Those giant spikes up are caused by delusional dumb money (i.e. general public) during a media driven hype. Smart money buys low.
It wouldn't surprise me if bitcoin will be hyped up again after some kind of 2008-like financial crash, which is likely coming in the next year or two.
Yeah I guess that's the best way to put it. Smart money is not going to be buying right now. They buy in before any media attention, there has been plenty of media attention actually much more than I could have ever imagined.
Smart money puts their money in smart investments, and bitcoin just is not that. It is a highly risky investment and will require a lot of pumping, something which smart money will not gamble with.
I just do not see it as an investment. Where I went wrong was I planned on buying bitcoin when it had a long term stable price after the first bubble. That would have been when it was stable and rising from around $8-$12 dollars for over a year.
That was the best time to put your money in and I did not because I was not even watching bitcoin at that time.
Right now at $500 bucks, that is just crazy. Maybe it can go to $1000, but it simply is not worth the risk as it probably will not go that high.
Reading these forums will fool you because most people here bought in at really cheap prices and are just pumping what they own. These same people will not be spending their money on $500 bitcoin, they are not that stupid. Then you have a few new people who are trying to "get rich quick", you will always get those idiot gamblers.