Outside of the youth vote, anti-socialist sentiment in the US is too strong for a Sanders win, in my opinion. Biden has more of a chance and his association with the Obama administration will benefit his campaign, but he is also a weaker candidate compared to Obama. Incumbent presidents tend to have an advantage when it comes to winning elections so I think a Trump win is the most likely outcome.
Also with Sanders being 78, Biden being 77, Trump being 73, and Warren being 70 next year, this will probably be the most elderly US presidential election by far.
Topic: Who do you think will win the 2020 election? - page 3. (Read 692 times)
I want Trump to win, but I am afraid that his chances are lower than what he had in 2016. Here are some of my concerns:
1. The rust-belt (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.etc) have shown a clear pro-Democrat tilt during the recent senatorial elections. GOP is very weak in this region now.
2. States such as Arizona and Nevada have become pro-Democrat, due to the rising Hispanic population. Even Texas is not 100% safe territory for GOP.
3. Amendment 4 has restored voting rights for 1.4 million felons in Florida. As we all know, this is a very loyal Democratic voting bloc. And Florida elections have been always tight, with the margins usually lower than 100,000. Some 1.4 million votes can make a lot of difference.
4. Democrats are pushing forward with their plans to register as many new voters as possible. Regardless of the race, younger voters have a preference for the Dems.
5. The GOP voters are not that fired up, unlike the case in 2016. Back in 2016, many of them were fed up with Obama's 8 year presidency and were determined to get a Republican elected as the president.
6. This time I have a feeling that the Democrats will not nominate someone who is simply not electable, as they did in 2016.
1. The rust-belt (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.etc) have shown a clear pro-Democrat tilt during the recent senatorial elections. GOP is very weak in this region now.
2. States such as Arizona and Nevada have become pro-Democrat, due to the rising Hispanic population. Even Texas is not 100% safe territory for GOP.
3. Amendment 4 has restored voting rights for 1.4 million felons in Florida. As we all know, this is a very loyal Democratic voting bloc. And Florida elections have been always tight, with the margins usually lower than 100,000. Some 1.4 million votes can make a lot of difference.
4. Democrats are pushing forward with their plans to register as many new voters as possible. Regardless of the race, younger voters have a preference for the Dems.
5. The GOP voters are not that fired up, unlike the case in 2016. Back in 2016, many of them were fed up with Obama's 8 year presidency and were determined to get a Republican elected as the president.
6. This time I have a feeling that the Democrats will not nominate someone who is simply not electable, as they did in 2016.
Very interesting points. I agree to all of them.
The swing States that helped trump win aren't in the favor of him, atleast that's what is observed recently.
I also feel that many took the 2016 elections granted for the dems as they knew it was a cake walk for Hillary and didn't even bother to vote due to laziness...
The Dems will avoid the mistakes they did in 2016. Hillary was indeed a very overconfident candidate. Her entire campaign was full of only anti-trump talks. And she even posted "happy birthday to the future president" to wish herself happy birthday prior to election. So, if another Hillary is avoided to win nomination, Dems have a good chance.
Kind of obvious why trump won. If the Dems avoid the mistakes of 2016, I wouldn't doubt that trump will get a tough fight or even lose.
Wonder what he will tweet if he loses
I want Trump to win, but I am afraid that his chances are lower than what he had in 2016. Here are some of my concerns:
1. The rust-belt (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.etc) have shown a clear pro-Democrat tilt during the recent senatorial elections. GOP is very weak in this region now.
2. States such as Arizona and Nevada have become pro-Democrat, due to the rising Hispanic population. Even Texas is not 100% safe territory for GOP.
3. Amendment 4 has restored voting rights for 1.4 million felons in Florida. As we all know, this is a very loyal Democratic voting bloc. And Florida elections have been always tight, with the margins usually lower than 100,000. Some 1.4 million votes can make a lot of difference.
4. Democrats are pushing forward with their plans to register as many new voters as possible. Regardless of the race, younger voters have a preference for the Dems.
5. The GOP voters are not that fired up, unlike the case in 2016. Back in 2016, many of them were fed up with Obama's 8 year presidency and were determined to get a Republican elected as the president.
6. This time I have a feeling that the Democrats will not nominate someone who is simply not electable, as they did in 2016.
1. The rust-belt (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.etc) have shown a clear pro-Democrat tilt during the recent senatorial elections. GOP is very weak in this region now.
2. States such as Arizona and Nevada have become pro-Democrat, due to the rising Hispanic population. Even Texas is not 100% safe territory for GOP.
3. Amendment 4 has restored voting rights for 1.4 million felons in Florida. As we all know, this is a very loyal Democratic voting bloc. And Florida elections have been always tight, with the margins usually lower than 100,000. Some 1.4 million votes can make a lot of difference.
4. Democrats are pushing forward with their plans to register as many new voters as possible. Regardless of the race, younger voters have a preference for the Dems.
5. The GOP voters are not that fired up, unlike the case in 2016. Back in 2016, many of them were fed up with Obama's 8 year presidency and were determined to get a Republican elected as the president.
6. This time I have a feeling that the Democrats will not nominate someone who is simply not electable, as they did in 2016.
Trump is so old. Will he even be allowed to participate?
What? The Constitution gives no maximum age so, yes he is allowed to participate.
And his two main rivals in the Democratic Party are older than him so age is irrelevant even in the political sense.
Donald Trump or Rand Paul.
American always give a second chance to their seating president and it is clear that Trump will win the next election. I do not believe in the media propagation about the current administration and to me Trump has really done well and he deserves a second chance to complete what he has started. you need to check history facts . Till now 10 President lost the re election .
https://www.thoughtco.com/one-term-us-presidents-3322257
The people have no options. It's an Idiot vs the evil. Go with Trump.
Trump! 
I think Trump. I am not seeing anyone that is putting any formidable opposition to him.
The erasing of conservative voices from Google, Youtube, Facebook, Twitter, and Pinterest is the beginning of the attempt to steal the 2020 election.
Without those factors, Trump would have an easy win. i believe he will win regardless, because people see and understand what's happening.
Trump is so old. Will he even be allowed to participate?
What? The Constitution gives no maximum age so, yes he is allowed to participate.
And his two main rivals in the Democratic Party are older than him so age is irrelevant even in the political sense.
Donald Trump or Rand Paul.
If they pick Ron Paul, there is hope for this world.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/vote-ron-paul-2020-he-will-make-it-so-you-can-vote-yourself-2022-5144607
I am not even American and I can see this is the most logical choice. Do not vote for the "I like math guy" Andrew Yang he will escalate the internal bleeding more by giving everyone 1k. Do not vote for Trump he will use over 100million on golf trips and hamburderdgs. Do not vote for Hillary unless you would like to die in the next 4 years.
The thing is, the elections are 100% rigged LOL! Ron Paul spread the word for real, this guy will make it so you can vote yourself and build back up citys for people, give the working class food water and shelter instead of wasting the tax pay money on warmachines and invading other country`s, He is a good man.
Ron Paul is the only person with balls to call out the fed, think about that.
Trump is so old. Will he even be allowed to participate?
Donald Trump or Rand Paul.
American always give a second chance to their seating president and it is clear that Trump will win the next election. I do not believe in the media propagation about the current administration and to me Trump has really done well and he deserves a second chance to complete what he has started.
I think Trump. I am not seeing anyone that is putting any formidable opposition to him.
Will we see the power change and dems take it or will Trump get another four years?
More like 23 Democrats have confirmed they are going to run for presidency.
Who do you think will have the best chance against Trump?
Is Trump easy to beat and he only won because Hillary was a terrible opponent or did he really had a very silent base with which he would have beaten any other democrat candidate?
Bernie Sanders and Biden are the most popular running aspirants from the left, do you think they can trump the Trump?
Share your opinions
More like 23 Democrats have confirmed they are going to run for presidency.
Who do you think will have the best chance against Trump?
Is Trump easy to beat and he only won because Hillary was a terrible opponent or did he really had a very silent base with which he would have beaten any other democrat candidate?
Bernie Sanders and Biden are the most popular running aspirants from the left, do you think they can trump the Trump?
Share your opinions
There's very little chance that any of the Democrats will beat Trump. He has his base sown up. The Never Trumpers on the Republican side see that business is going well. The economy hasn't tanked and will hold their nose and vote for him. This means that he can win with the same coalition. The Rust Belt Dems see that Trump has kept his promises and if the Dems go farther left than Biden, and if they abandon the Pro-Life Dems as it looks like - then Ohio will turn Red. It won't be a toss-up. And Pennsylvania and Michigan would turn from lean Blue to lean Red.
I think Trump has recaptured Virginia (it was a close loss) and toss in the troubles the Virginia Dems have I put that state in the Trump column.
That means Trump needs to win only one of Michigan, Pennsylvania or Florida.
It's a Trump win - and big - if it's any body but Biden. And even with Biden it will be a Trump win.
Not only that but the Republicans win back the House and hold the Senate.
I can confirm, the people will not win, but a person, and that person will do things they said they would not do, and the things they said they would do they won`t. That person will do what they want to do, when everyone could just vote on issues rather than voting someone to vote for them.
Trump: I will put her in jail.
get in: O look, Hilary still not in jail.
Obama: I will remove the troops.
gets in: I am sending in more troops.
Trump: I will put her in jail.
get in: O look, Hilary still not in jail.
Obama: I will remove the troops.
gets in: I am sending in more troops.
Short of some catastrophic economic collapse or WW3, there is no one who even has a chance of beating Donald Trump. Even if these things happen I still think he has a good shot.
Will we see the power change and dems take it or will Trump get another four years?
More like 23 Democrats have confirmed they are going to run for presidency.
Who do you think will have the best chance against Trump?
Is Trump easy to beat and he only won because Hillary was a terrible opponent or did he really had a very silent base with which he would have beaten any other democrat candidate?
Bernie Sanders and Biden are the most popular running aspirants from the left, do you think they can trump the Trump?
Share your opinions
More like 23 Democrats have confirmed they are going to run for presidency.
Who do you think will have the best chance against Trump?
Is Trump easy to beat and he only won because Hillary was a terrible opponent or did he really had a very silent base with which he would have beaten any other democrat candidate?
Bernie Sanders and Biden are the most popular running aspirants from the left, do you think they can trump the Trump?
Share your opinions
Trump will easily win four more years as those who’re contesting against him are not strong candidates, and they’ll keep on fighting within themselves which will give further advantage to Trump. Hillary wasn’t a terrible opponent, but she lacked support within her own party which led to her downfall. If you wish to see his fan base then just type trump fans on Facebook, you’ll see he has millions of fans in various groups which are supporting him.
Donald Trump or Rand Paul.
Democracy continues to be undermined across the world. Unfettered capitalism produces ever-greater inequality, leading to huge sections of the population feeling disenfranchised and disempowered. People want someone to blame, and right-wing populists are enjoying huge success by appealing to people's baser prejudices. They create some arbitrary scapegoat, often 'foreigners', and then instead of coherent policy they employ effective soundbites (and increasingly social media) to rail against this imagined opposition. It is being replicated across the western world. Where the US leads, others follow.
I hope Trump doesn't win, but I have a horrible suspicion that he will.
I hope Trump doesn't win, but I have a horrible suspicion that he will.
Will we see the power change and dems take it or will Trump get another four years?
More like 23 Democrats have confirmed they are going to run for presidency.
Who do you think will have the best chance against Trump?
Is Trump easy to beat and he only won because Hillary was a terrible opponent or did he really had a very silent base with which he would have beaten any other democrat candidate?
Bernie Sanders and Biden are the most popular running aspirants from the left, do you think they can trump the Trump?
Share your opinions
More like 23 Democrats have confirmed they are going to run for presidency.
Who do you think will have the best chance against Trump?
Is Trump easy to beat and he only won because Hillary was a terrible opponent or did he really had a very silent base with which he would have beaten any other democrat candidate?
Bernie Sanders and Biden are the most popular running aspirants from the left, do you think they can trump the Trump?
Share your opinions
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