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Topic: Why Bitcoin price is so volatile? What are the major factors that drive it? (Read 546 times)

hero member
Activity: 2968
Merit: 640
If you’re going to be comparing this $1 trillion market to stock markets that are worth more than that, then you’re going to be wrong because the level at which the stock markets operates is way higher than this one. Crypto is still new, and stability is one of the reasons people wanted institutions to be part of this crypto community, and we have seen a few of them making moves to join the market by investing huge sum of money.

With time we are going to see where this leads to, whether we are going to have more of them being part of the market. MicroStrategy has been one of the institutions investing big time in the market for their rich clients. Maybe if we reach a certain level the market will stabilize.
full member
Activity: 469
Merit: 101
Bitcoin is volatile because of its non-regulatory nature. There are many myths about volatile nature of bitcoin, one is that people who bought huge no of bitcoins in 2011-2014 are now in position to manipulate the market.
hero member
Activity: 2688
Merit: 588
I believe that unregulated markets will always be volatile, because there is no stable situation in human nature, we always like to play big and make big decisions, because we do not want to make 10% per year and get rich in 30 years, we want to get rich right away today.
Oh well said, and I really like the word "unregulated" because once the markets are being controlled and regulated, stability is attained but the possibility of growth also reduces to a large extent. I laugh at the prospect of a government controlled crypto coin because it is more like banks moving to blockchain but still not accepting decentralization.

It'll be impossible for bitcoin to be stable, it could lose the heat of it's volatility  but it won't be lost completely since that's what makes the market very attractive.
Yes but like there are stable coins and even they have a tiny bit of volatility associated with them but it's rather negligible and I am afraid with time and more adoption we will actually lose the volatility aspect of bitcoin completely.

Once the uncertainty or volatility is vacuumed out of the bitcoin market, it just becomes the stock market.
full member
Activity: 1190
Merit: 117
The factor that causes the price of Bitcoin to be volatile is because there is no regulation from the government, and Bitcoin price movements move
based on supply and demand. Which cannot be controlled, this makes the price of Bitcoin often manipulated by whales who do own large
amounts of Bitcoin. In my opinion it's not a bad thing that the price of Bitcoin is volatile, because for traders who have good analytical skills,
can take advantage of the volatile Bitcoin price to generate profits.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1655
To the Moon
The weird thing is, most people who sell lose money because in the long run only the holders win money by the looks of it. How? Well let's say there are people who constantly buy and sell, and they rarely hold bitcoin, only thing they do is buy or sell and keep doing that and keep their money in fiat, and there are people who buy and hold, that means people who hold will always be in profit and people who bought and sold will be in a loss even if not real loss it would be loss or potential profit...

I think there are 2 reasons for this, one of which is that the trader sells BTC in the hope of buying it at a lower price and making a profit on the price difference. The second reason is that there is a lack of confidence in the stability of bitcoin and the investor is afraid of its depreciation, as it was in 2017.
legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 1132
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Most traders lose money and it's down to this fact, that people in there, retail ones anyway, all react when they know they're not supposed to. It even happens to big funds too since they rely mainly on individuals to broker their trades on the floor. Panic, reactions, regret, fear, bad decisions.

Buying the socalled dip isn't a great strategy for shitcoins either. Trust me, I learned this the hard way!
The weird thing is, most people who sell lose money because in the long run only the holders win money by the looks of it. How? Well let's say there are people who constantly buy and sell, and they rarely hold bitcoin, only thing they do is buy or sell and keep doing that and keep their money in fiat, and there are people who buy and hold, that means people who hold will always be in profit and people who bought and sold will be in a loss even if not real loss it would be loss or potential profit.

It is weird because it doesn't matter where you end up selling your coins, you will always make a profit, and that is why selling is a bad idea but the dilemma is that if you are never selling that means it also worths nothing as well, if I am not selling or using it, if it is just there doing nothing, it doesn't help me a bit, only if I sell. That is why I consider selling only if I have enough to become rich.
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 10
I am not sure as what is the major factor that affects the volatility of the prices but I think that speculation of the market prices is one of them because with speculation, trades are continuously happening which means that there is a lot of buying and selling which affects the supply and demand which is the direct reason for the prices of bitcoin which means that the more the trading volume, then the more the volatility will be. We don't have to worry about volatility though as it is present in almost any markets, its just that bitcoin market has a more prominent and noticeable price changes.
Speculations with money are obviously one of the major factors but to my mind the another one major factor that stimulates all investors to buy BTC is their greed. People desire to earn more and more money so they insanely trade.
hero member
Activity: 2814
Merit: 576
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I am wondering why Bitcoin price is much more volatile than the stock market?

You've been here in crypto since last 2017, and that kind of volatility is already known to everyone. But just to wonder why it surprises you because we have this thing all the time and since the day it was been in the market.

Asking for a reason? There's a lot and we can't change this feature anymore. And as the number of crypto users (traders/investors) increases, the more it becomes volatile but I think, majority love to see this and this is also the reason why these people make money from here.
newbie
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
Bitcoin never looked down once it crossed above 12k in early Oct’2020 & exploded upside in impulsive manner. Recent high-58355 will be the most watched level for next few days as momentum is not supporting the current move shown by RSI(Relative Strength Index)


Double divergence surely be one of the reason for a cautious stand in bitcoin price https://in.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BITSTAMP once bears take the grip & it starts falling below 54K & later 50K will be the early levels to confirm that a down leg has started & bulls have to be careful. Once 54 & 50K levels are broken - it can slip to 42K & 28-33 K would be next support which has to be reviewed later. Wave wise it could unfold as flat sequence from the tops of 58355 where wave-A & Wave-B could form a double top - a traditional chart pattern which is another important clue suggesting Bulls have to be careful & profit bookings will be the best alternative.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1226
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Speculation would cause reaction to many investors depending on what the speculation is, but that's not the primary factor in affecting the price.
Once the investor reacts, it is either selling or buying.
That's why when there are many reactions to a lower price, investors tend to take chance of buying those dumped coins.
Increasing demand while shortening the supply. That's what affects the price.

Most traders lose money and it's down to this fact, that people in there, retail ones anyway, all react when they know they're not supposed to. It even happens to big funds too since they rely mainly on individuals to broker their trades on the floor. Panic, reactions, regret, fear, bad decisions.

Buying the socalled dip isn't a great strategy for shitcoins either. Trust me, I learned this the hard way!
hero member
Activity: 2548
Merit: 605
I am wondering why Bitcoin price is much more volatile than the stock market?

Let's just stick with Bitcoin only.  Bitcoin have a market cap close to $1T as we speak and, yet, its price is still so volatile.  Is it because the availability of bitcoins in the market is low as most people (especially the new institutional investors) are hodling?  

Is it fair to compare Bitcoin (or crypto market as a whole) to a stock market like SP 500 (which currently has $31.61 trillion market cap)?  If so, Bitcoin cap is only 3% of the SP500.  Is it because of its relatively lower market cap which make it easier for its price to be manipulated (i.e., by a pump-and-dump)?
The both of them can’t be compared, stock has been around for years and Bitcoin is just a few years (a decade plus) so it is still growing and we don’t know where we are headed for right now, though I strongly believe that in future we are going to see Bitcoin become something really big.

When the market grows it will become stable to certain extent. Even the stock market can be volatile at times but this is something that happens at times when there is a serious situation taking place that will affect every market and push them to a particular direction, whether up or down.
sr. member
Activity: 1610
Merit: 264
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Speculation would cause reaction to many investors depending on what the speculation is, but that's not the primary factor in affecting the price.
Once the investor reacts, it is either selling or buying.
That's why when there are many reactions to a lower price, investors tend to take chance of buying those dumped coins.
Increasing demand while shortening the supply. That's what affects the price.
legendary
Activity: 2086
Merit: 1058
Maybe because cryptos like bitcoin are purely driven by the demand and supply it doesn't become more volatile than other asset like stocks etc. Stocks performance usually heavily affected by the company behind it meanwhile paper money affected by the government that issued the money.
But overtime if there's many crypto company out there and they are growing day by day until they reach the point where most of them could compete with the large corporations that already exist, i could imagine bitcoin and any other crypto becomes less volatile.
Demand and supply like you said is the only reason behind the price fluctuations because sometimes there are more than required bitcoins in the market which shrinks the price of BTC and sometimes there aren't enough BTC in the market while demand is rising that allows the pumping of BTC. and that is how I also imagine it should be but the price falling at times again makes me wonder how the supply is increasing because demand hasn't reduced for quite sometime and maybe some sharks often dump at particular prices which then gives rise to the small dips.

Like recently when Elon Musk announced Tesla's $1.5 billion worth of BTC investment, the market went up because the demand increased rapidly while the supply wasn't increasing with it.
hero member
Activity: 1456
Merit: 940
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What's different about bitcoin is that it's a completely new asset class. So, new to the market. But since the beginning of bitcoin, you could make a direct investment in the original bitcoin, the bitcoin digital currency. Of course, there is a lot of controversy. Some people say that these are two different types of bitcoin.
Is it still a "completely new asset class" when there are a lot of copycats called altcoins out there and twelve years has already passed? I am curious, what is this two type of bitcoin that you are talking about? And can you elaborate them with some brevity.

I was referring to two of the various types of investments available on the market. The first is Bitcoin - the decentralized cryptocurrency itself, and the second is Bitcoin's futures and options.
So bitcoin futures and options allow you to bet on the direction that the price of bitcoin will move. They also allow you to hedge the bitcoin that you're already holding with other contracts. And that has allowed some people to participate in this market, who otherwise may not have. So, we need to separate these things.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 4341
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Of course, there is a lot of controversy. Some people say that these are two different types of bitcoin.
I am curious, what is this two type of bitcoin that you are talking about? And can you elaborate them with some brevity.

Has to be bitcoin cash, the clone now parading himself as the main deal. Most noobs that are just coming into the space and haven't taken time to familiarize themselves with the industry would mistake the cash for the real deal. For you to understand how unstable the cash is, it has already gone through another hard fork and this won't be stopping anytime soon as disagreement is bond to happen among the developers.

Bitcoin is referred to as the main bitcoin while the cash is called the fake. Don't understand why this came into the discussion but if it's related to how it has its influence on the volatality of bitcoin, I doubt the cash has a say, basically it's like every other altcoins out there bitcoin detect their price movement and not the other way round.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1383
The main reason is that Bitcoin is decentralized, it is not a stable coin. The market really depends on the supply and demand in the market. The price will also drop and rise so significantly because f the supply and demand, also because of the fundamentals. So far, because Bitcoin is volatile, this is utilized by many crypto lovers to take profits from this by trading or even investing.
It is not really that hard to understand, fiat currencies are manipulated by governments so whenever there is a movement against them then governments act to protect them, this is not possible with bitcoin as there is not a central institution protecting bitcoin users from its volatility, so whenever there is a huge change in the demand the price of bitcoin reacts as its supply is low and it keeps getting lower as people are getting their coins out of exchanges, so people need to prepare themselves as the volatility is probably going to get worse.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1150
Maybe because cryptos like bitcoin are purely driven by the demand and supply it doesn't become more volatile than other asset like stocks etc. Stocks performance usually heavily affected by the company behind it meanwhile paper money affected by the government that issued the money.
But overtime if there's many crypto company out there and they are growing day by day until they reach the point where most of them could compete with the large corporations that already exist, i could imagine bitcoin and any other crypto becomes less volatile.
That is correct, fiat moves anyway it wants based on demand/supply but there is a government so the limit is obvious, that government will try to prevent it being worthless if they can, sometimes they fail like Zimbabwe or Venezuela but other times they manage to keep it under control even after big deals. Stocks are right too, after all we all saw that GME deal and how gamestop stocks worth from few dollars to over 400 bucks to god knows what now, it is volatile, but it is still mainly tied to company so most other stocks are not like that.

However compared to that crypto is free, there is nothing that is connected to it, there is no company, no government, no centralization, which is why it can move to 1 cent tomorrow or it could be 1 million tomorrow, all depends on what people with bitcoin and people with money decide to do with it, that is why it is so volatile.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1655
To the Moon
The main reason is that Bitcoin is decentralized, it is not a stable coin. The market really depends on the supply and demand in the market. The price will also drop and rise so significantly because f the supply and demand, also because of the fundamentals. So far, because Bitcoin is volatile, this is utilized by many crypto lovers to take profits from this by trading or even investing.

The capitalization of BTC is still too small to avoid price manipulation factors. After all, there are very few bitcoins on the market compared to the amount that is stored on cold wallets and, accordingly, does not participate in the exchange. Therefore, a one-time sale or purchase of a relatively large amount of BTC can lead to a sharp change in the price.
legendary
Activity: 2744
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There are 2 main factors that make the bitcoin market volatile.

The first is because the volume of bitcoins currently spread tends to be smaller. The price of bitcoin is formed by the existence of supply and demand. Many buy bitcoin while the current supply is still around 18.6 million BTC with a total supply of 21 million BTC.

The second factor that makes it volatile is that buyers who buy bitcoin are mostly traders who buy only for a short period of time to benefit from the fluctuation of bitcoin prices. There are few investors who hold bitcoin for long periods of time. Which makes prices fluctuate drastically because bitcoin trading traffic is quite dense. Panic Buy and Panic sell always occur so that prices are very volatile.
full member
Activity: 1904
Merit: 138
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The main reason is that Bitcoin is decentralized, it is not a stable coin. The market really depends on the supply and demand in the market. The price will also drop and rise so significantly because f the supply and demand, also because of the fundamentals. So far, because Bitcoin is volatile, this is utilized by many crypto lovers to take profits from this by trading or even investing.

Basically, that's the answer. Driven by supply and demand. And right now, there are too much players that are into crypto. Financial institutions, top companies, miners, whales, small traders and others. It is very volatile because no one can control the market and it depends on various stakeholders. You can't get a pulse in each of them as they decide on their own. And also to add, tweets by influential people like Elon Musk, is also added factor in this game. So bit by bit, they somehow influence the market.
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