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Topic: Why are we still at this price? Review of bearish thread titles... (Read 2399 times)

full member
Activity: 133
Merit: 100
I'm starting to become increasingly suspicious of Chinese fake market data, even though i'm v bullish on the long run. Something is just not right.

I don't think it's necessarily fake. But zero trading fees make a couple of techniques involving buying/selling to yourself (or members of your "team") extremely cheap. Even without these, it becomes more attractive to scalp very small ranges which also increases volume. I still think these transactions are real in the sense that they are valid trades happening on the exchange between different accounts (not necessarily different people).

But with enough money, it's extremely cheap (compared to exchanges with fees) to make the market look the way you want, and create as much  volume as you want. If a whale sees a possibility to make money off of that (which I can easily believe exists), I'm sure they'll do.

So don't try to compare the volume to Gox or Stamp, don't believe it by the standards set by other "Western" exchanges. Still it might not be fake in the sense that the exchange is "creating" transactions that never happened.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
The most intriguing thing is that adoption is taking off like wildfire, but the price doesn't move.

$100k on the first day on Overstock, then nothing.  My guess would be that no news means very low volume.  Also, that kind of adaptation wound kind of push the price of bitcoin down.

Maybe BTC wasn't really worth 1200 when it hit 1200.

My guess would be that Silkroad was working just fine when the price of Bitcoin was $2.

But every day that goes by, $850 is less and less speculation, and more and more actual adoption.

It's all speculation.


When will the price start to rise again?

Why do you think it would rise?



Its posts like these that make me bullish.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 251
Giga
I'm starting to become increasingly suspicious of Chinese fake market data, even though i'm v bullish on the long run. Something is just not right.
sr. member
Activity: 407
Merit: 250
The most intriguing thing is that adoption is taking off like wildfire, but the price doesn't move.

$100k on the first day on Overstock, then nothing.  My guess would be that no news means very low volume.  Also, that kind of adaptation wound kind of push the price of bitcoin down.

Maybe BTC wasn't really worth 1200 when it hit 1200.

My guess would be that Silkroad was working just fine when the price of Bitcoin was $2.

But every day that goes by, $850 is less and less speculation, and more and more actual adoption.

It's all speculation.


When will the price start to rise again?

Why do you think it would rise?

legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
Bitcoin is remaining at this price because speculators are not frenzy buying.

The most intriguing thing is that adoption is taking off like wildfire, but the price doesn't move.

That's because a legitimate valuation foundation is being built into the current price.

Maybe BTC wasn't really worth 1200 when it hit 1200.

But every day that goes by, $850 is less and less speculation, and more and more actual adoption.  Therefore actual value.

This means every day that goes by, the risk of BTC plummeting also plummets.

When will the price start to rise again?

When adoption/demand to purchase it outbalances availability of it.  That could be soon or in awhile.

-B-

I basically agree with all of this. The stages of adoption of bitcoin are becoming more and more obvious.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Bitcoin is remaining at this price because speculators are not frenzy buying.

The most intriguing thing is that adoption is taking off like wildfire, but the price doesn't move.

That's because a legitimate valuation foundation is being built into the current price.

Maybe BTC wasn't really worth 1200 when it hit 1200.

But every day that goes by, $850 is less and less speculation, and more and more actual adoption.  Therefore actual value.

This means every day that goes by, the risk of BTC plummeting also plummets.

When will the price start to rise again?

When adoption/demand to purchase it outbalances availability of it.  That could be soon or in awhile.

-B-
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
patience my friends
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1012
This subforum is literally BRIMMING with bear threads.
There are more bull titles than bear titles so this is all irrelevant.

I don't trust any of you fuckers! So... let's see. (If you disagree with my classification of the thread, too fucking bad! I tried to bias it against bulls since I'm a bull.)

(Neutral 1)    When in 2013 shall Bitcoin break its all-time-high of $31?
(Neutral 2)   Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
(Neutral 3)    Bitcoin - Bulls out of the wedge but without force
(Bear 1)       Time to dump BTC now I say...
(Bull 1)        Important dates 2014
(Bull 2)        Why are we still at this price? Review of bearish thread titles...    
(Bear 2)       Worst Case Scenario - Price Predictions?
(Bull 3)        Bitcoin will hit $10,000 in 2014
(Bear 3)       2014 could be a slow year for bitcoin
(Neutral 4)   Analysis never ends
(Bull 4)        First Bitcoin ATM in switzerland!
(Bear 4)      SHOTRING BITCOIN: This is a good idea right now
(Bear 5)      The age of KARHU begins....seek ye refuge in alms to the KARHU!
(Bull 5)        intrinsic value and the value of accounting. why a goldrush will affect bitcoin.
(Neutral 5)   Memespeculation
(Neutral 6)   Videoblog & Technical Analysis for Bitcoin
(Bear 6)       Confirmed Bad News Sources Thread - No FUD, Just Facts!!!1
(Bear 7)       Get an e-mail when the FBI bitcoins move    
(Neutral 7)   Bitcoin Price Analysis!    
(Neutral 8 )  Mystery Chart Says to Buy Btc now and sell in ~115.2 Days
(Neutral 9)   Daily USD/BTC - Most Accurate BTC-e predictions
(Neutral 10)  Bitcoin - Price on vertex of the wedge.    
(Bear 8 )      BTC Beginning of the End !
(Bear 9)       chinese markets volume data wrong    
(Neutral 11)  Latest Developments Thread
(Bear 10)     Another BEARS ONLY discussion. When will bitcoin finally drop and how far?
(Bear 11)     Alot of BTC in the hands of newbs - wrt FBI selloff
(Bear 12)     The reason volume is so low on Gox, BTCE and Bitstamp
(Neutral 12)  Bulls and Bears! Who will win?
(Bull 6)        Green shoot analysis - volume increasing
(Neutral 13)  January 31st Impact on Bitcoin
(Bull 7)         I AM HODLING
(Bull 8 )       the Hodl and why.
(Bull 9)        I predict that btc will rise to $2000 by end of March 2014
(Neutral 14)  It's called a correction (waveaddict's bitcoin charting subscription thread)
(Neutral 15)  Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test
(Bear 13)      bearish sentiment in a possible third wave?
(Bear 14)      FBI seized an extra 144000

Bull - 9
Bear - 14
Neutral - 15

Conclusion: I now trust BitcoinAshley more than TERA.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
Yes, and besides,most bulls (and bears) seems to pull these "predictions" out of their ass. Unless they use Proudhons' sources of course, then they will be probably 99.99% correct
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
This subforum is literally BRIMMING with bear threads. Here's what's on the first page:

BTC Beginning of the End ! (igorr)
2014 could be a slow year for bitcoin (wobber)
SHOTRING BITCOIN: This is a good idea right now (proudhon)
Worst Case Scenario: Price predictions? (Opsamk)
bearish sentiment in a possible third wave (chessnut)
Do we know why the price is dropping? (Remember remember...)
Confirmed bad news sources thread - No FUD, just facts!!!1 (proudhon)
Another BEARS ONLY discussion. When will bitcoin finally drop and how far? (Edward50)
The age of KARHU begins....seek ye refuge in alms to the KARHU! (KARHU)
Time to dump BTC now I say (DustyRah)

So with this kind of speculation subforum sentiment, why are we still more or less in the same place we've BEEN... HuhHuh

Are the bears WRONG?HuhGrin Grin Grin
There are more bull titles than bear titles so this is all irrelevant.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
I don't really, I don't want people to lose the money. Just hate when someone is dicking around with such certainty in short time Bitcoin price movements, and specially same day in which he already lost 400$ doing the same stuff  Roll Eyes


Yeah, I guess it's mean to wish losses upon him :-P. Shorting bitcoin ends very badly for many people. And, stop-losses in bitcoin also end very badly for most - the volatility is truly unpredictable. Those who have done the best are those who HODL. It's a time-tested approach, it's worked for 4 years, and I see nothing to drastically change that *

*Except Proudhon's 100% confirmed chinese news source that says the PBOC sees bitcoin as a massive virus that will disrupt the entire global financial system, and they have millions of petahashes of power ready to deploy to attack the network.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
I don't really, I don't want people to lose the money. Just hate when someone is dicking around with such certainty in short time Bitcoin price movements, and specially same day in which he already lost 400$ doing the same stuff  Roll Eyes
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
You are pretty slow of the mark.

All the 'Short Bitcoin Now' threads were from 2-3 days ago. Since the shorting opportunity has passed, we have had a bounce and a revival falling short of the crucial §850 resistance, and now guess what....?

......it's another good time to short Bitcoin.

at least for the next few hours anyhow.

Good call, hope you shorted a lot Tongue


I hope he shorted with 100x leverage Wink
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
This subforum is literally BRIMMING with bear threads. Here's what's on the first page:

BTC Beginning of the End ! (igorr)
2014 could be a slow year for bitcoin (wobber)
SHOTRING BITCOIN: This is a good idea right now (proudhon)
Worst Case Scenario: Price predictions? (Opsamk)
bearish sentiment in a possible third wave (chessnut)
Do we know why the price is dropping? (Remember remember...)
Confirmed bad news sources thread - No FUD, just facts!!!1 (proudhon)
Another BEARS ONLY discussion. When will bitcoin finally drop and how far? (Edward50)
The age of KARHU begins....seek ye refuge in alms to the KARHU! (KARHU)
Time to dump BTC now I say (DustyRah)

So with this kind of speculation subforum sentiment, why are we still more or less in the same place we've BEEN... HuhHuh

You are pretty slow of the mark.

All the 'Short Bitcoin Now' threads were from 2-3 days ago. Since the shorting opportunity has passed, we have had a bounce and a revival falling short of the crucial §850 resistance, and now guess what....?

......it's another good time to short Bitcoin.

at least for the next few hours anyhow.

Good call, hope you shorted a lot Tongue
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
people expect a big drop since up trend broke. this is a common mistake. doesn't mean a drop isnt coming. but people get unrealistic about the timing.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
This subforum is literally BRIMMING with bear threads. Here's what's on the first page:

BTC Beginning of the End ! (igorr)
2014 could be a slow year for bitcoin (wobber)
SHOTRING BITCOIN: This is a good idea right now (proudhon)
Worst Case Scenario: Price predictions? (Opsamk)
bearish sentiment in a possible third wave (chessnut)
Do we know why the price is dropping? (Remember remember...)
Confirmed bad news sources thread - No FUD, just facts!!!1 (proudhon)
Another BEARS ONLY discussion. When will bitcoin finally drop and how far? (Edward50)
The age of KARHU begins....seek ye refuge in alms to the KARHU! (KARHU)
Time to dump BTC now I say (DustyRah)

So with this kind of speculation subforum sentiment, why are we still more or less in the same place we've BEEN... HuhHuh

You are pretty slow of the mark.

All the 'Short Bitcoin Now' threads were from 2-3 days ago. Since the shorting opportunity has passed, we have had a bounce and a revival falling short of the crucial §850 resistance, and now guess what....?

......it's another good time to short Bitcoin.

at least for the next few hours anyhow.

No I think that is the point. people have been talking short for several days. I took a poll that shows most people are short. but the larger C wave correction in question has not come. time to cover your shorts? i think so!
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Oh, so you are just talking about daytraders? LOL. Good SHOTR opportunity 2-3 days ago, then rebound, now another good SHOTR opportunity? Sounds like day-trading to me.

But you can't be, because many of those threads are talking about long-term outlook, doom and gloom, bitcoin will fail in 2014! Your reply is incongruent with the content of many of these threads, which are indeed not talking about the day-trading opportunities.

So, I think it is YOU, MatTheCat, who is "slow of the mark"  Grin Grin Grin
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
This subforum is literally BRIMMING with bear threads. Here's what's on the first page:

BTC Beginning of the End ! (igorr)
2014 could be a slow year for bitcoin (wobber)
SHOTRING BITCOIN: This is a good idea right now (proudhon)
Worst Case Scenario: Price predictions? (Opsamk)
bearish sentiment in a possible third wave (chessnut)
Do we know why the price is dropping? (Remember remember...)
Confirmed bad news sources thread - No FUD, just facts!!!1 (proudhon)
Another BEARS ONLY discussion. When will bitcoin finally drop and how far? (Edward50)
The age of KARHU begins....seek ye refuge in alms to the KARHU! (KARHU)
Time to dump BTC now I say (DustyRah)

So with this kind of speculation subforum sentiment, why are we still more or less in the same place we've BEEN... HuhHuh

You are pretty slow of the mark.

All the 'Short Bitcoin Now' threads were from 2-3 days ago. Since the shorting opportunity has passed, we have had a bounce and a revival falling short of the crucial §850 resistance, and now guess what....?

......it's another good time to short Bitcoin.

at least for the next few hours anyhow.
TPN
full member
Activity: 193
Merit: 100
How did it get so late, so soon?
Bitcoin has been in existence for the smallest time period and is in a hyper growth period.

Nobody has a clue.

Because Crypto is future.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
Lot of bearish threads are usually sign of buying or at least not selling Cheesy

It's similar when forum gets loaded with "When will we see 1 million per BTC" threads.
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