daysAverageString=1×pan=all&scale=1&address=) for all time, the price has been increasing by between 200% and 500% per year.  So lets assume that the initial expansion was faster then any other time in history and we have a slowing of new adopters to a more realistic rate.  Lets even throw in a bad year for the hell of it.  See my projections below.  This works out to about 91% increase a year for the next 8 years.  Of course I just pulled all of these projections out of my ass and they have no basis in fact.  

July 2010 - $0
July 2011 - $2 (200% increase)
July 2012 - $7 (250% increase)
July 2013 - $44 (520% increase) (yes, this is the true value of bitcoin at the moment IMO)
----------------------- PROJECTIONS ----------------------
July 2014 - $154 (350% increase)
July 2015 - $385 (250% increase)
July 2016 - $577 (50% increase)
July 2017 - $721 (25% increase)
July 2018 - $811 (12% increase)
July 2019 - $859 (6% increase)
July 2020 - $773 (10% loss)
July 2021 - $835 (8% increase)


full member
Activity: 490
Merit: 101
FRX: Ferocious Alpha
bitcoin will really be "cash of internet" and 1btc will be approx 2,500$

You people have no vision! Add 2-3 orders of magnitude to that number.

This.

I am betting on the long term value to be quite astronomical, much larger than one normally imagines, especially with the word spreading exponentially each day.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Changing avatars is currently not possible.
Best guess is $500-$3,500.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
In Gord We Trust
bitcoin will really be "cash of internet" and 1btc will be approx 2,500$

You people have no vision! Add 2-3 orders of magnitude to that number.

Yeah exactly. In 8 years, the price of bitcoin will be $50,000+ each or 0. Nothing in between.



That's only 1 order of magnitude. Didn't you read Vlad's post?
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
bitcoin will really be "cash of internet" and 1btc will be approx 2,500$

You people have no vision! Add 2-3 orders of magnitude to that number.

Yeah exactly. In 8 years, the price of bitcoin will be $50,000+ each or 0. Nothing in between.

sr. member
Activity: 240
Merit: 250
bitcoin will really be "cash of internet" and 1btc will be approx 2,500$
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
The real question is whether or not World War 3 breaks out.

And depends on the technological revelations in that time-frame.

Too many variables. Best case scenario for BTC though is that it's a strong currency, I wouldn't expect it to be on top though.

yeah..so what else?

Political collapse in China?

A new era of manga and anime....
staff
Activity: 3332
Merit: 4117
Where do I think bitcoin will be in 8 years time? 8 years is a odd number.

Hmm, I think by then most of the companies which we see today not accepting bitcoin will be accepting it.

If we do make it 8 long years, then I think the bitcoin value will have shot up.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
The real question is whether or not World War 3 breaks out.

And depends on the technological revelations in that time-frame.

Too many variables. Best case scenario for BTC though is that it's a strong currency, I wouldn't expect it to be on top though.

yeah..so what else?
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
The real question is whether or not World War 3 breaks out.

And depends on the technological revelations in that time-frame.

Too many variables. Best case scenario for BTC though is that it's a strong currency, I wouldn't expect it to be on top though.
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
8 years is after 2020. by then, almost everyone on the planet has internet access all the time. certainly, several very simple payment systems will be available to almost everyone, but it's likely not the current bitcoin system. it might rather server like a reserve currency behind them to settle payments between them.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
If it lasts that long im pretty sure price could be at or near 1000usd per btc. The real question is whether we actually get there or not
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
In 8 years the block reward should be halved a couple more times.. so 25 > 12.5 > 6.25.

6.25 bitcoins per block reward!
Pages:
Jump to: